EXCLUSIVE
What if one of the big municipal winners in Bordeaux was called Philippe Poutou? In any case, this suggests an exclusive BVA survey for Europe 1 and Orange *. Certainly, the spokesperson for the NPA, supported by La France rebellious for this municipal election, is not able to take the town hall and settle in the chair currently occupied by Nicolas Florian, successor designated and dubbed by Alain Juppe. But he could play spoilsport in the second round. Because yes, with 12% of voting intentions, the former presidential candidate appears able to maintain himself on March 15.
>> EXCLUSIVE - Municipal poll: in Bordeaux, the promise of an unprecedented second round
The progression, compared to 2014, would be meteoric. At the time, the former worker at the Ford factory in Blanquefort (closed in October 2019), was already a candidate for mayor of Bordeaux. But it had only collected 2.51% of the vote, with the only support of the NPA. This time, therefore, he is supported by La France rebellious, and it shows. In the first round of the last presidential election, in 2017 (in which a certain Philippe Poutou was competing), Jean-Luc Mélenchon had collected 23.4% of the votes in Bordeaux. Philippe Poutou therefore does not fill up, far from it. But its breakthrough remains remarkable.
Maintain, merge, withdraw?
And with a Philippe Poutou as high, the situation is no longer the same. The far left candidate would then have a choice. Maintain first, which would not do the business of the left, including the candidate Pierre Hurmic, from EELV but supported by the PS, the PCF and Génération.s in particular, appears at 30% of voting intentions in the same poll. Philippe Poutou could then merge, with this same list on the left. This would give the second round in Bordeaux a semblance of suspense, even if the candidate of the right Nicolas Florian, with 40% of voting intention in the first round, seems widely favored.
Finally, the NPA-LFI candidate could simply withdraw. A radical decision which would look like Philippe Poutou, but which would deprive him of a seat on the municipal council, almost assured in the first two scenarios. In any case, Philippe Poutou, troublemaker of the last presidential election (1.09% of votes obtained), would be the subject of quite a lot of attention during this municipal election.
* Survey conducted by phone between February 7 and 14, from a sample of 702 people registered on the electoral lists, from a representative sample of 1,033 inhabitants of Bordeaux aged 18 and over. The representativeness of the sample was ensured by the quota method applied to the following variables: sex, age and profession of the interview