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Magdeburg (dpa / sa) - After the decision on the candidacy for chancellor in the Union, Saxony-Anhalt's CDU must, according to the Erfurt political scientist André Brodocz, decide whether to involve the federal CDU in the election campaign.
"With Haseloff's clear positioning in favor of Söder, you now have to quickly find a way to either involve the federal CDU very constructively or to emancipate yourself from it as far as possible and lead a state election campaign," said Brodocz of the German press agency.
But that will only become apparent in the next few weeks.
Brodocz expected that the decision to involve the federal CDU would be more likely.
"One will try to get those at the level of federal politics from whom one expects strong support locally," said Brodocz.
In addition to the Bavarian Prime Minister Markus Söder (CSU), that will probably also be Friedrich Merz.
Saxony-Anhalt's Prime Minister Reiner Haseloff (CDU) had clearly positioned himself for Söder in the power struggle in the Union for the candidacy for chancellor.
In the end, however, Armin Laschet became the joint candidate of the CDU and CSU.
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"The question of how Armin Laschet is involved will be interesting," said the expert.
After his election, Laschet built bridges towards Haseloff and signaled openness.
The North Rhine-Westphalian head of government is known for being able to sit at a table with those who have different views than him.
“But the CDU in Saxony-Anhalt will first have to open this door.
The federal chairman will not be able to impose himself, ”said Brodocz.
In view of the polls and the prospect of a possibly difficult government formation, the CDU in Saxony-Anhalt is dependent on broad voter mobilization.
A new state parliament will be elected in Saxony-Anhalt on June 6th.
According to an Infratest dimap survey on behalf of the MDR, the alliance of CDU, SPD and Greens ruling in Saxony-Anhalt would still have a majority.
Accordingly, the CDU would currently receive 27 percent of the vote - 2.8 percent less than in the state elections in March 2016. The SPD would be 12 percent and thus 1.4 percentage points above their 2016 result. According to the survey, the Greens would Reach 11 percent, which corresponds to an increase of 5.8 percentage points.
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The AfD would remain the second strongest force in the country with 20 percent of the vote and a loss of 4.3 percentage points.
According to the Sunday question, the left lost 4.3 percentage points and ended up with 12 percent of the vote.
The FDP could manage to return to the state parliament - in the survey it was able to almost double its result from 2016 and received 8 percent of the votes - that would be 3.1 percentage points more than in 2016.
In addition to the current black-red-green alliance, black-red-yellow would also be possible.
In Saxony-Anhalt, parts of the CDU in particular had a hard time entering into a coalition with the Greens.
The three-party alliance was in the meantime on the brink.
Brodocz said the Greens will appear more confident if they can win votes in the state elections.
A coalition of CDU and AfD, which would also be mathematically possible, has always ruled out Prime Minister Reiner Haseloff, who is again running as the CDU top candidate.
According to the latest survey, it would not be enough for red-red-green.
© dpa-infocom, dpa: 210425-99-342948 / 2