[Reporter's commentary] Whereabouts of the fierce election campaign for the US president?

November 3, 19:46

In the US presidential election, the fierce campaign of both candidates will end and voting will begin.

This is a commentary by Kohei Tsuji, a reporter from the Washington Bureau, about the whereabouts of the election campaign.

Whereabouts of the fierce election campaign What is your local view?

Q: What is the whereabouts of the fierce election campaign and what is the local view?



・ In opinion polls, it is often said that this composition, in which Mr. Biden leads and President Trump rewinds in the final stage, is very similar to four years ago.



・ However, the major difference from the previous election is that nearly 100 million voters have already voted before the deadline.



・ It is believed that more Democratic supporters voted in the early voting, and there is a view that the effect is limited no matter how much President Trump catches up to the final stage.



・ On the other hand, the Trump camp is confident that "if many supporters go to vote on the day of voting, we can win."



・ President Trump even in his last speech before dawn urged him to go to the polling place anyway.



・ As per the pollster, it is unpredictable whether Mr. Biden will run away with a certain difference or President Trump will make a comeback.

Is there a situation where the president is not decided even if the voting result comes out?

Q: Is it possible that the president will not be decided even if the result of the vote comes out?



・ There is a good chance.



・ It is expected that both parties will declare victory.



・ Mr. Biden wants to make a big difference and drive into a situation where it is meaningless for President Trump to bring it into a court battle, but if you look at the situation at the end of the game, you do not know if it will go as expected.



・ What I feel when interviewing here is that many Trump supporters are convinced of victory. Even if you turn the water on Mr. Biden's lead in the poll, it will be dismissed as "fake news".



Experts point out that if President Trump were defeated and claimed to have been fraudulent in the elections, it could lead to radical action by some.



-Also, if Mr. Biden is defeated, there are similar concerns, and many people are worried that the legitimacy of the election will be questioned and that the turmoil will spread to society.



・ This election is positioned as a referee for President Trump's four years. Voting begins in a tense atmosphere.