Although opinion polls give a lead to Democratic candidate Joe Biden in the election, the activity of the volunteer army that supports President Donald Trump, and his opponent unambiguously lifted his position on two sensitive issues such as abortion and the oil industry, may backfire and allow Trump to win, according to Le Point magazine. French.
The magazine explained that the US presidential election game has theoretically ended, because most national opinion polls give the Democratic candidate a lead between 8 and 12 points, at a time when there is only less than a week left to vote, a period that experts do not believe is sufficient to bridge the large gap between the candidates. .
Experts say that, unlike in 2016, it is not possible at this short time for Trump to change his electoral status, even in "swing states".
However, they note, however, a slight increase in his national rating and a decrease in the rating of his opponent, since the debate on October 23, in which Trump showed some moderation in his usual transgressions.
1 / An army of volunteers
The magazine said that the number one reason Trump's supporters did not give in to defeat was the extraordinary mobilization of an army of volunteers bent on imposing victory, a mobilization that exceeds that of supporters of former President Barack Obama in his campaign.
The number of volunteers supporting Trump has been estimated at between 2.5 and 3 million, going door to door on regular visits to all those whose lists show that they are Republicans may have some hesitation when voting, and so the president's volunteers traveled all the states in which they expected to win the votes of the big electorate, even if with little progress.
In one week - as the magazine says - Trump volunteers announced 500,000 visits in "swing states," and even if there was some exaggeration in this number, the efforts of the President's supporters appear to be a reality, at a time when Biden's campaign has been slowed, due to the fears of the Corona candidate. Unlike his rivals, the Democrat is too careful of her.
2 / Abortion
Le Point said that the second debate, albeit boring, did not add much, but it gave Biden the opportunity to clarify his position on two sensitive topics, the first is the issue of abortion, where the Democratic candidate explained that if the Supreme Court vetoed the Supreme Court, appointing Amy Barrett, to the 2016 law ratifying the 1973 law Whoever gives women the possibility of abortion, he will issue a law to restore this issue, otherwise he will seek to expand the formation of the Supreme Court to restore the old balance.
She pointed out that the issue of abortion, although it appears acceptable in Europe, remains sensitive in the United States, where evangelical churches are sclerotic, "pro-life" protests take place regularly, and surgeons who conduct the operation are threatened.
It is said that about 20 states are awaiting a new Supreme Court ruling to ban abortion completely, and therefore Biden's strong position on this issue could cause the loss of a number of voters, especially among missionaries and Latinos who are abundant with pro-life.
3 / Oil industry
As for the other danger Biden was exposed to during the debate, it is economic, related to the oil industry, as Trump immediately declared victory when Biden admitted that he wanted to reduce the share of fossil fuels in development, saying, "Listen to this important statement from my opponent, you are members of Texas, Ohio and Pennsylvania," He insists that he wants to destroy the industry that is the source of your country's wealth. "
The magazine returned to summarize the matter that the volunteer army supporting Trump and the debate about abortion and oil are the things that the president relies on to catch up with his opponent, not at the national level but at the level of important states, as happened in 2016, especially in Texas, Florida, Georgia and Michigan, where the gap between the two opponents - as Pollsters say - still "within the margin of error".
Le Point warned that supporters of the president noted that those polled, given Trump's bad media reputation, tend not to admit that they will vote for him, and therefore Biden's progress in the opinion polls will not be as expected and announced.