Tension is increasing in the South China Sea
US sanctions on Chinese companies will not deter Beijing
The American presence in the region did not change China's behavior.
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The administration of President Donald Trump recently imposed sanctions on 24 Chinese companies due to the establishment of an island in the South China Sea, and imposed restrictions on Chinese visas, and this is another new measure adopted by the United States to expand its conflict with China.
Washington has been planning for a long time to impose sanctions.
Washington wants to use the sanctions to demonstrate its hard-line stance toward China in favor of Trump's presidential campaign, and this could be seen as a diplomatic move toward the president's re-election.
The sanctions are designed with the elections in mind, and will cause limited harm to Chinese companies, but they will generate some uncertainty for those companies' business abroad. By announcing the sanctions, the United States has toughened its position on the issue of sovereignty over the South China Sea, but Washington has not offered any hints to develop its goals. Strategy in the region, or the start of a military competition with China.
Disputes over sovereignty over the South China Sea went through several rounds, ups and downs, and regional countries gradually adapted to the situation.
Negotiations are underway on the South China Sea Code of Conduct, which means that America and other outside powers have limited room to maneuver to provoke skirmishes in the region.
The real danger to the regional situation is the possibility of military friction, and compared to previous years, other claimant countries in the South China Sea are now less likely to be involved in maritime accidents with China, however the risk of accidental maritime and air disputes between China and the United States is on the rise, and this is the focus The real tense situation in this region.
On the one hand, Washington strongly promotes the so-called "freedom of navigation" in the South China Sea, and continues to pressure China. On the other hand, America fears that China will modernize its naval and land missile forces, as well as China's determination to protect its minimum national interests.
There was speculation that the Chinese army had launched missiles in the China Sea recently, at a time when the Chinese side did not confirm or deny this.
Given that the American army is repeatedly flexing its muscles in the China Sea, the Chinese army must increase its movements in the waters, to confront the American "arrogance", and send a message that China is not afraid of war, and will not ease its position in the face of the conflict.
Nor should Washington assume that military escalation can deter the Chinese people.
US sanctions against Chinese companies are a fringe tactic in the midst of Sino-American competition in the South China Sea, and they cannot really pressure Beijing, nor can they encourage countries like Vietnam and the Philippines.
The Chinese are mocking visa restrictions, and while the epidemic is not over in the United States, how many Chinese would be willing to go to the worst affected country across the Pacific?
The US side constantly includes Chinese companies on its own lists, and it is not easy for the Chinese side to implement retaliation, but China should not be discouraged.
On the other hand, all trade sanctions are double-edged swords.
And when America imposes sanctions on a Chinese company, American companies will also suffer.
On the other hand, Chinese companies will learn to avoid being subjected to US sanctions, and the Chinese economy will gradually have the ability to avoid risks, and this ability to adapt will increase rapidly.
The risk of accidental sea and air disputes between China and the United States is rising.
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