General meeting of the North Korean Central Committee “For a meeting to determine the future” Expert analysis December 4, 19:10

Regarding the fact that North Korea decided to hold a general meeting of the Central Committee of the Korean Labor Party later this month, Professor Shunji Hiraiwa of Nanzan University, who is familiar with the situation in North Korea, said, “North Korea has set a deadline to wait for the decision of the United States until the end of the year. "The general meeting held before the deadline has an important meaning, and it will be a big meeting to determine the future of North Korea ’s nuclear and missiles.”

And if the end of the year, which was due, was overdue, Professor Hiraiwa said, “You have to decide from various options whether you want to review the US-North Korea consultation itself or extend the deadline a little and look at the future of the US presidential election. I have to point out. "

On the other hand, with regard to the nuclear test and ICBM = intercontinental ballistic missile launch experiment that had been canceled, Professor Hiraiwa said, “Because the dialogue line with the United States was established by President Trump, the North Korean side "If you restart the experiment, it will make your relationship with President Trump difficult," he said, saying that the possibility of restarting nuclear tests and ICBM launch experiments is not necessarily high. It was.

Trump administration's North Korea policy

The American Trump administration has not lost its stance to continue negotiations for the complete denuclearization of North Korea.

The “complete denuclearization” aimed at by the Trump administration is that North Korea will eventually give up all weapons of mass destruction, including nuclear warheads and missiles.

However, because North Korea has not agreed, the Trump administration will continue to discuss with the US and North American practitioners, such as final denuclearization goals, and removal and inspection of nuclear materials to achieve them. First, I would like to agree on the itinerary.

In order to promote the denuclearization of North Korea, the policy is to simultaneously improve the US-North Korea relations agreed at the summit and the measures for permanent peace on the Korean Peninsula.

President Trump stressed his personal relationship with Kim Jong-un, the chairman of the Korean Labor Party, quit large-scale joint military exercises in the US and South Korea, and did not regard the launch of short-range ballistic missiles as a problem. I have urged North Korea to discuss.

On the other hand, the United States has sought to implement the UN Security Council's sanctions resolution steadily, and continues to implement sanctions unique to the United States, such as imposing sanctions on companies in other countries that deal with North Korea. It has not collapsed.

North Korea called for sanctions to be lifted, and the second US-North Korea summit held in Vietnam in February ended with farewell, and after the third summit in Panmunjom (Panmen) in June The discussion did not proceed.

In October, however, a working-level consultation was held in Sweden for the first time in seven months, and it seems that the United States presented a “creative plan” and made new proposals on how to proceed with denuclearization. North Korea argues that "the United States did not abandon the old position", and there is still a big gap in the US-North Korea position.

President Trump showed his willingness to attend the fourth summit meeting, and last month he called on Kim ’s chairman “Let's meet soon,” but North Korea responded, “I'm not interested in a useless meeting.” Consultation is stalled, showing no attitude.