Many - including the Russians and the inhabitants of countries that were formerly affiliated with the Soviet Union - ask whether Russia will become a great economic power, especially as their fate depends on the path chosen by Moscow and its economic power.
In a report published on the Russian "Iarks" website, Russian journalist Ahmet Borkhanov said that the issue of economic development for Russia has gained more importance than ever, especially since the people's wait for economic changes has prolonged.
But Russia - which has the largest area in the world, as well as the enormous energy and strategic resources - does not occupy an honorable position in the world in terms of per capita GDP, the author adds.
The writer pointed out that Russia is still far from the developed economies of the world despite recovering some of its power and influence.
According to a set of indicators, Russia ranks moderately in terms of economic progress, which is not compatible with its geopolitical weight in the world.
The writer pointed out that most Russians blame the liberal government for the country's economic recession, but the reasons are much deeper, and the situation will not change even under the change of government.
In fact - the author says - the liberal elites link Russia's economic problems with its excessive ambitions in foreign policy that add to the consequences of its defeat in the Cold War, which is one of the problems that overthrew the economy in this country.
|The current global financial system impedes Russian economic growth, but it is difficult to change this situation (Reuters)|
Global financial system
There is no doubt that the current global financial system impedes Russian economic growth, but it is difficult at this time to change this situation because of the strong connection of the Russian economy to the global financial system.
Moreover, the size of a country's economy, regardless of its characteristics, is at all times dependent on market capabilities.
It is clear that the ability of the Russian market and the CIS countries - with all its expansion potential - is not sufficient to penetrate the global economy, and advanced technology industries cannot reach their goals by relying only on the domestic market and the Eurasian Economic Union, the author believes.
The writer pointed out that Russia, as an independent civilization and a big country, stands against the domination of any empire over the world, and this figure cannot be changed in any way without destroying it, so many wars have been repeated over it, which led to its disintegration.
And despite Russia’s military victories, the collective West - which dominated global trade and finance - has on many occasions caused a crushing defeat, inflicting heavy losses on it.
The writer mentioned that the fall of the Iron Curtain before an expansion in the global sales market is one of the main reasons for the collapse of the Soviet Union, and therefore the adoption of proposals submitted by non-liberal experts, and drawing on the methods and experiences of the former Soviet Union or using the Chinese experience and other plans will not make Russia Great economic power.
And if the Soviet experience leads to economic convergence, the Chinese experience in the economic field - which is satisfied with playing the role of commodity producer - does not meet the role that Russia aspires to.
Overall, Russia can solve the economic problems it faces in the long run, which is what drives it at the moment to exist in the main regions of the world, says the author.
Despite the enormous energy sources, Russia does not occupy an honorable place in the world in terms of per capita (Reuters)
The interests of Russia and America intersect in some regions of the world
The writer explained that everyone is aware that the dollar is accelerating the inflation process all over the world, which is harmful to third countries and Russia alike.
Countries in the western world, Japan and South Korea, as well as China, occupy a large share in the global market for final products, enabling them to offset the dollar inflation through export earnings.
On the other hand, the United States suffers from a balance of trade deficit and a rise in public debt, which conflicts with its global dominance.
The writer believes that the trade war launched by the United States against China will not be victorious, and that under these conditions, the collapse of the American financial system will lead to the collapse of all the advanced economies in the world in one way or another, while Russia will benefit from that.
The writer pointed out that US President Donald Trump's desire to reconcile with his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin, serves the interests of both parties, but time serves the interests of Russia, at a time when opposition to the Democrats exacerbates the negotiating position of the United States day after day.
The writer believes that the current advantages give Russia - in the triangle of geopolitics - a historical opportunity to solve its economic problems to the maximum extent, but in light of this geopolitical battle, the risks surround Russia from each side, so the Russian President must be careful to avoid defeat.
What about the Middle East and Africa?
Indeed, the geopolitical victory of Russia is the only factor that paves the way for its control of vast sales markets in different regions of the world, giving impetus to a real economic breakthrough.
Russia has managed - according to the author - to ensure a permanent military presence in Syria, and in doing so it will try to seize the opportunity to transform its military power into an economic power from the Middle East, to reach the whole of Africa at a later time.
As for fair competition in the global market, the presence of a military force in a region brings greater benefits than the conclusion of trade agreements.
|Russia is a major power in the military and energy field, which gives it an opportunity to become an economic power as well (Reuters)|
The writer emphasized that the European Union and the United States monopolize the civil aircraft industry, while China, South Korea and Japan control the shipbuilding market, and these countries have a share of 80%, which leaves no room for new competitors.
But this does not mean - according to the author - Russia's inability to manufacture and develop ships, and aircraft manufacturing such as Airbus and Boeing, especially as it is a country with high technology and specialized in building spacecraft and nuclear power sweepers and possesses a floating nuclear power plant.
The author notes that Russia is studying the possibility of producing a civilian version of the "Tupolev Tu-160" and "Irkut MS21", a new generation of long-range aircraft that outperforms its foreign counterparts.
Russia's competitors are working to raise some economic problems in front of it by closing all wide and rich markets in front of its products, as well as being subject to tight guarding by its current owners, as the author sees.
Power in the field of energy
The writer pointed out that Russia is a great power in the military and energy field, which gives it a range of opportunities to become an economic superpower in the near future by occupying the third rank globally, especially as it is working today to invest huge sums in infrastructure, social projects and other important projects And achieving compatibility between commercial and sovereign interests.
The writer stated that the western world is watching with concern Russia's transformation of the "Phoenix" into a superpower without the participation of other parties, and its continued overthrow of the United States in the Middle East and the sale of high-tech weapons, building nuclear power plants all over the world, and building gas pipelines, such as "North" Stream, "" Torrent, "and" Siberian Power ".
Russia can boost its economic position by lowering domestic prices for gasoline and a host of other materials, which will sharply increase the competitiveness of Russian manufacturers and consumer demand for the population at the same time, according to the author.