After Al-Gamali failed ... What are the chances of a revival in the "government of the president"?

Khamis bin Brik-Tunisia

The session of granting confidence to the proposed government before the Tunisian parliament last Friday turned into a kind of "trial" for Ennahda after the failure of the government of Habib El Gamli to gain confidence, which made political circles talk about possible scenarios to withdraw the rug from Ennahda in what became known as the "government of the president" .

The past days witnessed remarkable developments following the announcement of a majority party bloc in Parliament by the leader of the "Heart of Tunisia" party, Nabil Karoui, as well as a call for the "Free Constitution Party", the descendant of the former regime to withdraw confidence from Rashid Ghannouchi, head of the Parliament (Parliament) leader of the movement. Renaissance.

These developments come after the failure of the Al-Gamali government to gain the confidence of Parliament, as it had only the support of the Renaissance Movement (54 seats) and the Dignity Coalition (18 seats), while it had to obtain at least 109 votes out of a total of 217 deputies, which made the Renaissance Movement and a coalition Dignity in "isolation," according to observers.

Parliamentary front
Although the Ennahda movement sought to rally support for the passage of the government of al-Jamali, backed by the Dignity Coalition, it found resonance by all other parliamentary blocs, including some independents.

The al-Jamali government’s ouster followed the announcement by Nabil Karoui, leader of the Heart of Tunisia party, which won second place in the legislative elections (38 seats), from a parliamentary front that includes 93 deputies. He said that it would include both his party and the Viva Tunisia party (14 seats), the National Reform Bloc (15 seats) and the independents group And non-parties.

The villager said that the announcement of this initiative came in coordination between his party and other blocs such as the Long Live Tunisia Party led by the current caretaker Prime Minister Youssef Chahed and the National Reform Bloc with the aim of uniting the dispersed middle family and presenting a unified initiative to the Tunisian president on forming a government.

Parallel coup?
Lawyer and analyst Samir Abdullah believes that the birth of this parliamentary bloc will upset the balance of power in Parliament for the benefit of the middle family as it will become the largest bloc in terms of number, considering that this constitutes a strong blow to the Renaissance movement, considering that its bloc and the Al Karama coalition that support it do not exceed 72 seats.

He stressed that the Renaissance movement will be the "biggest loser" after the birth of a unified parliamentary front that brings together centrist parties, considering that these changes do not serve the interests of the leader of the Renaissance movement, Rashid Ghannouchi, who faces criticism even from within the Renaissance movement, where the battle of his succession in the next movement conference will be raging, According to him.

According to the spokesman, the Free Constitutional Party, the descendant of the former ruling regime (17 seats), is collecting 73 signatures of representatives to pass a petition to withdraw confidence from Ghannouchi with the aim of excluding what he called "political Islam" from the head of Parliament, and this battle has become an existential struggle for this party, he says. .

And the overthrow of the Camel government after two months after the start of the first negotiations re-shuffled the cards again in the political scene, where Tunisian President Qais Said became responsible for assigning a new prime minister within 10 days according to the constitution after consulting with the parliamentary blocs and parties.

Fortunes of the Renaissance
On the other hand, the deputy for the Renaissance movement, Muhammad Al-Qomani, believes that the Renaissance movement will remain a major party in the political scene, assuring Al-Jazeera Net that its direction in negotiations to form the new government with the President will be on the basis of forming a political government open to several parties, and the Renaissance movement is one of its components.

And his opinion on the possibility of efforts to withdraw the rug from the Al-Nahda movement and exclude it with the announcement of the formation of a parliamentary front that includes 93 deputies, he says that it has not been confirmed after the formation of this front after the overthrow of the Al-Jamali government, stressing that "with the exception of the Free Constitutional Party, no political party has expressed exclusion Renaissance".

Al-Qomani expressed his understanding that several parliamentary blocs refused to grant confidence to the government of al-Gamali, chosen by al-Nahda because of the latter's tendency to form a government of non-partisan competencies, noting that their lack of competencies with political affiliation made them not gain a strong political belt by the parties represented in Parliament.

He refused to exclude
For his part, the leader of the Democratic Current Party, Muhammad al-Arabi al-Jalasi, said that the announcement of a parliamentary front that includes 93 deputies is just a "balloon test", assuring Al-Jazeera Net that there is no major reshuffling of cards in the path of forming the government, and that consultations between the parties represented in Parliament will continue under the umbrella President.

Al-Jalasi described the efforts of the Free Anti-Islam Constitutional Party unacceptably, explaining that his party's refusal to give confidence to the government was based on his reservations towards its composition and program, and that his party is far from the culture of exclusion, and that he will enter negotiations to form the government with an open mind on revolutionary forces.

He said that the democratic bloc - which is the second bloc (41 seats) that includes the Democratic Current (22 seats) and the People's Movement (15 seats) and some independents - will play an important role in forming a national government that includes "wise people", and he is not excluded that the government will be made up of the quartet who The Tunisian President previously met him.

These four parties are the Renaissance Movement, the Democratic Movement, the People's Movement, and the Long Live Tunisia.

In the context, political shop Abdul Salam Al-Zubaidi says that it is not possible to bypass the Al-Nahda movement in negotiations to form the next government, explaining that Chapter 89 of the constitution provides for the president to enter into government formation negotiations with various blocs and parties, including Al-Nahda, which has the largest bloc.

Al-Zubaidi asserts to Al-Jazeera Net that it is impossible to form a government without the Ennahda movement being one of its components due to several considerations, including the existence of a unified bloc between the movement and a coalition of dignity exceeding 70 seats, in addition to the refusal of the Free Constitutional Party to enter into any government or even to meet the president, and the existence of differences between the heart of Tunisia Long live Tunisia.

He explained that the refusal to pass the Camel government by objecting to 134 deputies does not mean that they are a united bloc or a political front combined in the same directions and capable of forming the next government, stressing that they met at some point in Parliament to not give confidence to the government because of their reservations about the composition of the government only.