Chinanews.com, October 1st. According to the website of the Ministry of Emergency Management, recently, the Office of the National Disaster Reduction Commission and the Ministry of Emergency Management, together with the Ministry of Natural Resources, the Ministry of Water Resources, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the Meteorological Bureau, the Forestry and Grass Bureau, etc. The national natural disaster risk situation will be discussed and judged during the month and National Day holidays.

Comprehensive analysis believes that in October, the national natural disaster risk level is comparable to that of normal years. Forest fires, autumn floods, autumn typhoons, geological disasters, wind and hail, earthquakes and low-temperature frost damage may occur to varying degrees.

This year's National Day is the first long holiday after my country's fight against the new crown pneumonia epidemic has achieved major strategic results, and the order of production and life has been stabilized. The National Day and Mid-Autumn Festivals are superimposed. People have a strong desire to travel, concentrated travel time, and new natural and secondary disasters. Accidents are intertwined with the risks derived from the areas severely affected by previous floods and require a high degree of vigilance.

　　Autumn rain in West China may cause local flooding and geological disasters.

Precipitation is still high in Jianghan, the southeastern part of the northwestern region, and the eastern part of the southwestern region. Autumn floods may occur in the Weihe River, the upper reaches of the Yangtze River and the Han River in the Yellow River Basin.

Sichuan, Chongqing, Guizhou, Hubei, Shaanxi, Gansu and other places need to guard against disaster risks such as mountain torrents, landslides, mudslides, wind and hail that may be caused by heavy rainfall and strong convection.

　　South China may suffer from typhoon disasters.

There may be 4 to 5 typhoons in the Northwest Pacific and South China Sea, and 1 to 2 of them landed or significantly affected the coastal areas of South China.

Regional rainstorms and floods may occur along the coast of Guangdong and Hainan Island in the Pearl River Basin, and some small and medium-sized rivers in the rainstorm area may be over-alarm.

Guangdong, Guangxi, Hainan and other places need to guard against typhoons and the effects of wind and rain.

　　The forest fire risk level in many forest areas is higher.

In October, 16 provinces across the country will enter the autumn fire prevention period one after another.

Forest fire insurance in parts of northern Beijing, northern and southern Hebei, eastern and southwestern Shanxi, northern Fujian, eastern Jiangxi, northwestern mountains, northern Henan, southern Hunan, southwest Sichuan, northwest Yunnan, central Shaanxi, eastern Gansu, etc. The level is high, and some provinces need to focus on preventing major forest fires and border fires.

　　Crops in Inner Mongolia, Heilongjiang and Xinjiang may suffer low temperature damage.

Most of the north will be affected by the process of relatively strong cold air. The initial frost in parts of eastern Inner Mongolia, northern North China, northern Heilongjiang, and northern Xinjiang may cause local crops to suffer low temperature damage.

　　During the National Day holiday, there was a risk of floods, wind and hail disasters in Hubei, Henan, Anhui and Zhejiang. From 2-4 days, there were obvious precipitation processes in Jianghan, Jianghuai, and northern Jiangnan. Some areas had heavy rainfall. Strong convective weather such as short-term strong precipitation and thunder and lightning in the local areas of Hubei, Henan, Anhui and Zhejiang may cause floods, mountain torrents, wind and hail and geology Disaster risk. Recently, many rivers in Northeast China have been over-warranted and over-guaranteed for a long time. Some sections of the Songhua River Basin need to be protected against dangerous dikes. Continuous rainfall in Chongqing, Guizhou and Shaanxi may cause geological disasters. The rainy weather in the east of the southwest and southeast of the northwest is as high as 5-7 days. Some areas of Chongqing, Guizhou and Shaanxi have heavy to heavy rains. The upper and middle reaches of the Yangtze River and the Hanjiang River may have a flood process, superimposed on the previous continuous rain in West China, and local geological disasters in Chongqing, Guizhou and Shaanxi The possibility of sporadic occurrence is high. Forest fire risks have increased in parts of Northeast China. On the 1st and 2nd, forest fire risk levels were higher in parts of northern Beijing, northern Hebei, southeastern Shanxi, southwestern mountains, and northern Henan. After 3 days, affected by precipitation, the fire risk level of Shanxi, Shandong, Henan and other places has been reduced, and the other areas mentioned above remain unchanged. On the 6th to 8th, the forest fire risk level was higher in parts of northeastern Inner Mongolia and western Heilongjiang, and the grassland fire risk level was higher in parts of Hulunbuir, Inner Mongolia. In addition, there will be a typhoon that will affect the South China Sea during the latter part of the National Day holiday. Hainan needs to prepare for typhoon rain and flood disaster prevention and response.