A diplomatic war between Johnson and Biden ... the largest trade agreement in history is threatening to collapse

The Democratic candidate for the US elections, Joe Biden, issued a strong warning to British Prime Minister Boris Johnson about the possibility of torpedoing the negotiations of the trade agreement between Washington and London, in case the latter insists on the "internal market" law that paves the way for Britain's violation of international law, and backs out of its obligations with the European Union.

Biden's tweet - strong in its tone - caused a severe impact in the United Kingdom, which was not used to its American ally with such a threat, and it also opened the door wide to further aggravate relations between the two countries, in the event that the Democratic candidate arrives at the White House.

Johnson relies a lot on the free trade agreement between the two countries to fill the void left by the withdrawal from the European Union, which was expressed by US Vice President Mike Pence earlier by saying, "When they are abroad, we will enter," and he meant the Europeans and that the United States would compensate them.

Biden justified his strong opposition to the "internal market" law by threatening the "Good Friday" agreement between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, and that Johnson's violation of international law would restore solid borders on the Irish island, which was what the peace agreement brought in order to get rid of it.

The presidential candidate put the trade agreement with Britain in perspective, and the "internal market" law in the hand, and Johnson must choose, knowing that the latter did everything in his power to sign the "largest trade agreement in history" as described by US President Donald Trump.

According to experts, expectations - in the event this agreement is completed - indicate that it will increase the volume of trade exchange by about 4 to 5 times, noting that the exchanges between the two countries currently amount to 200 million billion dollars annually, which means that they are eligible to reach nearly a trillion in the event. Approval of the agreement.

Trump (right) described the trade agreement with Britain as historic (Reuters)

My enemy's friend is my enemy

Observers believe that the entry of the Democratic candidate for the presidency of the White House on the line intertwines what is personal with what is political and is also economic. Biden was not known to like Johnson and they did not have a special relationship, on the contrary, he was one of the most vocal opponents of Brexit.

In addition to the fact that Biden has Irish origins, it makes him deal with the "Good Friday" agreement very carefully, and he does not want any British move to threaten this agreement, of which the United States is one of its main sponsors.

And in the election environment in which the United States is living, none of the two rival camps wants to present a gift to the other, especially if it is the size of a free exchange agreement that will be the largest in the history of the two countries, and that is why Biden joined the efforts of his party to obstruct or at least delay negotiations on this agreement. , So as not to be concluded.

This trend among the Democrats is evident through the correspondence sent by the head of the Congressional Foreign Trade Committee to the British Prime Minister, asking him not to proceed with the "internal market" law, otherwise any trade agreement with his country will not pass in Congress, which was supported by Nancy Pelosi, President US House of Representatives.

Stab for British ally

Biden’s tweet about Britain and the “Good Friday” agreement was not welcomed by British politicians, especially within the Conservative Party, who considered that what the candidate for the US elections had done was an interference in the affairs of their country, given the sensitivity of the Irish file in the United Kingdom.

British politicians ’anger at Biden’s language also masks the government's fear of the fate of the trade agreement. Even if Trump remains for a second term, the deal will need approval from the Democratic majority.

From a British point of view, the Queen's government has provided all possible guarantees and even concessions for the success of the trade agreement with the United States, and perhaps the most important measure is London's withdrawal from health standards for food products approved by the European Union, so that American products can enter the British market.

Indeed, documents - leaked during the British elections at the end of last year - revealed that Americans want to invest in the British health sector, in a historic precedent for the Kingdom.

What complicates the situation for Johnson is that he is moving towards withdrawing from the European Union without an agreement, and in the event that the trade agreement with the United States fails by the Democrats, then the British economy will meet 3 painful blows: Exit from Europe without a trade agreement, the bet on the United States failed The devastating consequences of the Corona epidemic on the economy.

Johnson is moving towards withdrawing from the European Union without an agreement (Anatolia)

Search for the lobby

The US Democratic Party’s majority in Congress was a matter of concern in the ranks of Johnson’s team, knowing the extent of the relationship linking democratic names with the Irish lobby, and the latter had always sought to link any trade agreement, between the United Kingdom and the United States, with the absence of any solid borders within the Irish island After Brexit.

That is why many analyzes went to the fact that Biden’s position also comes as a result of the pressure exerted by the Irish lobby in Washington, and his success in reaching figures who have been appointed to important positions to oversee all trade agreements for the United States.

These analyzes are based on the reception the leader of the "Sinn Fein" party received in Washington, noting that this party is the political wing of the Irish Republican Army.

The Republic of Ireland wants to guarantee itself that there will be no borders with Northern Ireland after Brexit, and for this it is pressing everything it can in Washington, because it knows that the trade agreement with the United States is enough to make Johnson back down from his intention to violate the agreement he concluded with the European Union regarding the status of the Irish island.