President Trump is less likely to be dismissed The Senate is dominated by the ruling party

President Trump is less likely to be dismissed The Senate is a ruling party with a majority of 19 December at 10:34

In response to President Trump's indictment of impeachment, the Senate, who will act as the court, will open an impeachment trial to discuss the prosecution. And if more than two-thirds of the parliamentarians agree, President Trump will be impeached and dismissed, but the Senate is considered to be less likely to be dismissed because the ruling and Republicans are the majority.

Proposal for impeachment prosecution The pillars are "power abuse" and "impediment to parliament"

The resolution for impeachment prosecution is a general criminal indictment. This resolution has two major pillars: President Trump's “power abuse” and “impediment to parliament”.

[1. Abuse of power]
Among them, abuse of power certifies that President Trump has unfairly requested the Ukrainian government to publicize an investigation on former Vice President Biden, the political enemy.

He also called for investigation into the allegations that Russia had intervened in the 2016 US presidential election and that Russia insisted that it was Ukraine that intervened. On top of that, President Trump points out that the publication of these investigations told the Ukrainian government that it was a condition for a $ 391 million military aid and a summit meeting with President Zerensky at the White House.

President Trump also said that, after these actions were revealed, he finally provided military support to Ukraine, but continued to demand open investigation from Ukraine. “In all of the above, President Trump abused the authority of the president, damaged national security and other important national interests, and gained political gain unfairly. “Forgive and betray the nation” and recognize it as “power abuse”.

[2. Congressional obstruction]
Also, in the blockade to Congress, "The President Trump has only instructed to completely ignore the summons for investigating the impeachment given to the House of Representatives in an unprecedented way." Specifically, he instructed White House officials to ignore legally enforceable parliamentary subpoenas and refused to produce the documents required by parliamentary committees.

He also pointed out that the State Department, Administrative and Budget Bureau, Department of Energy, and Department of Defense refused to submit any documents as a result of instructing other government agencies to ignore the subpoena.

In addition, as a result of instructing government officials and former employees not to cooperate in the investigation of the parliament, nine executives ignored the parliamentary subpoena seeking testimony, saying, “A parliament for the impeachment of the president in American history. “No president has so far disturbed the House's investigation authority so far,” he concludes as “parliamentary obstruction”.

[Summary]
For this reason, the resolution proposed that President Trump hurt the American people by taking actions that undermine the trust of the US President and the government, the idea of ​​law and justice, and "If President Trump continues to serve, It became clear that it continued to be a threat to the constitution. ” And he demands the president's remission, saying, “President Trump must be dismissed from the presidency through impeachment trials and expelled from any public status”.

2 in the past

Impeachment is a system stipulated in the American Constitution as a means of judging the president. If the House of Representatives investigation finds that the act of the president is a treason or bribery subject to impeachment, a vote will be taken at this meeting, and the president will be prosecuted if the majority of the members agree. And if more than two-thirds of attending members agree in the impeachment trial of the Senate, the impeachment will be determined as guilty and the president will be dismissed.

In the United States, Andrew Johnson's 17th President and Bill Clinton's 42nd President have been prosecuted for impeachment trials. In 1868, President Johnson was found to be in violation of the law by dismissing the army secretary who was in conflict over the reconstruction of the South after the Civil War.

In 1998, President Clinton was charged with a perjury that testified in an alleged affair with former White House trainees. However, as a result of the vote in the Senate, the consent of more than two-thirds of the attending members required for impeachment was not reached, and the dismissal was exempted and remained in the presidency.

On the other hand, the 37th President of Richard Nixon was prosecuted for the impeachment of the impeachment in the Parliamentary Headquarters, although it was not put into impeachment trials in the “Watergate Incident”, where involvement in attempts to eavesdrop on the Democratic Party was attempted I was forced to resign before being done.

Beginning in July Telephone conference with Ukrainian President

It started with a telephone conference between President Trump in July and President Zelesky in Ukraine. In this meeting, President Trump is said to have put pressure on the relationship between Ukraine and former Vice President Biden, a leading opposition and democratic candidate for the presidential election, in exchange for military support to Ukraine. .

An official of an American government agency who considered this as a problem reported in whistleblowers in August, and was subsequently reported in the media and the allegations came to light. On the other hand, the Democratic Party announced that the House of Representatives Pelosi decided to take an impeachment investigation and decided to start the investigation in the House of Parliament, which has a majority.

Later, at a hearing of the House Information Committee, twelve senior government officials testified that President Trump asked for a survey on former Vice President Biden in return for support to Ukraine. We have compiled a report that concludes that there was fraud.

In response, the Judiciary Committee also deliberated on the “power abuse” that President Trump put pressure on Ukraine for its own political interests, and the “parliamentary hindrance” that blocked the alleged parliamentary investigation. On the grounds, on March 13, a majority of the proposals passed a resolution calling for President's dismissal and expulsion from any public status, saying that President Trump is a threat to the constitution.

On the other hand, President Trump said that the Democratic Party is doing everything, such as creating evidence and witnessing it for impeachment, regarding the series of procedures.

Don't break President Trump's bullish attitude

President Trump has thoroughly accused the series of impeachment movements as a political plot by the Democratic Party, and has not broken his bullish attitude. In the background, opinion polls show that nearly 90% of Republican support groups oppose the impeachment, and support for the impeachment movement may not be widespread.

In addition, President Trump argues that the Democratic Party ’s House of Representatives Pelosi, the House ’s Schiff Information Commissioner who led the impeachment investigation, and the whistleblower who led the allegations should be called witnesses in impeachment trials.

There is a possibility that the impeachment trial is positioned as a place for embarking on a reversal offensive in preparation for re-election in the presidential election. In addition, since the selection of Democratic Party candidates for the presidential election will begin in earnest next February, the Republican Party may be considering extending the impeachment trial and attracting the interests of voters to impeachment trials. There is also a way of looking.

On the other hand, the Republican leadership has simplified the procedure to win the president's innocence verdict as soon as possible, and there is a voice that the series of impeachment movements should be put to an end, paying attention to how to proceed with the impeachment trial Are gathered.

I want to cast doubt on the qualities of the Democratic Party President

The opposition party and the Democratic Party also recognize that it is not easy to dismiss the president in an impeachment trial in the Senate where the ruling and Republican parties take the initiative. I want to raise doubts about his presidential qualities.

The Democratic Senate head, Schuma ’s in-house affairs official, said in the impeachment trial the testimony of government officials such as White House's deputy assistant Malverny, who had been implicated in fraud, and former Bolton assistant I am looking for and want to strengthen my pursuit of President Trump.

On the other hand, since the primaries to select Democratic presidential candidates will begin in February next year, if the impeachment trial in the Senate is prolonged, there is concern that the interests of voters will not be gathered in selecting Democratic candidates. When the House Judiciary Committee first drafted the impeachment resolution, the Democratic Party considered whether to add to the impeachment clause the obstruction of justice by President Trump pointed out in the investigation of the so-called Russian allegations. It seems that the purpose was to avoid a prolonged trial.

Furthermore, the Democratic Party has a sense of crisis that if the procedure for impeachment is prolonged and parliament management is delayed and the deliberation of important bills is hindered, it may become negative for the next year's presidential election. In fact, in 1998, when Democratic Party President Clinton was charged with impeachment in the House of Representatives, the Democratic Party criticized that the Republican Party, which was then the opposition party, pursued only the issue of impeachment and neglected other policies. In some cases, the approval rate has dropped.

For that reason, impeachment trials in the Senate can be said to be a “double-edged sword” for the Democratic Party, and the reality is that we want to proceed with a moderate sense of speed.