With the race raging between US President Donald Trump - who is seeking a second presidential term, and his opponent, Democratic Party candidate Joe Biden, it appears that the Corona virus has entered the race circuit to reshape the map of states that each candidate seeks to win.
The geography of the emergence of the emerging coronavirus virus plays an important factor in determining the identity of the next president of the United States, through its effects on the chances of candidates in a number of swing states whose map is changing about 100 days before the American presidential elections.
And 33 US states saw an increase in the number of new Coronavirus infections this week, compared to last week.
According to Johns Hopkins University statistics, as of Sunday evening, the number of people infected with the virus reached 3.4 million, and another 138,000 died.
And there is no longer a day that passes until the United States achieves record numbers, either in the number of daily injuries, which remained above the 60,000 injuries per day over the past week.
Geography of the virus and the race
The state of Florida surpassed the high infections figures recorded by the state of New York at the peak of the virus spread in April.
The epidemic spread in the United States during the last four months from the states of the Northeast - especially New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and Connecticut in its first phase - to the states of the Midwest in its second phase in Michigan and Ohio.
Then the peak of the virus spread to the west in the states of Washington, Oregon and California, until it settled at the current peak of spread in the southern states, especially Florida, Louisiana, Texas, Arizona and some parts of California.
Florida is scooping
The state of Florida is a clear example of the geography of the spread of the virus, on the chances of candidates winning in the presidential term.
Florida has 29 votes from the electoral college, and it is impossible to calculate that Trump will win the presidency if he lost this state that has fluctuated between the two parties in recent years.
On Sunday, Florida registered 15,299 new cases, which is a record for the states. At the same time, the percentage of positive cases infected with the virus rose to 19.6% of the total subjects who are examined for infection in the state, according to Johns Hopkins University.
While the governors of several swing states of the Democrats - such as Michigan and Pennsylvania - decided to maintain their commitment to the prevention of large gatherings imposed since the beginning of the Corona crisis, Ron de Santos, Florida's governor, did not commit, nor did he implement precautionary measures to control the spread of the virus at an early stage, This is due to his close proximity to President Trump and his coordination with the White House regarding the closure.
Trump's decisive conference
Meanwhile, the city of Jacksonville, North Florida, is scheduled to host the General Conference of the Republican Party in the third week of August.
But the high rate of injuries in Florida in recent weeks renews doubts that the conference could be held in the traditional way.
And the city of Jacksonville announced last week a decision requiring people to wear face masks indoors and during public events, with the need to maintain social distance.
Trump does not seem welcome to accept the Republican nomination in front of an unconventional square that is not crowded with 20 or 30,000 enthusiastic Republicans.
The call by dozens of doctors and public health experts from Jacksonville to postpone or reduce the size of the conference instead of plans to attract thousands to the city for the start of Trump's re-election led to increasing doubts about Trump winning the important swing state.
Traditionally, a state’s hosting of one of the two main parties ’Congress increases the party’s chances of winning that state, and if Republicans do not hold their general conference in Florida, the odds of Democratic Joe Biden winning the state’s votes will increase.
Trump is in trouble in 3 states
A poll conducted by CBS News in cooperation with YouGov in the middle of last month showed that President Donald Trump was in trouble in 3 states that he won in 2016, namely Arizona, Florida and Texas.
Trump is equal to Biden N in Arizona, with a score of 46% each, the state he won 4 points in 2016.
Biden beat Trump in Florida 48% to 42%, although Trump won it in 2016 by one point ahead of Hillary Clinton.
As for Texas - the most important and largest of the traditional republican states - Trump is one point ahead of Biden, despite winning it in 2016 by a difference of 9 points.
On the other hand, the Trump campaign hopes to win 3 states that Hillary Clinton won by a few votes in the 2016 elections, namely New Hampshire, Minnesota, and New Mexico.
Corona threatens Rally Races
The Trump campaign looks to go out and hold rallies, which candidate Joe Biden is unable to afford due to his ill health and the absence of his charisma, but the high prevalence of the Corona virus hits these hopes of killing, especially after the detection of many injuries among those who attended President Trump's electoral conference Oklahoma state last month.
Biden does not move much, and he regularly conducts fundraising campaigns online and campaign activities from a room around her to a makeshift studio in his home, from which he tele-interviews to many local stations in the swing states.
With the resurgence of new infections and deaths caused by the emerging Corona virus, and reaching special levels in swing states that voted for President Trump in 2016, many questions arise about Trump's fortunes in the upcoming elections.
President Donald Trump won his election in the 2016 elections based on the votes of the electoral college, as he won the votes of 304 delegates, compared to 227 delegates for his rival, Hillary Clinton, which secured his victory in the elections, despite 48.2% of voters (65.9 million voters) voting for Hillary Clinton Meanwhile, Trump won only 46.1% of the vote (64 million).
According to geography estimates, Trump's fortunes decrease and Biden's fortunes increase, but more than 100 days before the elections are held, it is too early to judge the identity of the next American president.