Back to the nuclear agreement with Iran

American researcher: The Biden administration may ignite a regional war

  • Iran has come a long way on the path to producing a nuclear bomb.

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  • Biden endangers regional security by returning to the agreement.

    Reuters

  • Anthony Blinken stopped releasing Iranian money to South Korea.

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The new US administration, led by President Joe Biden, has expressed on more than one occasion its readiness to sit at the negotiating table with Iran and revive the nuclear agreement from which the administration of his predecessor Donald Trump withdrew, provided Tehran returns to comply with the terms of the agreement.

Observers believe that Biden’s return to the agreement is fraught with many challenges and complications, in light of the sanctions imposed by the Trump administration, and the shaking of Tehran’s confidence in Washington on the one hand, and on the other hand the desire of a number of US allies not to return, given that it will eventually enable the Islamic Republic to Having a nuclear weapon.

Going on the agenda

The American researcher and political analyst of Iranian origin at Harvard University, and the president of the American International Council for the Middle East, Majid Rafi Zadeh, said in a report published by the American Gatestone Institute that it seems that the Biden administration wants from its depths to move forward with its agenda to revive the Iranian nuclear deal, thus lifting the sanctions From Tehran.

Rafiezadeh pointed out that the Biden administration is hesitant about reversing the path of the "maximum pressure" policy adopted by the previous administration, which was represented by economic sanctions on Iran.

It was reported that the United States allowed South Korea to release seven billion dollars in frozen assets of Iran, before US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken urged Seoul on March 10 not to release the funds, until Iran agreed to return to full compliance with the nuclear deal.

It seems that informal meetings between the Islamic Republic and the 5 + 1 Group (China, Russia, the United States, the United Kingdom and France, in addition to Germany) are on the way to reviving the nuclear deal, despite strong opposition from many regional powers, including Israel and Saudi Arabia, in addition to members of the Senate. : Jim Rich, Marco Rubio, and Jim Inhoff.

And there are governments in the Middle East who have good reason to be concerned about the nuclear deal.

Pointing out that those countries have already witnessed its negative consequences.

And the former US President, Barack Obama, had pledged that he was "confident" that the agreement "would meet the national security needs of the United States and our allies."

The researcher says: “The Obama administration not only initiated and expanded the policies of appeasement, but also made unprecedented concessions in an attempt to dissuade the ruling mullahs (in Iran) from their internal and external aggression.

The United States met them with generosity and flexibility every step of the way. ”

betrayal

Soon, several countries in the region, and the citizens of the United States, felt betrayed.

It has become clear that the nuclear agreement has completely turned a blind eye to Iran's funding of its proxies that pursue violence, such as: Hezbollah, which took control of Lebanon, the "Hamas" movement in the Gaza Strip, and the Houthis in Yemen, as well as Iran's expansion of its influence in vast areas of South America. .

This outcome would not have occurred if Israel and other regional powers were part of the negotiations, according to Rafi Zadeh.

The current negotiating team, like the previous team, completely excludes those on Iran's doorstep.

In an approach reminiscent of the colonial era in the past, this remains a policy put in place by governments thousands of miles away.

The researcher Rafie Zadeh considered that the worst thing is that after the conclusion of the nuclear agreement, the regional powers witnessed its impact on their own.

With the lifting of sanctions on Iran in the Obama administration, it quickly became apparent that instead of curbing Iran's malign behavior at home and abroad, the international community sees these measures as having given Iran a new global legitimacy.

This, in addition to the lifting of sanctions, has provided billions of dollars in revenue for the Iranian military establishment, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, as well as Iranian militias and terrorist groups.

The threat will not be thwarted

The Gulf states and Israel immediately realized that the threat posed by Iran through this nuclear agreement has not and will not be thwarted, as the agreement allowed Tehran in a short time to enrich as much uranium as it wanted, and to manufacture as many nuclear bombs as it wanted, as well as ballistic missiles that could be used in Firing the bombs, instead of preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, as that agreement "deceptively" promised.

The report says that Arab states have already witnessed the consequences of the previous attempt to reach a nuclear deal.

The Houthis, who are supported by Iran with weapons, have stepped up their efforts for more death and destruction in Yemen, and Hezbollah has stepped up its involvement in large areas of Syrian territory, and its control over it.

The region also witnessed a greater tendency to fire Houthi missiles at civilian targets in Saudi Arabia, and to deploy thousands of Hezbollah members in Syria.

Researcher Rafie Zadeh believes that by returning to an agreement that has brought nothing but increased destruction and instability in the region, the Biden administration will abandon old allies such as Israel and Saudi Arabia, and instead enable a regime that still poses an existential threat to the entire Middle East.

He said that one of the possible implications of Washington's re-accession to the nuclear agreement is that the countries of the region may find no other option but to take military action against Iran, a step that would turn into a regional war.

• The Obama administration made unprecedented concessions, in an attempt to dissuade the ruling mullahs (in Iran) from their internal and external aggression.

• Returning to an agreement that brought nothing but increasing destruction and instability in the region, the Biden administration will abandon old allies, such as Israel and Saudi Arabia, and instead empower a regime that still poses an existential threat to the entire Middle East.

• The Gulf states and Israel realized, immediately, that the threat posed by Iran through the nuclear agreement has not and will not be thwarted, as the agreement allowed Tehran in a short time to enrich as much uranium as possible and to manufacture as many nuclear bombs as it wanted.

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