Whereabouts of the US presidential election The new corona will have a big impact until the vote May 3, half a year 4:08

It will be half a year until the presidential election, which will be the place for refereeing President Trump in the United States. The opposition party and the Democratic Party aiming to regain the administration have secured the nomination of former Vice President Biden, and the composition of the confrontation between the two parties has been solidified, but the spread of the new coronavirus infection is likely to greatly affect the whereabouts of the election.

The US presidential election will be held on November 3rd, and President Trump, who is aiming for re-election in the ruling party and the Republican Party, has confirmed that former Vice President Biden will be nominated in the opposition party and the Democratic Party aiming to regain the power.

As of the end of last month, the average value of various public opinion polls by the political information site "Real Clear Politics" was 42% for "supporting Mr. Trump" and 48.2% for "supporting Mr. Biden".

The presidential election changed its appearance due to the spread of the new coronavirus infection, and President Trump switched to a strategy to appeal to the crisis as the "wartime president" in response to the favorable economic depression that he emphasized as the biggest achievement doing.

President Trump appears every day in front of the TV camera to impress his own leadership, and he has launched economic measures that supporters are aware of, and is making use of his current strengths.

In response to this, the Democratic Party, under Mr. Biden, is working to build a party posture that overcomes the confrontation between the centralist and leftist parties, and former President Obama and other party leaders are calling for unity.

However, the spread of the infection has severely constrained the election campaign, and Mr. Biden is working to strengthen his presence by strengthening the transmission on the Internet and via TV.

The response to the spread of infection has become a major issue in the election, and President Trump has shown a strong stance to pursue China's responsibility and criticized Mr. Biden as weak, whereas Mr. Biden is President Trump. He blamed the delay in responding to the situation and argued that neglecting international cooperation led to the rise of China, and there is growing interest in the diplomatic attitude toward China among the people.

However, there are some who fear that the election will be held in the past, as it is difficult to predict when the situation will end, and the spread of infection is likely to have a major impact on the whereabouts of the election.

Expert “The key to rebuilding the economy worsened by corona”

Carlin Bowman, a senior researcher at the American Enterprise Institute, a think tank in Washington, said it would be difficult to determine at present whether President Trump or former Vice President Biden is superior, and the spread of the new coronavirus worsens He stressed that economic restructuring is key to winning or losing elections.

Speaking to NHK, Senior Researcher Bowman confirmed that Mr. Biden, who was a middle-wing candidate, was nominated for the selection of candidates for the opposition and the Democratic Party. Many Democrats decided they were likely to win. "

Then, regarding the battle between President Trump and Mr. Biden, "In the current US-level poll, Mr. Biden leads five to six points, but the important states that win and lose are more strongly supported." He pointed out that it is too early to determine which one is superior.

Also, due to the spread of the new coronavirus, Biden is forced to restrict election activities, but it is not necessarily a disadvantageous situation, rather, Mr. Biden is exposed by President Trump through a press conference etc. He explained that he is positively accepting that he has lowered his liking as a president.

He added that voters' biggest concern is what happens to the economy that has already been severely hit by the new coronavirus, saying, `` A candidate who can win voters in the economy will win the election. Let's take a look, ”he stressed that economic restructuring is key to winning or losing elections.

Expert "President Trump in unstable election campaign"

Professor Mitchell McKinney of the University of Missouri said that the opinion poll that favored Mr. Biden is appearing mainly in the war-torn states, `` The initial panic state of the new coronavirus brings together the United States and favors President Trump. However, as people became calm over time and the governor and the mayor began to complain, the approval rating of the president began to appear. It seems that Mr. Biden is in favor of Mr. Biden so much that Mr. Trump is in the forefront and attracting attention, '' he said. , It is analyzed that it is becoming an unstable election campaign.

Professor McKinney added, "The biggest focus for the future is how enthusiastic the Democratic Party after the primary election can unite under Mr. Biden. The timing of Mr. Biden's momentum will be the vice presidential candidate. We are also paying attention to who will be appointed as ministers, "said Mr. Biden, who is vital to boosting his campaign in a constrained campaign. I was talking about.

Trump camp “Crisis is an opportunity to bring democracy and non-partisanship”

Gina Loudon, a Trump camp executive and media strategy officer, told NHK that the crisis could spread to include not only Republicans, but Democratic supporters and independents. Revealed.

"If you look at the people who attended the rally before the spread, 25% were Democrats or independents, not Republicans," said Roudon. The people who have succeeded in expanding the support of the independents and demolishing the ground of the Democratic Party.

Regarding the effects of the spread on the US economy, "Trump knows that it doesn't matter which party is favored when they lose their jobs and have nothing to eat." That's exactly why the Trump administration's economic support measures have been accepted by more than partisans: not only Republicans but Democrats and independents alike know that only Trump can rebuild the economy. That's why this election can be a landslide victory. "

Measures for the new corona of both sides

President Trump declared a national emergency on March 13 following the spread of the new coronavirus in the United States. Since then, many states have taken measures such as curfew.

And on March 16th, we announced a guideline for action that calls for voluntary going out and refraining from attending meetings, but did not extend the guideline at the end of last month, the second deadline.

President Trump is urging the early resumption of the domestic economy at the request of the business community, but the decision is left to the decision of each state.

President Trump. We are launching economic support measures against the new coronavirus on an unprecedented scale.

Against the backdrop of a huge emergency budget of 300 trillion yen in Japanese yen, SMEs including direct cash payments of up to $ 1200 and Japanese yen of about 130,000 yen to small and medium-sized enterprises Introduced a subsidy to maintain the employment of employees, and provided measures for large corporations to support loans and debt guarantees by the government. For affected farmers, we are making direct payments and purchasing agricultural products, and we are also implementing large-scale infrastructure development, etc., in order to secure employment through public works projects.

President Trump has pointed out that he will continue to spend huge amounts of money, and will reflect the intentions of the industry and workers who hold the key to re-election as much as possible in the policy, so that it will be aimed at the presidential election in November. I also see and hide the aim of advancing the election campaign.

Meanwhile, former Vice President Biden has set up a system that allows anyone to receive inspections, prevention, and medical treatment free of charge, and focuses on financial support to workers and companies hit by the spread of infection. We are making recommendations for policies to do so.

"The public health crisis requires credible science-based leadership," Mr Biden said in a recommendation, accusing the Trump administration of ignoring investments in health insurance, including combating infectious diseases. As an implicit criticism that there are cases where President Trump's and experts' views differ.

He also mentioned that the Trump administration had abolished the specialized department that was set up by the National Security Council during the Obama administration to deal with global health issues such as the spread of new virus infections. I am proposing.

Mr. Biden, as Vice President of the former Obama administration, emphasized that he had dealt with the spread of pandemic influenza in 2009 and Ebola outbreak in 2014, and may emphasize his own achievements.

Regarding the response of the new coronavirus, it has become a new source of conflict with China.

Initially, President Trump had repeatedly said that he would appreciate China's response to the new coronavirus.

However, as the infection spread in the United States, the Trump administration's early response was criticized for not accepting the situation seriously, and President Trump's remarks different from the expert's point of view were questioned. It looks like

President Trump began to take a tough stance against the Chinese government from this time, and the world's infection such as showing that the source of the new coronavirus may be a research institute in Wuhan, Hubei, China We are arguing that China is responsible for the expansion.

Furthermore, as "we are responding toward China," we have also announced a policy of temporarily suspending contributions to the WHO = World Health Organization.

Against this background, while criticism of President Trump over the response to the new coronavirus is increasing, it seems that there is also the aim of avoiding the criticism by showing a strict attitude to China for the presidential election in November. I will.