China News Service, March 6. (Chen Shuang) The results of the "Super Tuesday" in the US primary election have been released one after another. Within the Democratic Party, former US Vice President Biden became the biggest winner. On the 5th, Democratic presidential candidate and federal senator Warren announced his withdrawal. In this regard, the situation of "dual heroic confrontation" between Biden and Senator Sanders within the Democratic Party was formally formed.
On March 3, local time, the US presidential election ushered in "Super Tuesday". The picture shows a polling place in Arlington, Virginia that day. Photo by China News Agency reporter Chen Mengtong
["Super Tuesday" ends,
Biden returns to the "C", Sanders gains the largest ticket]
In the 2020 US general election, the Democratic Party's 3979 committed representatives will decide the nomination of the party's presidential candidate. If the candidate wants to win, he needs the support of at least 1991 representatives.
The presidential primaries held on the 3rd by the 14 states of the United States, American Samoa, and overseas Democrats can determine more than 1,300 national seats, accounting for about one-third of the total seats. .
The latest counting results show that former US moderator Biden, who belongs to the "moderates," won 10 states' preliminaries in one fell swoop. In Massachusetts, he even beat the state's federal senator Warren.
Sanders, a "radical" candidate who had been "singing aggressively" all the way, performed slightly less well, but was quite rewarding. He won in Utah, Colorado, and Vermont, and was in the lead in California, the first "ticket warehouse" whose results have not yet been finalized.
Data map: US Democratic Party presidential candidate, former vice president Biden. Photo by China News Agency reporter Chen Mengtong
[Moderate integration rally, Warren announces withdrawal
Democratic Party's "Double Heroes" Formation]
It is worth noting that Biden was defeated in the previous primaries, which once shaken the confidence of voters in the establishment.
Why could Biden, which was originally at a disadvantage, be able to reverse the situation this time? Biden himself claims that this is due to Democrats who announced his support at the last minute.
On the eve of "Super Tuesday", the "Dark Horse" of this election, Mayor Buttigieg of the former South Bend City, and Federal Senator Korobcha, among others, resigned, and endorsed Biden to let their original votes Successful flow to Biden.
Since the Democratic pre-election started in Iowa in early February, multiple moderate candidates have been on the same stage, leading to a diversion of votes. The moderate camp is concerned that if they continue to "step on each other", Sanders may win the election, so they unite behind Biden.
Data map: Bloomberg, Democratic presidential candidate and former Mayor of New York City. Photo by China News Agency reporter Chen Mengtong
After the "Super Tuesday" elections ended, Bloomberg founder Bloomberg, who invested heavily but lacked gains, announced on the 4th that he would end his short and expensive election journey in favor of Biden. On the 5th, Warren, who failed to win any state, also announced his withdrawal, but did not announce which candidate he would support.
In the six days before and after Super Tuesday, a total of five Democratic candidates quit. With the exception of Biden and Sanders, the Democratic candidate is only the uncompetitive Hawaiian Federal Rep. Tulsi Gabad.
The Democratic 2020 candidate lineup, once known as "the most diverse in history," has actually turned into a showdown between two 70-year-old male political veterans.
Data map: US Democratic presidential candidate, Vermont Senator Sanders. Photo by Zhang Weiran, China News Agency
[Moderate system vs left-wing progressives,
Saunders Biden is inseparable
Although Biden has fought a "turnaround", mainstream American opinion holds that his competition with Sanders may be long-term.
As far as the results of this election are concerned, although Biden tops the list in multiple states, Sanders' basic set is still solid and he will win in California's largest ticket.
In terms of voter appeal, Biden has a clear advantage among African-American and suburban voters, while Sanders is generally popular with young people and Latinos.
However, their disadvantages are equally obvious. Biden's more conservative political ideas and unsuccessful debates have caused him to lose many young voters, and his son's rumors about Ukraine have also become his weakness.
While Sanders, who calls himself a "democracy socialist," is more popular in terms of "personal charisma", "values" and "empathy", his overly aggressive policy proposition has also become a prohibitive option for voters. the reason.
Data map: US Democratic presidential candidate, Vermont Senator Sanders. Photo by Zhang Weiran, China News Agency
[Pre-selection is getting hotter,
Who will be Trump's opponents? 】
Although the political factions represented by Biden Sanders are different, it must be noted that in the minds of Democratic voters, the most critical issue is who is more likely to defeat Trump. Therefore, after "Super Tuesday", both Biden and Sanders need to vigorously shape their image that they can fight against.
In addition, consideration must be given to the case where no candidate has obtained more than 1991 party votes. If this happens, the Democratic pre-election will enter the Contested Convention in July, and "super representatives" within the Democratic Party will vote to "guarantee" their favored candidates to win. And this is great news for Biden, who has deep roots within the party.
Data map: Democratic presidential candidate, Federal Senator Sanders. Photo by Deng Min, China News Agency
According to US Fox News, the results of the "Super Tuesday" pre-selection clearly show that the battle for Democratic presidential nominations is far from over, and that states that have not yet held a pre-selection will increasingly become the focus.
Among the states that held pre-selection in March, influential states include Michigan, Missouri, Ohio, Illinois, Washington, Arizona, Florida, and Georgia. By the end of March, the Democratic Party will elect 65% of party votes.
On June 6, the U.S. Virgin Islands will decide the ownership of the last 11 party votes and put an end to the presidential primaries.
From July 13 to 16, the Democratic Party will hold a conference in Wisconsin. At the end of the meeting, the Democratic Party will launch the party's official presidential candidate.
Analysis believes that both Biden and Sanders may lock the victory at the last moment. It remains to be seen who can carry the banner of "against Trump".