China News Service, February 14 (Sweet) On February 13, local time, the U.S. Senate voted on the impeachment case against former President Trump. The impeachment clause was not passed and Trump was found not guilty.

　　A year ago, after winning the first impeachment case, Trump immediately forwarded a short video with the cover of Time magazine, implying that he would run for the president of the United States again in 2024, 2028 and beyond.

　　Today, when the results of the second impeachment are released, he has left the White House, leaving behind a piece of chicken feathers-his contempt and arrogance have caused the epidemic to spread across the United States, and his originally proud economic performance has been "zeroed" by the virus. In society, the cracks deepen and repair is difficult.

　　Trump, who has never said defeat, still has the confidence to plan a "comeback"?

Behind the impeachment, what are the calculations of the two parties in the United States?

Data map: On February 6, 2020, the then US President Trump delivered a speech on the "not guilty" verdict of the impeachment case.

Photo by China News Agency reporter Chen Mengtong

A video

Overwhelming evidence or "political drama"?

　　On February 13, local time, the U.S. Senate held a full-house vote on Trump’s impeachment case and rejected the impeachment clause with 43 “innocent” votes to 57 “guilty” votes.

　　It is worth noting that on February 9, the first day of Trump's impeachment trial, the Democrats kicked off the curtain with a shocking video of the riot.

This 13-minute video forced lawmakers to relive the tense confrontation during the Congressional riots.

　　When the video finished, the hall was silent.

Ruskin, the head of impeachment in the House of Representatives, pointed out, "If this is not an impeachable crime, then there is nothing impeachable."

　　Since the 10th, the House of Representatives impeachment manager and Trump lawyer team have started their case statements, and the two sides have been confronted constantly.

The impeachment manager has stated that there is "overwhelming" evidence that Trump "incited" congressional disturbances.

Attorney Trump condemned the impeachment initiated by Democrats as purely "political drama."

　　Although some Republicans condemned congressional riots and supported impeachment, Trump was able to “escape” once again because the number of defections failed to reach the number of votes required by Democrats.

Data map: On January 6, 2021, during the joint meeting of the Senate and the House of Representatives of the United States Congress, Trump supporters broke into the Capitol and caused riots.

Two major changes

There are calculations behind the impeachment war

　　In one year, the Senate opened two trials of Trump's impeachment case, setting a historical record.

Although the result is still the same, the reasons, process and background of these two impeachments are quite different.

During this period, the views of Trump within the Republican Party have also undergone important changes.

——From "a single piece of iron" to splitting and cutting, secret fights become open fights?

　　In the first impeachment trial, the Senate vote basically followed partisanship. Most Republicans, including McConnell, always "united" on Trump's side for the general election.

But in the second impeachment, the attitude of Republicans changed significantly.

Republican leaders such as McConnell admitted that Trump "incited" congressional riots and "cut" them.

　　The "Washington Post" of the United States bluntly stated that the political calculations within the Republican Party heralded a fierce struggle against Trump's party status...

　　According to analysis, the contradiction between Trump and the establishment of the Republican Party has been fierce, but because Trump successfully controlled the core voters, others chose to remain silent.

However, the second impeachment allowed some Republicans to realize the "harm" brought by Trump, and thus began a "cleanup" within the party.

Data map: On February 9, 2021, the US Senate opened the second impeachment trial against former President Trump.

The picture shows the Democratic impeachment manager of the House of Representatives walking towards the Senate.

Photo by China News Agency reporter Chen Mengtong

——From a tug-of-war to an accelerated battle, the smell of gunpowder should be indispensable

　　Second, the offensive and defensive momentum of the two parties is also intriguing.

　　In the impeachment case a year ago, Trump was accused of using military aid as a bargaining chip to pressure Ukrainian President Zelensky to investigate the popular Democratic presidential candidate Biden and his son at the time.

The two parties fought fiercely, and it took a total of 48 days from the passage of the impeachment clause to Trump's acquittal.

This tug-of-war surrounding the "Tongwumen" is also considered the "warm-up match" for the 2020 general election.

　　Today, after the congressional riots, the Democratic Party insists on sending President Trump, who was only a week away from resignation, to the "trial seat", hoping to weaken his political influence.

They are also worried that the new President Biden's governance space will be restricted and speed up the process as much as possible.

　　How did the Republicans "accept the move"?

　　The US media mentioned that Republican members of the Senate and House of Representatives who support Trump's impeachment have been repeatedly "harassed and intimidated" by Trump supporters.

For this reason, the Republican Party has no choice but to attack the Democrats to appease voters.

But those who oppose impeachment rarely defend Trump himself, and more criticize that impeachment will further divide the United States.

　　This trial of Trump eventually evolved into a political contest between the two parties, triggering a deeper division and confrontation in the United States.

Li Haidong, a professor at the Institute of International Relations of China Foreign Affairs University, pointed out in an interview with Chinanews.com.

　　Liu Weidong, a researcher at the Institute of American Studies of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, believes that compared with the first impeachment case, the political polarization in the United States is getting worse.

　　In the congressional riots, Trump had "obviously guiding words" and played a "disgraceful" role.

However, whether he is guilty or not should be judged by the judge. Now he is taking the path of impeachment. This highlights the particularly strong color of the American partisan struggle, Liu Weidong said.

Data map: On January 21, 2020, the US Senate formally heard the impeachment case against then President Trump.

The Democrat Schumer criticized the unfair process of the impeachment trial formulated by the Republican Party.

Photo by China News Agency reporter Chen Mengtong

Three predictions

Will Trump "make a comeback"?

　　Now, after winning the impeachment case again, how will the 74-year-old Trump plan a political comeback?

　　According to a survey conducted by the "Capitol Hill" and Harris Poll Company, as many as 64% of Republican voters said that if Trump builds a new party, they will join, showing that Trump's political energy still cannot be underestimated.

　　Despite Trump's defeat in the presidential campaign, as long as he continues to have the firm support of the "basic plate", he and the Republican Party will be firmly tied together, and he will have the opportunity to once again represent the Republican Party for the presidency of 2024. National Broadcasting Corporation (NBC) analysis said.

　　The British media believe that he lost his presidency, was silenced by social media, and faced several lawsuits and financial problems... Trump’s priority for a political comeback may not be so high, and he may disappear from the political arena in the future.

He himself may be separated from the "Trumpist movement."

　　Many experts also analyzed that the result of the second impeachment will undoubtedly weaken Trump's influence in the domestic political arena.

In addition, considering the maintenance of Trump's influence after leaving the center of power in Washington, as well as the competition from the young people within the Republican Party, there are many uncertainties in his participation in politics again.

Data map: On February 22, 2018, near Calexico, California, the United States Customs and Border Protection replaced a section of the local border wall.

Four years of success or failure

These data show how Trump governs

7: The

Trump administration has withdrawn from at least seven international organizations or multilateral agreements, including the Paris Agreement, the Iranian Nuclear Agreement, and UNESCO.

31:

In August 2019, a series of gun cases involving white supremacy occurred in Texas and Ohio, causing at least 31 deaths and dozens of injuries.

1.09 billion and 200 million: The

United States owes US$1.09 billion in United Nations dues and nearly US$200 million in arrears in WHO dues.

14.7%: The

unemployment rate in the United States reached 14.7% in April 2020, the highest since the Great Depression in the 1930s.

700

: In 2017, Trump signed an executive order to build the U.S.-Mexico border wall, with a set target of more than 700 kilometers and a cost of tens of billions of dollars.

16: After the

Congressional riots, at least 16 Trump administration officials, including two cabinet members, announced their resignations.

400,000 and 24 million:

On January 20, 2021, on the day Trump left the White House, more than 400,000 people in the United States died of COVID-19, and more than 24 million were diagnosed.

135 billion:

Under Trump's leadership, the US annual defense budget has increased by US$135 billion.

41% and 34%:

According to Gallup, a polling agency, Trump’s average approval rate during his tenure was 41%, and it was the lowest at 34% when he left office.

900:

The two-word phrase most commonly used by Trump in his tweets is "Fake news", which appears about 900 times.