Anxious to piece together the "Four Nations Alliance" in an attempt to form the Indo-Pacific version of "NATO"

　　The United States is determined to disturb the Indo-Pacific

　　According to Reuters, Robert O'Brien, assistant to the US President’s National Security Affairs, said at the Atlantic Council that the US intends to hold high-level meetings with India, Australia, and Japan with security partners in the “Alliance of Four” in September and October. Meeting with counterpart officials from 3 partner countries in Hawaii in October.

US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo will hold talks with the foreign ministers of the so-called "Alliance of Four" in September and October.

Take advantage of the momentum to advance the Indo-Pacific strategy

　　"The United States has huge stakes in the Indo-Pacific region." O'Brien said that the Indo-Pacific region is the engine of the world economy, and the United States will play a major role there.

One way to play a role is to create a safe and secure environment in the Indo-Pacific region through defense partnerships and diplomatic partnerships between the United States and its allies.

　　In December 2017 and January 2018, the U.S. government issued the National Security Strategy Report and the National Defense Strategy Report respectively, officially upgrading the Indo-Pacific Strategy to a national strategy.

In June 2019, the U.S. Department of Defense released the U.S. Indo-Pacific Strategy Report, which comprehensively explained the goals, main threats, and means of achieving the goals of the Trump administration's "Indo-Pacific Strategy", which became an important part of the United States in advancing the Indo-Pacific Strategy. Policy documents.

　　"Recently, the United States announced plans to hold the'Four Nations Alliance' foreign ministers' talks. If the foreign ministers' talks are successfully held, it will be a major breakthrough in the'four-nation alliance' cooperation and an important advancement of the United States''Indo-Pacific strategy'.” Renmin University of China American Research Li Wei, deputy director and professor of the center, said in an interview with our reporter that the "Indo-Pacific strategy" is one of the main international strategies of the Trump administration, and it can even be said to be the most important international strategy.

The core of the "Indo-Pacific strategy" is the "four-nation alliance."

The "Indo-Pacific Strategy" proposed by the United States in 2017 did not put forward too many substantive content, but only strengthened security dialogues between the United States, Japan, India and Australia.

Since the outbreak of the new crown pneumonia epidemic this year, the international situation has been complex and changing. The United States has ushered in some major strategic opportunities and has begun to enrich the content of the "Indo-Pacific Strategy."

Shikoku is not monolithic

　　According to the US "Diplomat" website, the United States and India are preparing to sign an agreement to share geospatial defense intelligence.

Officials in India stated that the United States and India are likely to hold a "2+2" dialogue between the foreign ministers/defense ministers of the two countries in September this year and sign the "Basic Exchange and Cooperation Agreement on Geospatial Cooperation (BECA)" during this period.

BECA is the last of the four "fundamental" agreements signed between the United States and India. These agreements are considered the basis for deepening the defense cooperation between the United States and India.

　　"India currently urgently needs support from the United States, including military weapons procurement, diplomatic solidarity, and even economic support." Li Wei believes that although the United States hopes to use the power to forcefully advance the "Indo-Pacific strategy," the "four-nation alliance" is not monolithic.

As a member of the "Five Eyes Alliance", Australia has been urging the United States to return to the Asia-Pacific, and it has clearly stood by the side of the United States in promoting the United States' Indo-Pacific strategy.

However, there are differences in the understanding of the "Indo-Pacific strategy" between India and Australia.

In addition, Japan’s current attitude is more hesitant. Japan completely relies on the United States for security issues. However, economically, China and Japan have close economic and trade relations.

In addition, the uncertainty of Japan's domestic politics may also affect Japan's attitude towards the "four-nation alliance."

Wishful abacus is not easy to realize

　　According to Hong Kong’s South China Morning Post, US Deputy Secretary of State Stephen Biegan recently stated in an online seminar at the US-India Strategic Partnership Forum that the US intends to formalize the Indo-Pacific defense relationship and integrate the so-called “Group of Four” into a trend. An organization close to NATO.

　　Li Wei analyzed that the United States has always hoped to build a "4+4" dialogue, that is, a dialogue between the four foreign ministers and the defense ministers of the four countries.

The United States recently announced that the four-nation foreign ministers’ meeting will soon be held. Next, the United States may further promote the four-nation defense ministers’ dialogue and economic and trade ministers’ dialogue. On this basis, the four-nation summit will be promoted, thereby transforming the four-nation alliance from an informal organization to a formal alliance. Hope's Indo-Pacific version of "NATO".

Li Wei analyzed that the U.S.'s conspiracy may not stop there. He also hopes to enrich the economic foundation of this alliance and establish an enhanced version of the "Comprehensive and Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (CPTPP)" alliance among the four countries of the United States, Japan, India and Australia.

If such an alliance of all-round and multi-field cooperation is reached, it will be a "quasi-cold war" alliance.

　　"The biggest impact of the formation of the'Four Nations Alliance' by the United States on the situation in the Indo-Pacific region is that the expansion of the influence of the'Four Nations Alliance' will further force Southeast Asian countries and South Korea in the Indo-Pacific region to choose sides in the international situation and push the Indo-Pacific region to In the chaotic situation of geopolitical conflicts and conflicts. Li Wei said, “However, the current'four-nation alliance' is only in its infancy, and the formation of the alliance is still affected by the complicated Indo-Pacific situation. The United States’ wishful thinking is not so easy to realize.

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　　Our reporter Gao Qiao