A voter about to vote in Strasbourg during the municipal elections in 2014. - VARELA / 20 MINUTES / SIPA

  • In Strasbourg, the ecologist Jeanne Barseghian would get ahead of the LREM candidate Alain Fontanel by two points in the first round, according to an Ifop-Fiducial poll released this Thursday for Sud Radio.
  • "This shows that the score garnered by the Greens during the Europeans continues," according to political scientist Philippe Breton, editorial director of the Observatory of political life in Alsace (Ovipal).
  • On the side of his team, we put into perspective the scope of these results, which we put on the account of the national situation.

In Strasbourg, if the municipal elections took place tomorrow, the ecologists would be in the lead before LREM. This is the main lesson from an official Ifop-Fiducial survey for Sud Radio, released this Thursday morning.

The green & citizen list (EELV and the Communist Green Party) led by Jeanne Barseghian would be in the lead in the first round with 27% of the vote. The LREM list (with Modem and Agir), led by the first deputy Alain Fontanel would collect only 25% of the votes. In third position is the candidate LR Jean-Philippe Vetter with 14% of the voting intentions.

The intention to vote in the 2nd round of # Municipales2020 in #Strasbourg

- # EELV / # PCF 40%
- # LREM / # Modem 32%
- #LR 16%
- #RN 12%

Survey @IfopOpinion @SudRadio ➡️ https://t.co/foBOdH6OnQ pic.twitter.com/ltSwWc2kNk

- Ifop Opinion (@IfopOpinion) January 23, 2020

The dynamism of the green vote is confirmed

The trend would be confirmed in the second round for environmentalists at the expense of LREM in the case of quadrangular. Jeanne Barseghian's list would win 40% of the vote, against only 32% for that of Alain Fontanel. With the margin of error, these eight points could drop to four with 38% for EELV against 34% for LREM.

This survey was carried out from 14 to 18 January with a sample of 608 people, representative of the population of the municipality of Strasbourg (aged 18 and over, registered on the electoral lists). Does it represent a surprise? According to our information, these results circulated in the staffs of the main candidates in recent weeks.

These results confirm above all the dynamism of the green vote in the Alsatian capital. "The climate is favorable," says Jeanne Barseghian. This reinforces our determination to continue to convince the people of Strasbourg ”. "This shows that the score garnered by the Greens during the Europeans continues," abounds political scientist Philippe Breton, editorial director of the Observatory of political life in Alsace (Ovipal). Can the PS, credited with only 9% of the votes in this poll, go back up the slope?

The LREM candidate puts these results into perspective

"Part of her constituents turned to the green candidate because she does not recognize herself in the orientations of Alain Fontanel," says Philippe Breton. Asked, the LREM candidate wants to believe that this is "a good starting point when the campaign is just starting". On the side of his team, we put the scope of these results into perspective. "This survey reflects the national situation which is difficult and goes far beyond the case of Strasbourg", we breathe in 20 Minutes , in reference to the thorny pension reform.

There is also nothing to say that candidate LR Jean-Philippe Vetter will not merge with the list of candidate LREM. In this case, he would still become mayor of Strasbourg. A possibility rejected by the interested party at this stage. "I doubled our score at the Europeans, I want to continue my momentum," says Jean-Philippe Vetter.

The green list remains unknown: the dispersion of voices from the left. “The PS left alone with Mathieu Cahn, just like LFI which leads its own list. The division of the left is a problem for environmentalists, "said political scientist Philippe Breton. Less than two months before the elections, all options remain open.

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