China News Service, December 15th (Bian Lei) On December 14, local time, in the U.S. Electoral College vote, the Democratic presidential candidate Biden won the number of votes required to be elected president of the United States.
This means that the current President Trump has failed in his re-election campaign, and he will become the fourth US president to be re-elected since World War II.
The next key node for this general election will be on January 6, 2021.
At that time, the Senate and House of Representatives will hold a joint meeting to formally announce the winner of the general election. At this point, the procedure for the election of the new president is considered complete.
Data map: On October 5, 2020, Trump took off his mask when he arrived at the White House after receiving COVID-19 treatment at the Walter Reed Medical Center in Washington.
[The final conclusion? Expert: The election result is hard to reverse]
On the 14th local time, Biden won the 270 votes required to be elected President of the United States in the electoral college voting.
More than 5 weeks ago, a number of mainstream American media had estimated that Biden would win; the US media had previously predicted that Biden would receive 306 electoral votes, while Trump was expected to receive 232.
However, the controversy surrounding the result of the general election has not subsided.
Trump frequently questioned the fraud in the election, and his team and supporters have successively initiated lawsuits in multiple states.
"The vote of the electors on December 14 is an official confirmation. There were farce or appeals before, and it was of little significance." Sun Chenghao, an assistant researcher at the American Institute of the China Institute of Modern International Relations, told a reporter from Chinanews.com.
The US presidential election implements an indirect electoral system based on the electoral college system. Electors generally respect the state's election results and cast a vote that reflects public opinion.
"Biden's advantage is obvious," Sun Chenghao said. Even if an individual elector "distrusted" and switched to Trump, it is impossible to reverse the election result.
Data map: On June 26, 2018, after the Federal Supreme Court ruled in support of Trump's 2017 immigration restriction order, people protested at the gate of the Supreme Court.
Photo by China News Agency reporter Deng Min
["Continuous battle" hides a bigger layout behind? 】
"This election is fraudulent." Before the Electoral College voted, Trump publicly accused him more than once and litigated with his supporters in various states and the Federal Supreme Court.
However, many lawsuits have been dismissed.
On December 9, Texas filed a lawsuit in the Federal Supreme Court, demanding the overthrow of the election results in the four states of Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan, and Wisconsin, which was supported by Trump and 17 states.
But the Supreme Court rejected the lawsuit on the 11th.
CNN pointed out that this is the strongest proof so far that Trump "has no chance to overturn the election result in court."
In this context, why does Trump still insist on accusing election fraud?
Liu Weidong, a researcher at the Institute of American Studies of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, analyzed that Trump insisted on this stance. First, he continued to raise funds and lay a foundation for him to continue to influence American politics after he left office. Second, he needed to continue to express his position to voters. That is, never compromise, this is his signature performance.
From Trump’s personal point of view, Sun Chenghao pointed out that he is a president with a strong “fighting spirit”. He once said that “life is a battle to win or lose” and his values are like this.
Data map: On December 1, 2020, a "drive-speed" new crown testing station set up at a farmer's market in San Francisco, California, to provide testing services to citizens.
Photo by China News Agency reporter Liu Guanguan
[The biggest reason for the supporters' defection is...]
"The 2020 election has changed, but Trump has not changed." In October, the "New York Times" once speculated as to why Trump might lose.
Trump hopes to still run as an "outsider" this time, which seems to be far from the expectations of the people.
In the 2016 election, Trump "had the last laugh" with 306 electoral votes.
Sun Chenghao said, "At that time, the anti-establishment and anti-traditional sentiments in the United States were very strong. As an'outsider', Trump may have released some distinctive signals."
However, the BBC pointed out that in 2020, those who previously supported Trump have begun to waver.
The article stated that Trump also failed to attract more support outside of his core camp. "He has hardly tried to win support for the 20 Democratic states-that part of the'blue America'."
In this general election, the "Rust Belt" (traditional industrial areas in the Northeast, Midwest and Great Lakes regions of the United States) also fell to Biden's Democratic Party.
Sun Chenghao emphasized, “This proves that Trump’s so-called policies of xenophobia, populism, and manufacturing repatriation over the past four years have not given these swing states any real benefits. The defection of these swing states is also counterproductive. Lampe dealt a fatal blow."
However, many experts pointed out that the main reason is the new crown epidemic.
In 2020, the new crown epidemic swept the world. The United States, which had the largest overall strength, delivered the worst answer-the number of infections and deaths ranked first in the world, and its economy is also facing a "dark winter."
Sun Chenghao said that Trump's proposal of "America First" has two pillars, one is local security, and the other is economic security.
Before the epidemic, he did a lot of work in both aspects. For example, he implemented a tough immigration policy and built a border wall for local security. On the economic side, he also implemented some tax reforms and other economic stimulus policies. Basically destroy these two pillars."
"From the perspective of voters, the epidemic has stimulated the enthusiasm of Democratic voters to vote, and it has also caused more independent voters to turn to the Democratic Party, because Trump's anti-epidemic measures and his economic measures are not satisfactory." Liu Weidong said, In 2020, Trump did not make obvious economic progress, and he continued to provoke a "trade war", which reduced the support of Wall Street for him.
Data map: On April 2, 2018, the White House held an annual Easter egg rolling event. Trump attended with his wife and son.
Photo by China News Agency reporter Diao Haiyang
[Trump's last more than a month in power, or become "garbage time"? 】
At present, Biden has started the transition process for nearly three weeks.
Before he was sworn in as president, Trump's "White House time" has entered a countdown.
Sun Chenghao believes that Trump's administration has entered "junk time" and it is difficult to predict what he will do next.
In Liu Weidong's view, what Trump can do is to continue to introduce some unexpected policies, "to make it difficult for the Biden administration to take power."
The analysis pointed out that even if Trump leaves the White House on January 20, 2021, he will not leave the American political arena.
He once stated at a campaign rally on December 5, 2020 that he "will win back to the White House again" in 2024, which is regarded as a signal that he may run again.
In fact, there is no legal obstacle to Trump seeking to run for president.
In the history of the United States, Grover Cleveland is the 22nd and 24th presidents. He is the only president who has been elected twice without a consecutive term.
Looking back on Trump’s recent years in office, Liu Weidong said, “On the positive side, he has indeed fulfilled some of the promises he made when he was running for the election. He is more active and has a great impact on the traditional mechanism. On the negative side, During Trump’s tenure, he brought a lot of chaos, broke many traditions, and at the same time stimulated greater confrontation between American society and the two parties. These have brought a lot of pressure on his successor."
"I think Trump is a phenomenal figure. In American history, he will definitely leave a so-called strong stroke." Liu Weidong concluded.
(Finish)