The Chinese government's medical advisor said Tuesday that the spread of the Coruna virus will peak this month and may end by April, in the latest assessment of the epidemic that has rocked the whole world.
Epidemiologist Chung Nanshan, 83, who was famous for fighting the SARS epidemic in 2003 - cried during an interview with Reuters - to doctor Li Wenliang, who died last week after being reprimanded for his warning of an outbreak of corona.
However, Chung expressed optimism that the new virus will spread soon, as new cases in some regions decline.
He added that the peak will occur in mid-February or late, followed by stability and decline, according to expectations according to a sports model, recent events and government moves.
"I hope that this outbreak or this event will end in April," he said at a hospital run by the Guangzhou Medical University where he is treating 11 people with the virus.
Although his statements may alleviate global anxiety after the death of more than a thousand people and the injury of more than forty thousand, almost all of them in China, it has proven that his previous expectations of reaching the peak of the spread of the virus were premature.
"We don't know why it is so contagious, and that is a major problem," said Chung, who helped identify the disadvantages of China's emergency response systems during the SARS crisis of 2002 and 2003.
He added that there is a gradual decline in new cases in southern Guangdong Province, Zhejiang and others. "This is good news for us," he said.
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He also praised the government's decision to isolate the city of Wuhan, the epicenter of the virus, which he said had lost control of the virus at an early stage.
The virus is believed to have originated in a seafood market in Wuhan in early December.
The authorities have also been criticized for their strict handling of the late doctor who was arrested for spreading news of the disease before he became his most famous victim last Friday.
"Most people think he is the hero of China," said Zhong, wiping his tears. "I am proud of him. He told people the truth at the end of December and then died."
The medical advisor said the government's reluctance to share information has prolonged the SARS crisis, but has acted much better on issues such as transparency and cooperation with the World Health Organization.
But he said more effort is necessary, including ending the wild animal trade, improving international cooperation in health technology and in the performance of disease control centers, and establishing a global guard system to warn of possible epidemics.
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For his part, WHO President Tidros Adhanom Gebrysos said today, Tuesday, that the outbreak of the Coruna virus represents a "very serious threat to the rest of the world", during an appeal to exchange virus samples and accelerate the pace of research towards drugs and vaccines.
"In light of the presence of 99% of cases in China, it is still very much a state of emergency for that country, but it represents a serious threat," Gebrissos said at the start of a meeting attended by more than 400 researchers and representatives of the national authorities, some of whom participated via video from the mainland and Taiwan. Extremely for the rest of the world. "