Revealed on Thursday, an OpinionWay poll for La République en Marche shows that the presidential party would come in second in the first round of regional in Île-de-France, next June.
A good surprise for a political formation which anticipates a defeat during this very important deadline for 2022.
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This is one of the political consequences of the current health crisis: the regional elections initially scheduled for March are postponed and will take place on June 13 and 20, due to the precautions against the coronavirus.
The Republic on the move did not have great objectives for this election, because the etiquette of the presidential party is not necessarily successful these days, as often during intermediate elections.
However, an OpinionWay poll for La République en Marche * and revealed by Europe 1 on Wednesday could bring back the smile in the majority.
Saint-Martin at 16%
At the top of La République en Marche, we rub our eyes when we discover the results.
Discreetly tested by the OpinionWay institute for the regional elections in Île-de-France, the presidential majority candidates come in second position, behind the outgoing president, Valérie Pécresse.
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Thus, Gabriel Attal, spokesperson for the government, obtained 18% of the voting intentions.
Ditto for Agnès Pannier-Runacher, minister at Bercy.
Emmanuelle Wargon, Minister of Housing, would have 17% of the vote.
Jean-Michel Blanquer, tested before his withdrawal from the competition, obtained 16% of the voting intentions.
More surprisingly, his replacement at the head of the list, the walking deputy Laurent Saint-Martin, unknown to the general public, won the same score.
Environmental safety
The survey also gives some indications on the themes that will count in the eyes of Ile-de-France residents in this campaign.
Safety comes first, with great importance among seniors, especially among supporters of the Republicans and the National Rally.
Then come the living environment and the environment, then economic development and job creation.
This poll gives new colors to LREM officials, who fear a new electoral collapse for the regional elections, targeting one or two regions, the maximum.
"Finally, we could not be totally ridiculous", confides, surprised, a Macronist strategist, who perceives a "presidential majority" effect, which works even with little known candidates
* OpinionWay poll for La République en Marche! carried out from January 19 to 21 with a sample of 1,017 people registered on the electoral rolls in Île-de-France, obtained using the quota method.