With the announcement of the yesterday (the 31st of last month) by the joint stance posture censorship group, the case of Ganghwa-do'swimming Wolbuk' ended. Kim Mo, a 25-year-old North Korean defector, arrived at the Han River through a waterway under a fence near Yeonmijeong in Ganghwa Province at about 2:46 am on the 18th of last month and landed in the North Pompo area at about 4 am.

During about 75 minutes of swimming defection, Kim was captured seven times by military surveillance equipment, but the military was not aware, the Jeonbi Stance Censors said. The liaison asked Kim for his responsibility not to stop North Korea's North Korea and sent the resignation of the 2nd Division of Marine Corps and the censure of other officers and officials on the command line to the military discipline.

However, there is very little objective evidence among the results of the investigation by the Joint Pre-Staff Censorship. Rather, there are many estimates. In particular, the decisive scenes of North Korea are presumed. In other words, the results of the investigation of the NON-ST posts are based on estimates. It is worth considering whether the announcement of the Jeonbi Stance Censorship was impatient, or whether the measures and censures derived from the survey results were irrational.


● There are no traces of people passing through the ditch!

The announcement of the results of the survey of the North Korean Political Precautionary Squad was conducted at the Ministry of National Defense's press room at 10 am yesterday. This was a back ground briefing format where shooting was not allowed.

A joint official said, "The scene of Mr. Kim arriving at Yeonmijeong and moving in the direction of the drainage was filmed on CCTV at Socho Guard Station." Kim's bag containing a bank passbook was found at the entrance to the drainage channel next to Yeonmijeong. This is the objective fact, and the next steps leading up to the passage, access, swimming, and landing of the ditch are estimated.


The drainage channel known to have passed by Kim is 1.84 m wide, 1.76 m long, and 5.5 m long. Reinforcing bars are vertically inserted like a grate inside, and then, behind the river, a barbed wire is blocked. In the announcement of the survey results, a joint official said, "Yoon-hyun barbed wire is not sturdy and can be pushed to the side and passed." "There is evidence that Mr. Kim pushed and passed," he never said.

In fact, there were no traces of people passing inside the drainage path next to Yeonmijeong. A number of military officials familiar with the incident confirmed that "no traces of human passage were found as a result of the site investigation by the Ministry of National Defense's investigation headquarters and the South Gyeonggi Police Agency's forensic investigation."

The bottom of the ditch is a tidal flat land that falls on the ankle and knee when an adult steps on it. There was no human footprint there. Of course, you can get rid of even the deepest footprints as the water comes out.

Next, even if the rebar obstacles are squeezed through the gaps, the Yoon-Hyung barbed wire must be removed to one side before passing. However, "there were no traces of the artificial barbed wire that was artificially removed," military officials say. There is no evidence that Mr. Kim passed through the ditch, but since the bag was at the entrance to the ditch, Mr. Kim hit it.


● It is 4.5km away in 75 minutes… Faster than a triathlon player!

The distance of the waterway from Yeonmijeong, where North Korea originated from North Korea to Tanpo, the landing point, estimated by the joint non-posture censorship team is 4.5 km. It was acquired at 2:46 am and landed around 4 am. A ride of high tide suggests that 4.5km of water can swim in about 75 minutes by swimming. It is not that it is not fast to cross the 4.5km area where the sea meets the river in 75 minutes.

Let's take a look at the sea swimming (1.5km) record of the Busan International Triathlon Triathlon held in Yeongdo-gu, Busan last August. The group of 25-29-year-old clubs of the same age as the swimmer North Korean leader Kim is 33 squads from 1st to 3rd. There are also 40 and 46 minutes in the top 10.

If the 1st~3rd winner of the Triathlon Triathlon swims 4.5km at the same speed, it takes 99 minutes. Dwarf Kim, who was dwarfed by 163cm and 54kg, said that he cut off the 4.5km dark waterway from Ganghwa Island to North Korea in 76 minutes. No matter how much Kim said he was riding in the tide, it is not well understood that steel stamina owners are faster than Busan's sea swimming speed.

In fact, the flow of water was not very good for the North. The high tide time of July 18 off the coast of Yeonmijeong is about 4:20 am. Around 1 hour long before and after high tide, the water flow is almost stopped. Even with a short catch, the flow of water was not available from 3:30 to 4:00.

● Seven scenes on surveillance equipment… Experts also discerned that

Kim's swim defection was filmed five times on short-range and medium-range surveillance cameras and twice on thermal surveillance equipment (TOD). The joint venture promised not to shoot at the time of the announcement, and showed the reporters the video. It was a scene where faint dots floated on the black screen. One of those points is Mr. Kim, Mr. Hap explained. Hapcham said, "That's that," but the reporter wasn't sure about "that's that."

An official of the joint venture said, "It is not possible to conclude that Kim is a faint point in the video." It is known that the object in the video was debated within the military over whether the North Koreans were right or wrong.

In the announcement of the results of the survey, the officials of the joint venture also explained, "The video equipment analyst at the Command and Communications Command of the Armed Forces found the scenes after repeatedly returning the photographs of a specific time zone and a specific region several times for several hours." The expert in reading video of surveillance equipment has to think about looking for it and look at it again and say, "It seems to be a person." The seventh is only an estimate of Kim.

There is a small uninhabited island called Judo in the middle of Kim's North Korea route. Because it is an intermediate water area where humans have been cut off, many waterfowl such as cormorants live. The body temperature of waterfowl is similar to that of humans. On a dim night with moonlight, how different would it be between a person swimming with a head outside hundreds of meters and a cormorant for surveillance?

Here is another point. Even the best video reading expert in the military firmly believed that there would be Kim, who came to North Korea. This means that even the best experts could not identify the North Koreans at Ganghwado Island on the morning of July 18.

What would you say to the Marines of the 2nd Division of the Marine Corps, who were keenly engaged in the border service with North Korea, staring at objects from the north to the south? On the other side of the day, the North Korean land lit up and the North Koreans moved untidy all night, and our soldiers had to focus on it. 2nd Division soldiers may raise their heads and shoulders. In addition, the Marine Corps 2nd Division maintains an area that will not be easy for 3-4 divisions of the Army. ▶ [Report File] In the'swimming Wolbuk' incident, and the Marine Corps 2nd Division guarding 100km alone

, the joint could not reveal how Mr. Kim came to North Korea. The more you chew through the results of the investigation of the estimated full-scale Stance Screening Group, the bigger the question. Without a clear examination of the facts of the North and North Korea border failure, measures are empty and censure is unfair.