Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is maneuvering in a fourth election scenario in Israel, to cover up his failure to manage the Corona crisis, in an effort to contain the secretions of the corruption files he faces, in light of the widening circle of disagreement in the government coalition and its partner, the "Blue and White" party.
The scenario of the fourth elections was not absent from the Israeli political scene after the results of the Knesset elections last March, but the Corona crisis prompted the formation of an emergency government and the dismantling of the Blue and White Alliance, and the right parties' refusal to participate in the rotation coalition between Netanyahu and the leader of the Blue and White Party Benny Gantz.
The Haaretz newspaper reported that Netanyahu - who took advantage of the decision to start the evidence stage in his corruption files in January 2021 - escalated disputes with his deputy, Defense Minister Gantz, by signaling that he would refrain from submitting the state's general budget for approval, and heading to the fourth elections expected to take place in November 18, 2020.
A crisis and a bet
Meanwhile, the row over the budget bill, which is slated to be approved before August 24, continues, with Netanyahu proposing approval for a one-year budget, while Gantz insists on approving a two-year budget.
The budget project comes to accumulate coalition differences in the emergency government, which is facing difficulties in managing the Corona crisis, amid escalating protests calling for Netanyahu to step down, who initiated legislation authorizing him to take decisions to confront Corona without the approval of the Knesset, and he postponed the implementation of a plan to annex parts of the West Bank because there was no Israeli consensus on Timing, mechanisms, and size of annexation.
Analysts and politicians are unanimous that Netanyahu is waving a fourth election scenario in search of a lifeline before the evidence stage in his corruption files, as he wants to pre-empt the court and create confusion in the political scene and bet on a fourth election, to enhance the possibility of forming a narrow government from the far right that enables him to legislate a law that prevents an accused Criminally from forming a government, as well as not to try a prime minister during his tenure.
Trial and elections
Haaretz Haim Levinson, the Haaretz parliamentary reporter, believes that Netanyahu is seeking to mix cards and create chaos in the government coalition to stir the Israeli public, especially the right-wing constituency constituency, and prepare public opinion to accept the idea of dissolving the Knesset and go to new elections despite the Corona crisis.
The parliamentary reporter does not exclude the possibility that Netanyahu will back down from the scenario of the draft budget crisis and refrain from heading for new elections, in the event of worsening economic, social and health conditions under the shadow of the Corona pandemic that caused hundreds of deaths and 32 thousand active injuries recorded since the last week of last June.
Levinson stresses - based on statements by Likud leaders and figures close to the prime minister - that what motivates Netanyahu to adhere to the electoral scenario and its implementation in the future, is the start of the stage of evidence in the files of corruption faced by 3 sessions per week.
It is also possible that the parties will petition the Supreme Court against the continuation of his term as prime minister, and demand that Netanyahu perform his duties and manage the affairs of state while he is in the dock and the corridors of the courts, according to Levinson.
Dismantle and neutralize
The same situation was expressed by the political analyst for the newspaper "Maariv" Ben Kasbit, who directed severe criticisms of Netanyahu, saying that "Netanyahu is interested in staying on the chairs to evade the trial", and he should discuss the scenario of heading to a fourth election, despite the repercussions of the Corona crisis and what It ravages the country from economic and social crises.
The political analyst explained that "Netanyahu no longer means state affairs and issues, as his sole concern has become the path of his trial and preservation of his seat and the struggle for personal survival in the political scene to avoid his imprisonment," and therefore would justify heading for a fourth election by pointing fingers at the coalition partners, specifically blue and white .
Ben Casbet pointed out that Netanyahu, who had gambled on dismantling party and political alliances during the third elections and neutralizing the parties of the extreme right, was acting at this stage according to the logic of the destroyer who seeks to dismantle the disintegrator in the Israeli partisan scene, and not to give the Israeli parties the opportunity to arrange their cards, alliances, and surprises by snap elections, especially His White House ally, President Donald Trump, may lose the US presidential election.
Error and failure
For his part, political reporter of the Israeli Channel 13, Zvi Ovadia, notes that the prospect of a fourth election is seriously discussed between the parties, in light of the differences and rifts not only between the Likud and Blue and White, but between the ultra-orthodox parties "Shas" and "United Torah Judaism" that criticized Netanyahu for allowing ministers By voting in an introductory reading of a law prohibiting "homosexual" psychotherapy.
The political correspondent explained that the Haredi parties are disturbed by Gantz, who voted alongside the homosexual law, knowing that she reached similar understandings with Blue and White to recommend and vote alongside the state's two-year general budget project.
Ovadia suggested that Netanyahu - according to the behind-the-scenes consultations in the Likud party - aims, through heading for a fourth election, to restore control of the Ministry of Justice, as they became convinced that he had made a mistake when he abdicated the judiciary in favor of Azraq Abyad, who continues to defend the attorney general of the government, Avichai. Mendelblit and the rule of law and the Israeli judiciary.
Under the title “The Government of Failure,” Israeli journalist Naddaf Eyal wrote an article in the Yedioth Ahronoth newspaper, in which he explained that the entire Israeli politician was infected with the Corona virus, when many parties agreed that the government should be headed by someone in the dock accused of corruption, breach of trust, fraud, and bribery. .
Eyal explained that Netanyahu is confident that there is a division in Israeli society about the validity and credibility of the indictments against him, and therefore, despite his declining popularity, he still enjoys wide support among the Israeli public, especially since there is no alternative leader in the right-wing camp.