It is predicted that the death toll from Corona 19 could reach 410,000 in the United States this year.
This means that over 220,000 people will die of Corona 19 in the next four months, and more deaths will occur than ever.
The U.S. University of Washington Medical School's Institute of Health Quantitative Analysis predicted that the cumulative death of Corona 19 in the U.S. would reach 410,000 by January 1 of next year in the newly updated corona 19 prediction model yesterday (4th), the U.S. media reported. I did.
The Institute for Health Measurement and Analysis explained that the forecast of 410,000 people means an additional 225,000 deaths from now to the end of this year.
As of yesterday (4th) compiled by Johns Hopkins University in the United States, the number of Corona 19 deaths in the United States was 18,752.
The institute also observed that in December, the number of Corona 19 deaths per day could reach a record-high 3,000.
The Institute for Health Measurement and Analysis said, "The number of deaths per day in the United States is expected to reach nearly 3,000 in December due to the seasonality (of winter) and the ease of public alertness."
The highest number of COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. was in April, with more than 1,000 deaths per day throughout the month, and seventeen of them exceeded 2,000.
In addition, the number of deaths of 3,000 per day is significantly more than three times the number of deaths per day, which is around 850.
According to the Institute for Health Measurement and Analysis, mask use has been decreasing since the beginning of last month, when masks were already most active in some parts of the United States.
It is particularly prominent in the Midwest, including Illinois and Iowa.
The Institute for Health Quantitative Analysis predicts that deaths will increase significantly, especially if the introduction of a ``collective immunity'' strategy that is allegedly claimed by President Donald Trump's new medical adviser Scott Atlas.
The Institute for Health Quantitative Analysis warned, "If the group immunity strategy is pursued, that is, from now to January 1, if no additional government is involved, the cumulative death toll could increase to 620,000."
Population immunity refers to a condition in which the proportion of the population who is immune to the disease has reached a certain level or higher as antibodies are produced after being infected with a specific disease or after being healed by a vaccine.
When this group immunity is formed, the spread of the disease decreases, and even people without immunity are less likely to become infected.
However, in the absence of vaccines and treatments, the collective immunity strategy means that the economy will operate normally and the spread of infection will be virtually neglected.
Conversely, the institute predicts that if almost everyone wears a mask, the number of additional deaths could be cut by more than half, and an increase in mask wear would reduce the number of additional deaths by 30%.
The institute said, "If masks are worn more actively to the level of Singapore, the cumulative death toll will decrease to 288,000," and "This means that 122,000 lives can be saved compared to the standard predicted scenario."
The institute also pointed out that although the number of new infections of Corona 19 recently declined from its peak, Corona 19 has surpassed cancer as the second leading cause of death in the United States.
The only disease that caused more deaths than Corona 19 is heart disease.