• SPECIAL All about Brexit

British Prime Minister

Boris Johnson

would lose his absolute majority and even his seat if general elections were now held in the United Kingdom to public discontent with his management of Brexit and the pandemic, according to the result of a poll released this Sunday.

The poll, published by the data research company Focaldata, reveals that if the country were to hold new elections tomorrow, neither the Conservatives nor Labor would win an absolute majority.

The Tories would lose, according to the poll, 81 seats, evaporating the majority of the 80 they won at the polls in the last election date of 2019.

The ruling Conservative Party would win 284 seats and Labor - the main opposition group - would get 282

.

The survey, echoed by local media, provides the first detailed view of public perception of Johnson's management in the arduous Brexit negotiations with the European Union (EU) and in the coronavirus crisis, with daily cases of covid-19 above 50,000 It also appears that the Tories would lose seats in enclaves in northern England, which despite being traditionally Labor, changed their loyalties in 2019 to support the Conservatives and were key in the absolute majority of Johnson.

Specifically, the survey, conducted among more than 22,000 people, reveals that the conservatives would only keep 8 of those 43 constituencies in the so-called "red wall" that they achieved in 2019. In addition, Boris Johnson himself would lose his seat in the electoral constituency by Uxbridge And Ruislip South.

Scotland

Regarding the projection on Scotland, Nicola Sturgeon's Scottish Nationalist Party (SNP) would win 57 of the 59 Scottish seats, while the Liberal Democrats would reduce theirs to just two -in Bath and Kingston And Surbiton-, compared to the 11 current.

Other data suggests that one in four voters who backed Libdem in 2019 would now support Labor.

In terms of percentage of the vote, Labor would be ahead, with 37.7% of the vote;

the Tories would get 35.6%;

the Liberal Democrats 8.7% and the Green Party 6.9% .This data indicates that the new Labor leader, Keir Starmer, is managing to rebuild the confidence and support of the formation, previously led by the leftist Jeremy Corbyn .

"One year after the extraordinary victory in the general election, it is clear that the Conservatives already have a lot to work on if they want to replicate the success of 2019 in future elections," reflected Justin Ibbett, Focaldata founder.

Speaking to the Sunday Times,

Ibbett opined that "the SNP appears to be the real winner" of this scenario

, "not only does all Scottish constituencies win, with only two remaining, but the most likely outcome would lead to a coalition government between Labor. and SNP, which would have a majority of 20 seats. "Upon learning the survey data, Tory supporters commented on social media that the survey was conducted before the Brexit deal was announced on December 24.

According to the criteria of The Trust Project

Know more

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