Lotan: Post-Corona crisis prophecies ... will everything really change?

Nobody knows where the Corona virus (Covid-19) actually came: Was it from a viral research laboratory in Wuhan or from a bat? Nobody knows how to stop it: is it quarantined, examined, or chloroquine? No one knows as well when it will end, but one thing seems certain and everyone agrees on it, and that nothing will be the same as before.

From this postulate, the Swiss newspaper Lutan was launched in an article by Mary Helen Miauton, in which she said that the end of this virus - which originated from Asia and spread to the Middle East and then to Europe, the United States and Latin America, and the "rope on the tractor" - were not yet on the horizon, And if many think that such an end will be a milestone, things may be turned upside down.

The writer says that environmentalists, for example, are upbeat as if freedom of movement and the mad travel that prevailed ended categorically, and anti-capitalists predict that this hateful regime is gone forever, while protectionists believe that the borders will be restored permanently, and European lovers believe that the union will Boosted out of this crisis, while his opponents see that it will explode.

And the author considered that this is a mistake and a killer, and instead of predicting that hopes will be fulfilled on their own, it might be better to prepare for correcting a seemingly difficult reality in the short and medium term, because it is possible - even more likely - that a return to normal will be accompanied by some modifications, but it is not Profound changes.

There is no doubt that companies will strive to ensure that their supplies are provided better, and that health systems will usefully reorganize themselves, and that countries will certainly think about securing their independence in relation to strategic products; but all this does not mean a change in the economic or social model.

Moreover, the author warns that the world has not changed at all after the previous major epidemics, but that everyone treated their wounds and ended up absorbing the shock and everything continued as before.

As evidence of this, the writer cited the example of the 2008 crisis that rocked the world with its financial and social consequences, noting that everything returned to normal, and that banks were capitalized better than in the past and became cautious and knew everything about their clients, but the financial system The world, in fact, has not changed radically, it has become more focused and safer, and we have no doubt got used to it.

In this context, the author notes that countries imposed pressure tests on major banks to assess their ability to absorb a large shock, but unfortunately it did not occur to her to subject themselves to the same test, because if she had done that, things would not have been what they are today.

It was free for public hospitals to submit to knowing their willingness to face a pandemic like we are witnessing, but it is always easier to impose on others what you do not want to apply to yourself, according to the author.

The author concludes that, for example, things are not so bad in Switzerland yet, but some of its neighbors have difficulties, and their public financial resources need to be recapitalized, because countries are constantly promising to provide billions to support the economy but at the same time immersed in debt.

The author concluded that Switzerland has at least an advantage over its neighbors, namely that the billions it has pledged to have are there, allowing it to do better after the crisis.