In the battle between the former Soviet Azerbaijan and Armenia's dispute, Nagorno-Karabakh, Azerbaijan held a military parade to celebrate the victory on the 10th, one month after the announcement of the ceasefire agreement.

Turkish President Erdogan, who has supported Azerbaijan, also rushed in and impressed the cooperation between the two countries.

The battle over Nagorno-Karabakh, the dispute between Azerbaijan and Armenia, was agreed last month with Russian mediation.

On the 10th, a month after the announcement of the agreement, Azerbaijan held a military parade in the capital Baku to celebrate its victory.

The parade was attended by 3,000 soldiers, including President Aliyev and Turkish President Erdogan, who has supported Azerbaijan.



President Aliyev said he had regained the territory that Armenia had virtually ruled, and thanked him for "demonstrating his brotherhood with Turkey," while President Erdogan said, "If we cooperate. We can continue to overcome difficulties and achieve success, "he said, impressing the cooperation between the two countries.



Meanwhile, in Armenia, protests were held on the 10th, calling for the resignation of Prime Minister Pasignan, alleging that he had accepted a ceasefire agreement that would be a de facto defeat.



Although the ceasefire has been achieved this time, Russia is wary that Turkey is approaching Azerbaijan and trying to expand its influence, and how much the ceasefire will lead to regional stabilization will be key to the trends of Russia and Turkey. You can see it.

Turkey's speculation

Turkey has built an intimate relationship with Azerbaijan, which is dominated by Islam and has similar ethnicities and languages, as a "brother country."



On the other hand, there is still no diplomatic relations with Armenia over the history of the murder of many Christian Armenians during the Ottoman Empire.



For this reason, President Erdogan has taken a position of full support for Azerbaijan since the beginning of the conflict.



In the conflict, Turkey reportedly sent Syrian fighters to the Azerbaijani side as soldiers, and it was also reported that Turkish military drones were used on the battlefield, and Turkey's support was provided by Azerbaijan. It is believed to have contributed to the de facto victory.



On the other hand, we have cooperated with Russia, which has been the backing of Armenia, in terms of the situation in Syria and the introduction of surface-to-air missiles, but this time the composition was in conflict.



For Turkey, Azerbaijan is a major natural gas importing country along with Russia, and President Erdogan strengthened relations with Azerbaijan, which was part of the former Soviet Union, by attending a ceremony in Azerbaijan, which is regarded as a victory memorial. It seems that there is also an aim to impress and restrain the Russian side.



In addition to Armenia, which is in conflict with Turkey as it expands its influence in neighboring countries, Saudi Arabia in the Middle East, which has a rivalry as a regional power, is likely to become even more vigilant against Turkey's movements.

Russia's speculation

Over the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh, Russia led the ceasefire between Azerbaijan and Armenia and immediately dispatched approximately 2,000 peacekeepers upon agreement to ceasefire.



It is a realization of the traditional idea of ​​deploying troops locally, which seems to have given Russia an opportunity to strengthen its influence in this region of the former Soviet Union.



In relation to Armenia, which has a military alliance, Russia did not actively support Armenia in this battle.



However, the voice of responsibility for accepting this ceasefire agreement in Armenia is directed to Prime Minister Pasignan, who has been trying to strengthen relations with Europe and the United States since taking office in 2018, rather than Russia.



In a poll conducted in Russia, nearly 60% said that "Russia has strengthened its position in the region."



Meanwhile, Putin said last month that Turkey, which has supported Azerbaijan, is trying to expand its influence in the region, saying that it is a geopolitical result of the collapse of the Soviet Union, and that it has to accept the current situation. Was shown.



Turkey is an important export destination for weapons and energy for Russia, and is cooperating in efforts to achieve a ceasefire and peace in Syria.



Russia is wary of Turkey's developments in the region while avoiding conflict.