Discussing this topic requires wide areas of writing. It deals with broad and deep issues, fields, levels, and dimensions, but we can provide quick overviews.
In general, it is expected that President-elect Joe Biden will be much better for Muslims and Arabs inside America, and in his view of the other globally.
As a preliminary information, Biden is a veteran leader, politician, legislation, foreign and state affairs, a balanced traditional democratic party, a diplomat, and he prefers soft power, coalition building and international cooperation, and he is not a supporter of wars in general.
Accordingly, Biden is expected to resemble his foreign policies - specifically - much of what it was in Obama's time, and he personally had a role in making them, with expected additions due to the different times and prospects in the future, and part of his expected bias towards more justice and democracy in the world and our region. ;
Because of the increasing power of influence of progressives, feminists, leftists, minorities, immigrants and youth within the rapidly changing Democratic Party, and the fact that his deputy is a woman younger than him, progressive and colorful, which gives some indications of that, and achieved integration with him in what he lacks.
Thus, the general headings of Biden's expected foreign policies towards the Arabs and Palestine may be as follows:
Biden will confirm that the countries of the Middle East and the Arabs are the ones responsible for solving their problems, and that they will not wait for a magic solution from America, and will not undertake any major military interventions in the region, and if conflicts and wars continue, he will follow them according to proxy wars, international and regional balances of power in the region, and soft and surgical methods of power. Specified.
Of course, America has withdrawn a lot since Obama from the Middle East as a top priority, while preserving its major interests in energy, markets, strategic alliance with Israel, military bases, fleets, and support for allied regimes.
America's priority since Obama has been to curb and compete with China's rising global economic and technological influence.
As for the Palestinian issue, Biden is expected to revert to stressing the importance of the two-state solution and adhering to the previous positions of the American administrations in general, and the importance of negotiation between the two sides of the "conflict" and communication with the Palestinian Authority, and he will backtrack on some of Trump's fierce policies in all of this.
But he is not expected, for example, to cancel the transfer of the American embassy to Jerusalem, and he may be content to announce that the embassy will be in West Jerusalem, and as for the East, to resolve it according to final negotiations. He is expected to encourage Arab-Israeli normalization, and he may use it to challenge Israel and its supporters with the importance of finding an "acceptable" solution To the Palestinians after the Arab threat is removed.
Biden is expected to greatly ease the pressure on the Palestinians, Jordanians and Arabs regarding solutions to the Palestinian issue, and he will tell them, "Manage your situation and solve your many complex internal problems between you and in the region." Unfortunately, they are many.
Facing the ambitions of the Israeli occupation and its hegemony in the region is one problem.
But the problems of Arab disasters and their civil wars, dictatorships, economic decline, Corona, corruption and people's demands for freedom, justice, decent living, and many other issues and problems.
Biden is not expected to be an enforcer - as Trump was - to the requests of the right-wing Netanyahu and his Israeli right.
Rather, we may witness tensions with them, as it has always happened with Clinton and Obama, and Biden will be closer to the theses of the collapsed Israeli left, and he is not expected to agree to Israeli projects to annex the West Bank, and he will not pursue the so-called scandalous deal of the century, and of course Biden and his deputy will remain more than they have always declared. They acted among the most fervent supporters of Israel.
But in a way to save it from some of the evils of its greed and its actions as well, and in line with the American general policy in the Middle East, including Israel's violation of Iran, Biden may revive the nuclear agreement with it, and the new Vice President Kamala Harris was among those who strongly criticized Trump for canceling the agreement with Iran. And exposing him to the security and interests of America at risk.
Of course, the Palestinian Authority is breathing a sigh of relief and will stop any implementation of coordination with Hamas, an end to the division and the adoption of peaceful popular resistance, and it will wait for the generosity of the White House, and we will enter in many years to come in the vicious circle of the path of a peaceful settlement, in return, Hamas will also breathe a sigh of relief, expecting America to ease One of its stifling and pro-Israel policies, and I hope that it will open up energy for it to communicate with the new American administration, after Hamas launched its political document that realistically accepts the two-state solution, and the conclusion is like in other Arab issues, Palestine will not benefit strategically much from Biden’s victory unless it happens. Change the Palestinians and the Arabs themselves, and change the balance of power in the region, and Biden will not try to change it against Israel;
Because America also has its own calculations and interests, and it is not always according to what Israel thinks.
However, Biden is expected to greatly ease the pressure on the Palestinians, Jordanians and Arabs regarding solutions to the Palestinian issue, and he will tell them, "Manage your situation and solve your many complex internal problems between you and in the region." Unfortunately, they are many.
Facing the ambitions of the Israeli occupation and its hegemony in the region is one problem.
But the problems of Arab disasters and their civil wars, dictatorships, economic decline, Corona, corruption and people's demands for freedom, justice, decent living, and many other issues and problems.
Biden is expected to follow Obama's theoretical and practical positions and policies, such as stressing the importance of freedoms, human rights, justice, peace, and the transition to democracy. Biden will criticize, under pressure from some of his progressive sectors, some of the transgressions of the ruling Arab regimes.
But it will not reach the amount of promoting democracy in the region or supporting any party to bring about a new Arab Spring.
Of course, the repressive Trump allies will be upset, and they will not be comfortable with Biden winning;
But she will try to please him and reconcile with him in her usual ways.
On the other hand, Biden is not expected to pursue Trump's war on political Islam and the Muslim Brotherhood directly or indirectly.
Rather, it may open back lines with them, reject Islamophobia, populism and racism, and will advocate, even theoretically, for everyone to be accommodated in desirable democracies that satisfy the people, and this may push some regimes to calm their very fierce attack against the Brotherhood.
Except for the regimes that consider them an existential threat, but will not be able to penetrate much into their people, as they will be subject to sharp criticism from the progressive democrats, and then from President Biden and his administration.
Because of Biden and his policies, it is expected that we will witness Gulf reconciliation, and American attempts to find solutions to the wars in Yemen, Libya, Syria and other conflicts, and the attempt to find stable legal regimes therein, and pressure towards a retreat in the Gulf impulses and interventions in such sensitive files, which have caused increased influence by Russia, Turkey and Iran.
Biden does not like that and has strong positions that are opposite to all of them. There are several positions of Kamala Harris, who is in the Senate rejecting the futile war in Yemen.
In sum, many may see that there is no difference between Trump and Biden towards the Arabs and Palestine.
However, methodically and realistically and without blaming America alone for our disasters, Biden will differ in many important aspects for us from what Trump was.
The truth is that Trump was a fierce grouch that provoked many of the Arab and Muslim peoples and people of color in America and around the world, and bridged the conflicts of religions, races, peoples, identities and civilizations, according to racist theses superior.
As for Biden, it is expected that he will return America, the world and the Middle East to traditional politics and its realistic calculations based on interests and balances and responding to changes in the region, and what its elites, people, systems, governments and opposition may have, and detailing this needs to study every file and issue.
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