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The failure in the negotiation to form Government and the electoral repetition caused many to hold their breath in Podemos. Íñigo Errejón's jump to the national sphere further restricted oxygen. But within a week of 10-N, the purple headquarters breathes tranquility.
Surveys show that they endure, in any case with a small loss of votes, and the Errejón effect they consider it amortized. The purple dome faces the campaign with optimism: they believe that in society the perception has been installed that the fault of the negotiating failure was Pedro Sánchez and not Pablo Iglesias.
Iglesias' team recalls that both its internal and public surveys in recent months pointed to Sánchez as guilty of the blockade. While on many occasions, as with Catalonia, they believe they are right but their vision does not coincide with public and published opinion, on this occasion there was consensus. And that atonement leaves Iglesias free of many burdens to campaign more for the attack, without the need to remain in constant justification. He granted an extra political life when many were already burying him.
"The first and main reason that Podemos is resisting in the intention to vote is that the Spaniards do not perceive them as guilty of the electoral repetition. Between April 28 and the 10-N elections call was played a blame game whose sole objective was to blame the other for the call for new elections, "says Abelardo Bethencourt , general director of the Public consultancy.
"The Stamina of Podemos"
"The PSOE believed that he was going to win that story, but he was finally perceived as the big culprit. This explains two things: the little electoral pull of the PSOE, as foreseen in the previous polls, and the stamina of Podemos that was not contemplated. "adds Bethencourt.
To try to strengthen that image, Podemos intends to establish its version of reality: they, despite the PSOE offer being "empty" of content, accepted and only asked to include active employment policies. Twists to deepen the responsibility of the fault in Sanchez.
A determining factor that exonerates Iglesias and, to some extent, would legitimize him to remain in his demand to co-govern is that the leader of Podemos accepted Sanchez's veto. His step aside changed the stage and the role of the purples . In fact, its hard core points to this veto and that the socialist leader said he could not sleep with the ministers of Podemos as "two big mistakes" that have been used as electoral ammunition. They have turned it into a boomerang to try to hit the socialists.
"We can not collapse because Iglesias maintained a coherent position throughout the failed negotiation: coalition from beginning to end. In addition, the party was attrition because of the perception that Iglesias always wants to impose his will, but he did something that nobody expected: That dismantles that image and strengthens its new position, moderate, already exposed in the debates, "reflects Verónica Fumanal , political consultant and president of the Association of Political Communication.
Florentino Pérez, Ana Patricia Botín , CEOE. They are names that pronounce the leaders of Podemos daily. The pronouncement of certain economic actors, asking that the purple people were not in the Council of Ministers, supplies electoral ammunition to Iglesias. He has granted them an argument to catch votes among the left dissatisfied with the PSOE.
Temporary peace until 10-N
The purple strategists believe that this veto of the "oligarchy" has allowed them to recover their old essence, make their speech credible. Its claim is that the disaffection of citizens does not prevent discerning that not all parties act the same.
There is also another factor, this one internally, which prevents erosion in Podemos: face this campaign without internal wars. Temporary peace until 10-N that removes media noise. The maximum exponent was the meeting held last October 25 in Jerez Teresa Rodríguez and Iglesias, hug and requests that he be president included.
We can Andalusia maintains important discrepancies with the management of Madrid, but now they are deactivated. In the party they point to Errejón and his abrupt irruption in Spain - trying to sign in Podemos - as a factor that has contributed to the purple action unit.
"We suffered his great electoral loss on 28-A. He came to the meeting after the leaks of important leaders such as Errejón, and they were the first elections after the purchase of the Galapagar villa. It was the Podemos we know today. He took out 42 deputies and in that threshold is his ground ", reflects Fumanal.
However, the resistance of Podemos has weak flanks. Iglesias's strategy is contingent upon United We and PSOE adding a majority, so that Sanchez does not need the independence. Something unlikely. If this does not happen, the purple leader will have little to do, because, to this day, the Socialists seem incompatible with the independentists; and Podemos is incompatible with an alliance with PP or Citizens. The utopian scenario that is surely drawn in the headquarters of Podemos: a sum with the Socialists, Errejón and the PNV.
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Poll EL MUNDO-Sigma DosEmpate between right and left at the start of the election campaign