• Conte: "I'd do it all again, stick to the plan: relapse would be fatal"
  • Conte: "Phase 2 starts, but respecting social distance"

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April 28, 2020 If everything reopens, intensive care would be saturated again by June 8. This is the warning contained in a document of the Higher Institute of Health - the content of which was disclosed today by the "Daily Fact" -, for a week in the hands of the government and of the Technical Scientific Committee (which adopted it). As reported by the Fact, this document explains the caution shown by the executive in proceeding with Phase 2, which however starts from 4 May, with the reopening until September (schools) and beyond (the live entertainment sector).

The study proposes - writes the Fact - presents 92 possible scenarios and the most dramatic is literally A. If almost everything was reopened, "the reproduction rate of the Rt virus (i.e. the prediction of the average number of infections starting from a person who contracted the virus, ed) would return above 2, between 2.06 and 2.44 for an average of 2.25 and intensive care, which have also been enhanced, would again be saturated in less than 40 days, l 'June 8 ".

"This would happen by restarting industry, construction and related trade but also hotels and restaurants without age limits for workers, without telecommuting, with schools open and the return to normal in leisure and in the use of public transport." schools - reads the report - would trigger a new and rapid growth of the epidemic. The mere reopening of schools could lead to the overrun of the number of beds in intensive care '".