Political circles are putting their senses on the issue of politics that will rise to the table where families gather on Chuseok, the nation's biggest holiday.



The people's sentiment at the Chuseok table is regarded as the first watershed to determine who will take the political leadership in the face of a big political event called the Seoul and Busan mayors re-election by the mayors of Seoul and Busan early next year.

Also, at the first national audit of the 21st National Assembly, which begins after Chuseok, it is also a preliminary battle for strength between the opposition parties.



In such a situation, in the passport, the'big bad news' is met and an edgy expression is evident.

Just before the holiday season, North Korea shot a Korean Ministry of Maritime Affairs and Fisheries officials in the west sea and burned and damaged the body (or valuables), and the public opinion deteriorated.



On the 28th of last month, just before the Chuseok holiday, Real Meter announced the approval rating of President Moon Jae-in for the 4th week of September, showing 51.5% negative and 44.7% positive.

Since the reversal in September, negative evaluation has exceeded 50% in the third week.

Here, the difference between the positive and negative evaluations was 6.8% points, which widened outside the margin of error (95% confidence level ±2.0% points).



Realmeter explained that issues such as the murder of North Korea (on the 24th) and the apology of North Korean leader Kim Jong-un (on the 25th) were limited to the approval rating.



While public opinion is not very good, some comments from key passport officials are also facing headwinds.

Roh Si-min, Chairman of the Roh Moo-Hyun Group, described Chairman Kim Jong-un as a'Enlightenment Lord', or Jeong Se-hyun, former Minister of Unification, said that the murder of our people would be a'consolation for the recovery of inter-Korean relations'.



This part has not yet been reflected in the presidential approval rating, and the passport is anxious about what kind of public opinion will be formed at the head of the Chuseok table.




Even before the major bad news of North Korea's attack on the Korean people, the topography of public opinion was not good for the passport.

Due to the controversy over the return of military leave by Justice Minister Chu Mi-ae's son, which lasted for nearly a month, President Moon's approval rating continued to outperform the positive.



In the passport, I have been concerned that the controversy over the son of Minister Chu, ahead of the Chuseok holiday, will resemble the trend of declining approval ratings during the so-called'motherland crisis' during Chuseok last year.

This is because the controversy between Minister Chu and former Justice Minister Cho Kook has in common that they are not free from criticism that they are undermining the'fairness' value of the Moon Jae-in administration.



It was around Chuseok last year that the support for the administration of President Moon's state administration, which continued its high-altitude march, declined significantly.

The memory that it took a considerable amount of time to recover the support level is still vivid inside the passport as the single issue of'The Great War of the Fatherland' shakes the people's feelings on Chuseok.

In the second week of October last year, the negative evaluation of President Moon's state administration during the motherland crisis soared to 56.1%, the highest level since his inauguration.



On the 28th of last month, just before the holiday season, the Seoul East District Prosecutor's Office released an investigation result in which only the military prosecutors related to the extension of the vacation were sent to the military prosecutors after dismissing Chu, his son, and the aide of Minister Chu who had called the military to inquire about vacation extension It.



This content has not yet been reflected in the approval rate of President Moon, but it seems that the trend of the presidential approval rate graph after the holiday season depending on what kind of public opinion will form at the Chuseok table head.



This is'News Pick'.



※ You can view the details of the polls cited in the article on the Real Meter website or the Central Election Poll Review Committee website (https://www.nesdc.go.kr/portal/main.do).