A warm evening in summer 2020, the last day of school, a glass of wine with friends in a garden in West London.

The next morning, Mike Lambshire * wants to get in the car with his family and leave for France.

Two weeks vacation - the longed-for break to recover from the pandemic and his work in the intensive care unit of a London hospital.

What can Great Britain expect in the coming autumn and winter? “Our staff is exhausted. I don't know whether the doctors and nurses can do what they did in the first wave, ”says Mike thoughtfully. "And then of course there is the question of how the virus mutates."