US House of Representatives Ukrainian allegations soon due to hearing High interest in testimony November 13th 20:16

The first public hearing of the American Parliament, which is proceeding with impeachment, will soon begin due to the so-called Ukrainian allegations over President Trump. There is a lot of interest in the United States about the testimony of high-ranking government officials as to whether the suspicion that the president has made an illegal request to Ukraine for his own election purposes will progress.

Ukrainian allegations were raised by President Trump in a telephone conference with the Ukrainian President in July, with military support to gain information against the opposition and Democratic leading candidates for the next presidential election, former Vice President Biden. It is said to have requested an investigation in exchange.

The House of Representatives, led by the Democratic Party, suspected fraudulent demands for election purposes, and publicly conducted investigations to hear the testimony of the parties concerned and made a decision on the impeachment. We decided to hold a public hearing.

At the first public hearing starting at dawn on the 14th of Japan time, a temporary ambassador to Ukraine, who was responsible for diplomatic negotiations with the Ukrainian side, and a deputy assistant Kent from the State Department will testify.

Taylor responded to a private interview prior to this, revealing the perception that Mr. Biden's investigation was a condition of military support and summit talks to Ukraine.

President Trump denies allegations as `` hunting witches '', but the Democratic Party wants to expand the support for impeachment by pulling out testimonies approaching the core at a hearing relayed nationwide, The high interest of the whole country is gathered in the testimony of the government officials whether elucidation progresses.

Trends and public opinion trends

It started with a telephone conference between President Trump in July and President Zelesky in Ukraine.

In this meeting, President Trump is said to have put pressure on the investigation of the relationship between Ukraine and former Vice President Biden, a promising candidate for the opposition and democrats, for the presidential election in exchange for military support to Ukraine. The

An official of an American government agency who considered this as a problem reported in whistleblower in August, and then was reported in the media in mid-September and the suspicion came to light.

In response to the press, President Trump admits that he had temporarily suspended military assistance to Ukraine, but denied that this was a return or pressure, and published a document that it was a record of the meeting, there was no problem I insisted that

In response, Democrat Pelosi, the president of the Democratic Party, decided in September to conduct an impeachment investigation in the congressional House of Representatives, saying that President Trump ’s actions are contrary to US security and the oath when he assumed office. , The interviews with relevant government officials have been made private.

Last month, the parliament officially decided to start the investigation and decided to hold a public hearing.

As for the impeachment survey, more than 80% of Democratic supporters agree in the latest public opinion survey, while more than 80% of Republican supporters disagree, with 51% agreeing and 42% disagreeing overall. Is greatly cracked.

President Trump denies allegations and condemns the impeachment investigation as `` witch hunting '', but the Democratic Party aims to provoke public opinion through public hearings nationwide and spread support for impeachment Yes, depending on whereabouts, it may affect the presidential election.

The biggest focus of impeachment investigation

The main focus of the impeachment investigation is whether President Trump has requested the Ukrainian side to investigate for election purposes and whether it is against the law.

<1: Suspected violation of federal law>
American federal law prohibits you from seeking or getting assistance from foreign governments or foreigners in election campaigns.

If President Trump demanded a survey from Ukraine to hit the former Vice President Biden, a promising candidate for the opposition and democratic party for next year's presidential election, he would have sought foreign government support for campaigning. Could be violated by federal law.

<2: Suspected abuse of power>
Furthermore, if President Trump cites an investigation into Mr. Biden as a condition of military assistance to Ukraine, it may be determined that he abused power for his own political interests.

If these are found to be facts, it will be the reason for prosecution for impeachment against the president.

<3: Suspected concealment>
Ukrainian allegations also raised suspicions that senior White House officials tried to hide it.

In a series of suspicions, officials from government agencies accused the telephone talks between President Trump and the Ukrainian president in July, and then the White House officials who understood this reported the contents of the telephone talks. Suspected of moving to a highly confidential system.

There is also evidence that the White House has deleted or amended the document when the White House published a document that it was a record of a telephone conference after the allegations came to light.

An official who whistle-blowing about this argues that "White House executives have intervened to seal the contents of the telephone conference," and the Democratic Party is also pursuing.

Biden parent and child suspicion and impact

President Trump argues that the suspicion is rather on the side of Mr. Biden and his second son, Hunter Biden, and the truth should be revealed.

<"Allegations" about Hunter>
Mr. Hunter was appointed to the board of the Ukrainian gas company "Brisma" after being discharged from the Navy in 2014, when his father, Mr. Biden, served as vice president.

Mr. Hunter had no experience in the gas business until then, but he was said to have received $ 50,000 a month and approximately 5.5 million yen in Japanese yen until his retirement in April.

Mr. Hunter said in an interview on ABC TV last month that he was not fraudulent and had no problems, but said "If he was not the vice-president's son, he would not have been appointed as an officer." Showed the idea that the position of the company had an influence on the appointment of officers.

After that, he explained, “I gave him the material to attack my father. That was my mistake.”

<"Allegations about Mr. Biden">
On the other hand, when his father, Biden, visited Ukraine in 2015, when he was a vice president, he demanded that the prosecutor general be removed from Ukraine because the promotion of anti-corruption measures was insufficient.

Mr. Biden recalled that time in a lecture given at the think tank, saying that he had put pressure on the Ukrainian side if he would not provide economic support of $ 1 billion unless the Attorney General was dismissed.

Ukrainian anti-corruption measures were requested in cooperation with other countries and the IMF = International Monetary Fund, but President Trump protects his son, Hunter, from the investigation of the gas company "Brisma" by the Ukrainian prosecution authorities For this reason, Mr. Biden has criticized the use of vice-president status for improper pressure.

<Also in China? >
Mr. Hunter also accompanied Mr. Biden, who was the vice president at that time, in China in December 2013, before he was appointed as an executive of Brisma, and later became an executive of a Chinese investment company that was soon established. Is also appointed.

President Trump criticized Mr. Biden for assisting his son's business in China using his position as vice president.

Furthermore, although the grounds are not shown, Mr. Hunter pointed out that he got more than 1.5 billion dollars from the Chinese side and over 160 billion yen in Japanese yen, and not only Ukraine but also the Chinese government conducted a survey of Mr. Biden's parent and child Insist that it should be done.

Mr. Hunter retired from the investment company's board last month as President Trump criticized.

Biden said last month at a Democratic Candidates TV debate when he asked a moderator about his son's huge profits from Ukrainian companies, “Neither my son nor I did anything wrong. "It is President Trump that should be guessed," he said.

<Impact on the Democratic Party>
Both Biden's parents and children argue, but it is difficult to completely deny that Mr. Hunter has gained profits by using his position as the second son of the vice president, and it is the top in the Democratic Party's nomination dispute The momentum of Mr. Biden, who has been running the race, has come out.

In the future, depending on the development of the Trump impeachment that the Democratic Party is proceeding with in the parliament, there may be a further impact on Mr. Biden's election campaign.

18 testimony in a private interview

According to the American media, 18 people, including the White House and State Department officials, have responded to the testimony in a private interview that has been promoted during the impeachment investigation of the House of Representatives.

<Taylor's temporary ambassador>
Of these, Taylor, a temporary deputy ambassador to Ukraine, who was in charge of diplomatic negotiations with Ukraine, testified privately on the 22nd of last month.

According to the testimony document released on the 6th of this month, Taylor recognized that the condition of military assistance to Ukraine was an expression of the Ukrainian side's investigation into Mr. Biden.

Taylor also testifies that another American ambassador reported that these requests were President Trump's intentions.

Taylor said to the ambassador that “it is not sane to suspend military support in exchange for cooperating in campaigning”.

<Ambassador Sondland>
Mr. Taylor told this to Ambassador Sondland in charge of the EU = European Union, and Mr. Sondland is said to have a close relationship with the President as an influential supporter who made a large contribution to President Trump.

Mr. Sondland also testified in a private interview last month that he did not know the fact that President Trump demanded an investigation from Ukraine in return for military support.

However, after changing the testimony in the additional statement submitted on the 4th of this month and recalling the content as he listened to the statements of other senior government officials, Sondland himself made a statement regarding the investigation of Mr. Biden to the Ukrainian side. Admitted that it was difficult to provide military assistance unless

In this regard, the media pointed out that while the testimony of high-ranking government officials is in line, they may have been afraid of being charged with perjury lied to parliamentary investigations.

<Lieutenant Colonel Bindman Army>
On the other hand, a senior government official who was in a telephone conference with President Trump in July and the Ukrainian president also responded to the testimony.

One of them was Lieutenant Colonel Bindman of NSC = National Security Council of the White House, and in a private interview on 29th last month, “It is not appropriate to ask foreign governments to investigate Americans, and concerns about the president's remarks. I was able to testify.

Bindman also revealed that the content of the conversation was deleted or modified when the White House published a document for the telephone conference.

<Juliani Lawyer>
On the other hand, a series of investigations by Parliament has revealed the presence of President Trump's aides who are believed to be deeply involved in the allegations of Ukraine.

I ’m Juliani, an advisory lawyer for President Trump.

At the request of President Trump, Juliani is said to have been investigating the relationship between Democratic Party Biden and Ukraine.

<Assistant Secretary of State for Kent>
Mr. Juliani's testimony is the deputy assistant Kent, who is responsible for Ukraine policy at the State Department.

According to testimony records, Mr. Kent revealed in a private interview on the 15th of last month that Mr. Juliani had repeatedly slandered his intention to dismiss the U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine, who was negative to Mr. Biden's investigation. did.

<Former Ambassador of Jovanovic>
As a result, Mr. Jovanovic was dismissed in May, and last month, he himself has responded to his testimony.

According to it, Mr. Jovanovic was advised by a senior Ukrainian officer in February to be wary of Mr. Juliani's actions.

<Former President of Bolton>
The Democratic Party, who is increasingly pursuing suspicion, is looking at the key to clarifying the actual situation.

Bolton is believed to have been in charge of the Trump administration's security policy until he was dismissed in September, and was also deeply involved in the decision on military support to Ukraine.

According to the American media, Mr. Bolton was angry in July when he was asked by Ukraine Ambassador Sondland to ask Mr. Biden for a survey on Mr. Biden.

It is reported that the Democratic Party is considering seeking a testimony from Bolton, and its whereabouts are drawing attention.

Past impeachment survey and future prospects

The American Constitution provides for impeachment as a means of judging the president.

In this system, Congress investigates alleged crimes of the President, prosecutes them if necessary, and makes a de facto guilty judgment.

At that time, if a committee of the House of Representatives conducts an investigation and determines that it is a treason, bribery, or other serious or misdemeanor subject to impeachment, it will be voted at this meeting and a majority Prosecution will be made if no member of the Diet agrees.

When prosecuted, an impeachment trial will be held in the Senate of the Parliament, and if more than two-thirds of the senators in attendance agree, the impeachment will be effectively guilty and the President will be dismissed.

In the United States, Johnson 17th President and Clinton 42nd President have been prosecuted and imprisoned, but none of them were dismissed.

Among them, President Clinton was charged with a perjury for witnessing suspicion of affair with former White House trainees, and was decided to start impeachment in October 1998, and prosecuted in December about two months later. Two months later, in February 1999, the impeachment trial was issued.

On the other hand, the 37th president of Nixon, known for the "Watergate Incident", was provoked by public opposition due to suspicions such as an attempted eavesdropping on the hostile Democratic Party headquarters, and before it was prosecuted I was forced to resign.

In this suspicion of Ukraine, the opposition party and the Democratic party leading the House of Representatives are strengthening the suspicion of fraud by President Trump, and in the future, proceeding with hearings and investigation of related documents, will proceed to prosecution as early as next month There is also a way of looking.

However, the parliamentary Senate, where the impeachment trial is held, has a majority of the ruling and Republican parties supporting President Trump, and since there is no major anti-fouling movement at present, more than two-thirds agree in the trial at present Is seen as difficult to get.

Expert "Bipolarization is even more serious"

Professor Toshihiro Nakayama, who specializes in American politics, said, “The suspicion of Ukraine demanded that the president's political enemy be investigated in return for military support. “It was easier to look at the problem than other suspicions, and so the process went to the point where the hearing was held in parliament.”

On top of that, there is a president who has been investigated for impeachment in the modern history of America or who was actually put on impeachment, but it is not frequent, so it is accepted by the big story and the public. '' It was.

Regarding the hearing, “The focus is on whether the president has given clear instructions to the Ukrainians directly to seek a return. However, since the survey has so far provided considerable evidence, The side has begun to argue that it is not an issue worthy of impeachment, "he said, pointing out that the focus could change depending on the content of the hearing.

On the other hand, “In recent years, the United States itself has been polarized into Republican support and Democratic support, so even if the process of impeachment progresses, it is difficult to imagine a situation where Trump supporters will turn one after another. `` Although it is almost impossible for the Republican party to impeach and dismiss the president in the majority of the Senate, '' he said, even if President Trump was prosecuted, it was unlikely to be impeached. .

"The president claims that his innocence has been proved, so it's unclear how much damage to the president himself will be. Rather, the impeachment process will not lead to a further polarization of American politics. ”And indicated that the impeachment procedure could deepen the US division.

“The Democratic Party is criticizing President Trump with an accusation, and it cannot be said that the Republican Party does not have the effect of cohesion.

On the other hand, the Democratic Party said, “There are still a lot of low-profile candidates, and there is a negative point that the public's interest is more towards impeachment than elections. In that sense, it can be painful. For Democrat candidates, it ’s also painful that they ca n’t spend their campaigns on election campaigns during trials in the Senate. ”