U.S. Presidential Election Fierce Battle State also Dominates Mr. Biden September 29, 19:50
In the United States, Mr. Biden still leads President Trump by nearly seven points, according to the latest polls.
Biden also has an advantage in fierce battle states, which are said to determine the outcome of the presidential election, but the difference is small in some states.
As of the 29th, the average poll of voters in the United States, compiled by the US political information site "Real Clear Politics," was 49.7% for former Vice President Biden and 42.9% for President Trump. Biden is 6.8 points ahead of Trump and maintains the lead.
However, in most states, the US presidential election uses a "winner-all-take-all method," in which a candidate who wins as many votes as possible wins all the electors assigned to that state. Winning or losing in a fierce battle state where the approval ratings of both parties are in conflict with each other will determine the outcome.
For this reason, both camps are focusing on campaigning in fierce battle states, especially in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, where Mr. Trump won the election last time, overturning most expectations. The trends of the three states of "Last Belt", which once flourished in industry, and the three states of Florida, North Carolina, and Arizona, which are the states and Michigan, are attracting attention.
According to the average polls conducted in these six states compiled by RealClearPolitics, Biden is 48.6%, Trump is 45.0%, and Biden is 3.6 points ahead.
By state, Pennsylvania has 5.7 points, Wisconsin has 5.5 points, Michigan has 5.2 points, and Biden is ahead of Trump.
And in Arizona, where Republican candidates have won each of the last four presidential elections, Biden leads by 3.4 points.
In Florida, which has a large population, Bloomberg, the former mayor of New York City, has announced that he will support Mr. Biden by investing more than 10 billion yen in Japanese yen. It is increasing.
In Florida, Biden is 47.8% and Trump is 46.7%, a difference of only 1.1 points.
Furthermore, in North Carolina, Mr. Biden is 47.0% and Mr. Trump is 46.2%, which is a close battle of 0.8 points.
Since President Nixon, who was elected in 1968, all Republican presidents who have won the presidential election have won in North Carolina, and the traditional Republican competition in strong states illustrates President Trump's struggle. There is also an analysis with.
Biden's focus on expert television discussions
Michael Cornfield, an associate professor at George Washington University who specializes in American politics for the first television debate, points out that how Mr. Biden responds to President Trump's attack is the main focus, and the whereabouts of the attack are voters. He said that it would have a great influence on the evaluation of.
In this, Mr. Cornfield said, "Many voters are dissatisfied with President Trump's response to the new coronavirus. President Trump's purpose at the television debate is to raise the interest of voters due to the new coronavirus and economic deterioration. It's a distraction. "
"The best choice for President Trump is to attack Mr. Biden," he said, and predicted at a television debate that President Trump would slander Mr. Biden and attack him violently.
On the other hand, Mr. Biden said, "Viewers are interested in how Mr. Biden responds to President Trump," and pointed out that the main focus is Mr. Biden's response to President Trump's attack. did.
He added, "For Mr. Biden, if he doesn't show a frightening attitude due to the president's attack, he should show that he has the qualities to become president, and body language, voice, and a confident attitude are important." It was.
In addition, most voters have already decided which one to vote for, while Biden's results in the debate will appeal to voters who haven't decided yet.