Do you remember what was the key goal of the government program?
Under normal circumstances, an employment rate of 75%, 60,000 new decision-making jobs and balanced public finances by 2023.
Korona came, but in the budget debate just over a month later, the government should have 30,000 decision-based jobs, calculated jobs created by structural reforms, according to its program.
Jobs were such a central goal in the government program that seven (7) tripartite working groups were established for it.
The working groups have been in operation for more than a year, and it has long been known that the working groups and the government will not have to submit 30,000 new jobs by this autumn’s budget debate.
30,000 is a figure that involves tremendous pressure - both in the government between the left and the center and between the social partners.
So far, the problem has just been balled up, stuck in pottery and nothing has been accomplished, not properly even tried.
Some of the working groups have reached an agreement, but the result is meager in terms of jobs. Easy things are easy to agree on.
For example, a working group considering the service structures of labor market policy will present a municipal experiment at the beginning of next year. Thousands of jobs will not be created in the pilot municipalities when employment services are transferred to the municipal account.
Accordingly, the results of the working group on labor migration and integration are the Talent boost program, or new employment models are being considered in the group for the partially able-bodied.
The road tends to stand up if the disputes are principled and your own position is flexible like a rail.
The SDP and the Left Alliance do not walk over Hakaniemi, this government will not weaken the position of workers, not even the euro.
The working group that examined wage subsidies and benefits has been the most active of the groups. It should deliver results by the time of the budget debate.
The government has promised to invest in wage subsidies, wage subsidies will not create jobs, but intervention in benefits would create jobs.
The Working Party will not reach any agreement on benefits, including the staggering of earnings-related unemployment benefits.
The trade union movement and the SDP do not want this government to undermine unemployment security in any way.
The only thing that may, perhaps, come into question in the budget debate is the removal of the unemployment pipe.
More than a year ago, the social partners agreed to raise the lower limit of the unemployment pipeline to 62 years.
Another key employment group is the local agreement group.
According to IS data, the group was last met today, Friday, and as is well known, employers and employees are far apart in a local agreement.
A working group on local agreement would need an active approach from the government, and the position of the demar-led government is known.
There is not even a lean agreement in the local agreement, at least by the time of the budget dispute.
Prime Minister Sanna Marin (sd) and Vice-President Ville Skinnari (sd) have reiterated that decisions on 30,000 jobs can be postponed from the budget debate to later autumn.
This is very likely to be the case, even though the government partner Center has maintained 30,000 decision-making jobs in its speeches by the time of the budget dispute.
Chairman Katri Kulmuni (center) and Minister of Finance Matti Vanhanen (center) assured in early July that the goal was to decide on 30,000 new jobs in the budget debate.
These talks fell silent a month ago when IS revealed the Marin government had agreed in an additional protocol on the goal shift.
It is enough for the government if 30,000 can be accumulated during the autumn.
Slipping from the employment target puts a lot of pressure on the center. Pressure is bubbling beneath the surface during the summer break in politics.
The center party meeting in early September will also be crucial for Marin's government.
The former prime minister’s party is taking the lead in canvases, the fallen government seat since the defeat of the election has further eaten support and the numbers are now ten per cent.
What kind of policy does the center want to support in the government, how does the party meeting deny the center leadership? Is the center in government a financial conscience or a cuckold for its red-green government partners?
The center has a newly elected chairman in the budget dispute, Minister of Finance Vanhanen is responsible for the budget, and the center's game book is an open case for the time being.
There is a week and a half of budget strife from the downtown party meeting - there is a storm in the forecasts instead of the bottom. Unless unpleasant and difficult decisions are postponed again, and each party prefers to be purely ideological rather than narrowly flawed.