• Survey I. The PSC would steal 30% of their voters from Citizens

  • Survey II: ERC voters refuse to agree with Illa: they prefer Puigdemont

  • Interview.Ignacio Garriga: "We are not going to take a step back, we will continue saying what we think will bother whoever bothers"

Delia has been working hard in Barcelona for three decades and is still confident that the coronavirus pandemic will not screw her up with an early retirement in her Caribbean land, the dream of a life as a housekeeper and with no greater whims than family meals on Sunday.

It was in one of those well-attended meetings, days before the December 21, 2017 elections, where he convinced his people to go to vote, and a pro-independence movement that he saw as a threat had to be stopped at the polls.

Spanish democracy, in which they feel like full citizens.

She opted for the ballot

Citizens

, after many elections voting for the Socialists, and joined the civic revolt that ended up leading to

Inés Arrimadas

to victory in number of votes and seats. Three years later, however, next Sunday, February 14, Delia and her family will stay at home, like so many other Catalans.

For the fear that the virus is lurking in the electoral college, because she believes that nationalism is "no longer a danger" and because none of the candidacies awakens in her more than indifference, in a campaign in which nobody talks about how they plan to bring the people out of the pit of ruin by the pandemic and

you process

.

The last sign: Pastas Gallo closes its modern factory in Granollers to install it in Córdoba This feeling of remoteness from the political debate, understandable when the probable president of the Generalitat de

Catalonia

,

Laura Borràs

, has called for a digital revolution to "be able to speak Catalan with toasters and washing machines",

Arnaldo Otegi

is paraded under a canopy as a democratic reference and

Salvador Illa

, the favorite in the polls, asks to turn the page of the

you process

but also of his questionable performance as Minister of Health, which is behind the great demobilization that all studies detect.

As the polls approach, they warn, fewer people say they want to go to vote.

Desperate message

An abstention that threatens to be historical and that nationalism knows from experience that it favors it.

In low turnout scenarios, the most politicized and convinced voter, the "most coffee growers", usually go to the polls.

And in Catalonia, it is the independence movement that still preserves a more loyal, active and united electoral base around the demand for freedom of "political prisoners." On the other hand, the constitutionalist voter mobilizes in moments of high tension, when feels threatened, as happened in 2017, and not even the presence of national leaders in the campaign - this Monday was the president of

Andalusia

,

Juanma Moreno

, the one that wrapped the candidate of

PP

,

Alejandro Fernandez

- manages to stir the spirits of his people. Participation may not exceed 58%, when 21-D was at 79%.

In desperation, Fernández launched a message that constitutionalism will repeat endlessly at the end of the campaign: "Every time we have gone to the polls en masse, separatism has not obtained a majority in votes." Another element that favors nationalism on the 14- If there is little going to vote, it is that the constitutionalist electorate is concentrated in the urban areas of Barcelona and Tarragona, punished by an electoral system (Loreg) in which a vote in the province of Barcelona is worth half, for example, one Gerona, fiefdom and bastion of independence.

Use Vox

This explains why the nationalist strategy these days has focused on, on the one hand, sowing doubts about the security of the elections, to the extent that the Generalitat does not guarantee that the 14-F will announce the result;

and, on the other, in using

Vox

to stir up the specter of the "fascist threat" - the Interior Minister,

Miquel Samper

, justified the aggressions that this party is receiving by "the provocation" of its candidates - and mobilize with this decoy the ideological independence movement.

All to overcome 50% of the votes, a dreamed and symbolic barrier, once they have a certain absolute majority in seats.Despite the uncertainty of abstention, the candidacies of

JxCat

Y

ERC

speak openly of the possibility of overcoming this psychological barrier, discarding as did

Pere Aragonès

that a low vote subtracts strength from that 50%, that each formation plans with different objectives.

Carles puigdemont

They insist that he would put the DUI option back on the table, not immediately, but in this legislature.

A way to revive the "1-O mandate" and make sense of the figure of its escaped president.

A docudrama

While ERC considers that having the support of more than half the electorate would reinforce the request for a referendum agreed with the State and, in the shorter term, amnesty for political prisoners.

Deactivating in this way the pardon proposal that the Government

socialpodemite

had sent his republican interlocutors to Madrid. The "amnesty" is going to be the

macguffin

used by independent scriptwriters to keep the docudramana alive

The Proces

.

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