What does US President Donald Trump want from his continued intransigence and refusal to acknowledge the election results won by Democratic candidate Joe Biden?
And what is Trump's goal in supporting the demonstrations claiming to be "stealing the elections"?
Is America heading more towards chaos under this situation?
Questions posed by Al-Jazeera Net to a number of senior American policy experts from the Republican and Democratic parties, in an attempt to understand what is going on in the mind of an exceptional president in American history.
What are Trump's goals of not accepting the election results yet?
“It is not clear why President Trump refuses to acknowledge Biden’s apparent victory,” says Gregory Cougar, head of the political science department at the University of Miami, Florida. One possibility - perhaps simply - that he is too immature to do so, and another explanation is that he and his presidential campaign are using this crisis to gather more. How much money, whether to pay off his 2020 campaign debts, or to raise funds to use for his political purposes in the future.
On the other hand, historian and director of research at the Niskman Institute Geoffrey Cabaservis considered that Trump’s goal of not accepting the election result is “to remain in the presidency for another term. But it is likely that he is seeking to delegitimize the Biden administration, stoke the discontent of his base, and take advantage of those discontents politically. Financially. "
While Bruce Fine, a constitutional expert and former official in the Department of Justice during the era of Republican President Ronald Reagan, said that Trump aims to "raise money for his legal and public relations battles and related public relations, and to consolidate his base for the possibility of running the elections in 2024."
For his part, the strategic advisor in the Democratic Party, David Bulger considered, "President Trump's plan since the beginning of his re-election campaign is to put our electoral system in a state of chaos, allowing it to win the elections. If the voters think that there is fraud or fraud by Biden's campaign, then This will create unrest and disagreements, and President Trump will appear to be a victim of wrongdoing. "
What is Trump's goal behind the demonstrations last Saturday and his descent to greet the participants?
Cougar believes that these demonstrations "basically support the psyche of President Trump, and give him some confidence in what he's thinking".
Meanwhile, Cabaservice said Trump "rejoices over his fans and those who bestow loyalty on him, such as the participants in Saturday's demonstration in Washington DC."
Trump refers to these "as evidence that a large portion of the American electorate believes that the elections were marked by fraud and will not accept a result in which Trump loses."
Vine considered that Trump aims to satisfy "his narcissistic need to be the center of attention, and these demonstrations satisfy his ego and narcissism."
According to Bulger, these demonstrations "give President Trump a boost of enthusiasm whenever he sees crowds of people saying his name and wearing hats and shirts bearing his name in America and around the world."
"This gives Trump the feeling that everyone is on his side, that he is a winner and loved by everyone," Bulger added.
He pointed out that the rallies that include thousands of loyal followers of Trump give him positive emotional strength, while making sure that he lost his re-election attempt, lost the vote count in the Electoral College, and lost to his Democratic opponent, Joe Biden, by more than 7 million votes.
Bulger asserted that "Trump now hates the news coverage that it has settled that President Trump is the loser, and this is the hardest thing Trump can hear."
Is America heading more toward chaos in the coming days and weeks?
Why?
Professor Cougar predicts that “chaos will continue in the coming weeks, but at lower rates, and chaos will subside as Joe Biden’s big victory becomes clear and the scope of his victory is fully expanded. Thus, President Trump does not have a realistic path to challenge it. And with the end of the counting of votes in each state and its official approval of Before state officials, the rest of the state apparatus will go ahead and leave President Trump to his grievances. "
Cabaservice presented a darker picture, and considered that "it has become almost certain that America is heading towards more chaos the longer Trump refuses to acknowledge his defeat, and street battles between the gangs of the extreme left and the extreme right are likely to continue for years to come."
Bulger expressed his hopes that "as soon as each state ratifies the election results and then prepares for the Electoral College elections on December 14, the public will calm down and realize that Joe Biden will be the next US president."
However, Bulger stated that if President Trump continues to fuel the fires with uncertainty and foster discord and chaos;
"There could be incidents across the country, as Trump supporters may protest against a backdrop of distrust of the reliability of the legal measures that reject Trump's claims."
Vine considered that "America is heading towards a natural inauguration day for the new president, and that what we are witnessing in terms of filing lawsuits and legal protests aims only to pave Trump's supporters and prepare them for disappointment and anger over Biden's election, especially with the absence of any tools that can be resorted to to prevent Biden's inauguration."
Bulger predicted optimistic that "the upcoming Thanksgiving holiday, which coincides with the completion of all vote counting across the country, will be a good occasion for most Americans to realize that there was a fair election process that resulted in the next president, Joe Biden."
Biden is the winner in the presidential election, but Trump and his supporters do not recognize it (Reuters)
Will the Trump supporters take to the streets complicating hopes for a smooth transition of power?
Cougar rejected this proposition, and considered that "Saturday's demonstrations were minimal compared to the pro-Trump rallies before the elections, and most of Trump's supporters began to accept the idea of losing the election."
Cabaservis rejected the link between the demonstrations and the transfer of power, and considered that “the clashes between the left-wing Antifa and the right-wing Broad Boys (and other entities on both sides) are not directly related to the process and procedures of the transfer of power. However, the chaos these battles have created, as well as Trump’s allegations Which is unfounded in electoral fraud; it gives many Americans an additional reason for disappointment with our democracy, and encourages our opponents to present American democracy as a failure. "
Bruce Fine, a former Republican official, said, "The street demonstrations will do nothing to destabilize the peaceful transfer of power, as Trump's armies of lawyers and activists have not been able to prove that one vote has been cast or counted illegally. Trump will be date after a month, he will go the way." The same as the tea party members.
Bolger believes that peaceful protests are part of American democracy, and that seeing Trump supporters demonstrate in Washington is not an example of the collapse of the American political system.
And the same spokesman indicated that "the smooth transfer of power is in the hands of the US government, not in the hands of the US president, and the states will commit to certifying the election results in the fifty states, and the results of the Electoral College on December 14, 2020."
Bulger indicated that Trump has in his hand to facilitate the transfer of power to the president-elect by granting all the resources of the US government to financial and administrative assistance in forming the new government, but unfortunately “he does not seem to want help in any way.
And he expected that he would not give up the elections to President-elect Biden at all, and he also expected that President Trump would not attend the inauguration ceremony on January 20, 2021, and would leave quietly from Washington before the day of the inauguration or the day of his inauguration.