The British General Election starts voting The biggest issue of withdrawal from the EU is December 12, 16:10

Voting started at 4 pm Japan time for the UK general election, where the biggest issue is whether to leave the EU. Voters' attention will be paid to whether the ruling party and conservative party led by Prime Minister Johnson will secure a majority by themselves and set the course for next month's withdrawal.

In the United Kingdom, voting for the general elections over the 650 seats of the House of Representatives began at 7 am on the 12th and at 4 pm Japan time at various polling stations.

In the election, the right issue of leaving the EU is the biggest issue, and if the Conservative Party secures a majority, it is expected that the departure conditions agreed by the Prime Minister of Johnson with the EU will be approved by Congress, and there will be a way to leave next month It will be.

On the other hand, if the ruling party does not reach the majority, the conservative party will be forced to operate as a minority ruling party, and the prospect of secession next month will not be established, and if it becomes a Labor-led government with a change of government, it will be disengaged The whereabouts are likely to be entrusted to referendum again.

Initially in the election campaign, the Conservative Party led the way, but the Labor Party gradually narrowed the gap, and the latest polls show that the Conservative Party is 43% and the Labor Party is 34%.

Voting is closed at 10:00 on the 12th local time and at 7:00 am on the 13th in Japan time, and the votes will be counted the same day.

The biggest point of departure from the EU

The biggest issue of the election is the departure from the EU. Specifically, the focus will be whether Prime Minister Johnson will withdraw from the agreement agreed with the EU.

The Conservative Party, led by Prime Minister Johnson, argues that if the Conservative Party secures a majority in the election, the Parliament will begin debating bills related to withdrawal before Christmas and will leave at the end of January next year.

On the other hand, the largest opposition Labor Party wants to bring a change of government in the general election and stop Prime Minister Johnson's speculation.

As a counter measure, the Labor Party will negotiate with the EU again on the terms of withdrawal and will make a new agreement within three months. In addition, he claims that a second referendum will be made within six months with the choices of “withdrawal under new conditions” and “remaining in the EU”.

However, the Labor Party has not shown a clear attitude about leaving the EU.

The third party, the Scottish National Party, and the fourth party, the Liberal Democratic Party, have clearly set out the EU's remaining position, making the difference from the Labor Party clear.

In this election, the “Leaving Party”, who claims a withdrawal from the Conservative Party, is also a candidate.

According to a survey conducted in November by a major research company, “YouGov”,
▽ "EU withdrawal" is the highest, reaching about 60% of the total.
In other policies, “medical care” is about 40%,
▽ About 30% of "environmental measures"
▽ "Crime countermeasures" and "Economy" are both around 20%.

The post-election scenario is

The scenario for EU withdrawal expected after the general election varies greatly depending on whether the Conservative Party can win a majority.

If the Conservative Party wins a single majority, it will promptly deliberate on the bill necessary for withdrawal from the EU after the election, and the withdrawal will be realized on January 31 next year.

After that, we will enter into a one-year transition period established until the end of next year to avoid sudden changes in the environment, and will enter into negotiations for the conclusion of free trade agreements with other countries.

However, negotiations can be difficult, and if an agreement is not concluded during the transition period, there is a risk of economic turmoil again a year later.

On the other hand, if the Conservative Party fails to win the majority, it will fall into the same state as before the election, called “Hang Parliament” or “Hang Parliament”. The Conservative Party will not be able to pass bills in parliament without cooperating with other political parties, but because all parties oppose the agreement that Prime Minister Johnson signed with the EU, coalition negotiations may be difficult Expected.

Depending on the results, the Labor Party may start a coalition government with the Liberal Democratic Party or Scottish National Party.

Of these, the Labor Party has negotiated again with the EU and has concluded a new agreement, and then claims that it will hold a referendum asking whether it will leave or remain, and other parties are also calling for a referendum .