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Erfurt / Bonn (dpa / th) - According to a forecast, two Thuringian districts will have to adjust to a particularly strong decline in the number of inhabitants by 2040.

This is the conclusion of the Federal Institute for Building, Urban and Spatial Research (BBSR) in a current calculation.

The district town of Greiz in south-east Thuringia and the neighboring district of Altenburger Land will lose the largest number of residents in the future.

"Their population will decrease by at least 23 percent by 2040," writes the BBSR.

The same should happen in the districts of Brandenburg (Oberspreewald-Lausitz, Elbe-Elster) and Saxony-Anhalt (Anhalt-Bitterfeld, Mansfeld-Südharz, Salzlandkreis).


"Most of the urban and rural districts with increasing populations are in the old states," the Federal Institute stated.

While economic growth is predicted above all in economically strong cities and their environs, the decline in population in structurally weak regions away from the metropolises could continue.

Once again, great differences between East and West become clear.

“A look into the future shows that the structurally weak regions are facing major challenges.

In order to cope with this, an active structural policy is still required, ”explained BBSR manager Eltges.



As an East German city, only Leipzig can rank among the fastest growing cities.

In addition to Berlin, Potsdam, Dresden, Rostock and Chemnitz, the Thuringian cities of Erfurt and Jena can at least expect growth of at least 5 percent.

For the whole of Germany, the Federal Institute expects a slight decrease in the population by 1.3 million (2020) to 81.9 million in 2040.

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