The state counts more than 1,000 cases of "Covid-19" every day.

Iowa voted for Trump in 2016 and its camp will change in 2020

  • An American voter casts his vote in the early elections for Iowa state.

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Michael Smith lost her job when the Maytag washing machine factory closed its doors 15 years ago in Newton, Iowa, leaving about 1,000 employees out of work. This American, who belongs to the Democratic Party, believes that this explains the success of Donald Trump in 2016, when people said: « Not a politician, but a businessman, so let's give him a chance to revive the economy, ”but the situation may have changed today.

Smith, the chair of the Jasper County Democratic Party, is employed today at a call center, but her situation has not improved since the New York billionaire came to power.

"I have not had money for four years, and I can tell you that health insurance is becoming more expensive," she says.

A state in evolution

In this rural state in the American Midwest, Jasper County elected Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012, but Donald Trump managed to convince her easily, as he won by 18 points over his rival Hillary Clinton.

But recent polls show that he is almost tied in it with former Vice President Joe Biden, and Iowa is on the list of major states that might turn their camp from side to side.

In Newton, voters in large numbers head to vote less than two weeks before the date of the third of November, and early voting in this region may reach record levels, according to the authorities.

After casting his vote for Joe Biden, Craig the Thwart, a supporter of Bernie Sanders, expresses his hope for a possible victory for the Democrats, and said: "I think we had a chance to see what four years of Trump's presidency are like ... his performance is not good."

On the Republican side, the situation is distinctly different, says Keith Eckhart, a retiree who came to vote early: “President Trump has done a good job in almost everything, like the economy, there is a little problem with the new Corona virus, but I don't think Biden would have acted properly. Different".

In the face of the emerging crisis of the Corona virus, the head of the Republican Party in Jasper County, Thad Nirmayr, calls for a revival of the economy.

"The economy is a very big concern," he says, "We have to reopen what was closed due to the virus," although "Corona" has spread somewhat recently in Iowa.

Nirmeier, who was infected with "Covid-19", adds that it is now necessary to "move forward", in words similar to what the president said he had "immunity" after recovering from the disease.

Iowa counts more than 1,000 cases of Covid-19 every day, out of three million people.

Suburban women

Iowa includes only six of the most senior electors, out of the 270 that the candidate is supposed to vote for, but Trump visited Des Moines last week in an attempt to re-mobilize his base, and Trump tried to win support from his voter base, which has become not supportive of him. To make the difference: the women of the suburbs, and he said, "They want security, and they do not want the value of their homes to decrease."

According to a poll conducted in September, Biden has a 20-point lead over his opponent in this segment of women in Iowa, and this state, which has tended towards Republicans in recent years, has become more supportive of the Democrats due to demographic changes, according to a professor of political science at the University. Iowa, Karen Kidrovsky.

"All of the regions experiencing the fastest growth are near Des Moines, so the voices of women living in the suburbs are decisive," she says.

Donald Trump's defeat in Iowa could also have consequences in the Senate, whose seats are renewed one-third this year, and where Republicans have a majority of only three votes, and opinion polls have shown that Senator Johnny Ernst is behind her Democratic rival.

"I think that her fate is linked to Donald Trump," said a journalist on a local radio station, Robert Leonard, adding: "Republicans will not exclude Johnny Ernst, they love her, but rather independents who will vote according to their opinion of Trump."

- After casting his vote for Biden, craig the fearful, a supporter of Bernie Sanders, expresses his hope for a victory for the Democrats.

Trump has tried to win support from his voter base in Iowa, which is no longer supportive of him, and who could make the difference: the women of the suburbs.

"They want security and do not want the value of their homes to decrease," he said.

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