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The American general David Petraeus is confident that the so-called trade war between the United States and China will be resolved diplomatically and "profitably" for both countries. However, the former supreme commander of US forces in Iraq and Afghanistan calls for "preventing negotiations between Washington and Beijing from failing and unleashing a total conflict." Petraeus, who was also the director of the CIA, says that US President Donald Trump "is not prone to wage wars." Even so, the general himself warns that no former intelligence chief can rule out "risks."

Do you fear that the commercial war between Washington and Beijing could have serious consequences for international security? The relationship between the US and China is obviously the most important in the world. It has wide ramifications throughout the planet. I think that the leaders of both countries have important reasons to try to solve their current commercial dispute, in which there are no winners. I hope that the relationship between Washington and Beijing can be helpful for both. But, as a former chief of intelligence and military, I am quite realistic . I realize that a great deal will be needed between them to try to restore the mutual trust that existed just after China's accession to the World Trade Organization. The US and China are rivals, not only commercial, but also strategic. We must avoid that the negotiations between them fail and unleash a total conflict, since, obviously, we are in a nuclear era. So, the community has to be concerned about it? Both in the US and in China, military spending is already very big. The one in Washington is probably three times higher than in Beijing. But China certainly achieves more with its own, by not having the high labor costs of the United States. The possibility of an incident, although involuntary, out of control between the two countries is enough to induce any leader to pause . And US President Donald Trump is not in favor of waging wars. Still, no former CIA director will say there are no risks. Of course, there are. So there is also a risk that an arms race in the world will intensify, especially if the New Start Treaty between the US and Russia (which cuts its strategic nuclear arsenals) will not be renewed after its expiration on February 5, 2021? I leave the topic of the New Start to the negotiators. As regards the US and China, I wonder: How much more could the two countries spend? Washington is already spending (on armament) more than Beijing ... The US Department of Defense said in a report that the self-styled Islamic State (IS) has once again carried out activities in Syria and has again with an insurrection capacity in Iraq ... I share the concern expressed in that report about the permanence of between 20,000 and 30,000 elements of the SI in the whole of that area. I was warning for a long time that what we defeated in Iraq and Syria was the army of the IS, and not its insurrectional elements, which would inevitably continue to exist. I always said that what was left to do was even more difficult. Even so, we returned home from Iraq, instead of continuing to fight the extremists. This fight must be a lasting commitment. Also, let's not forget that we haven't defeated cyberlifato yet. However, there is no purely military solution, nor an exclusively diplomatic or economic solution. All of these are needed, together. In Afghanistan, the current US Administration is negotiating an agreement with the Taliban, which would also mean a partial withdrawal of US troops still present in the country. Do you think this strategy can be effective? No one wants to see the end of the war more than a former military commander, especially the one who was commander in Afghanistan. He knows the price, especially in blood, of that conflict. However, I have some reservations about that plan. Hopefully we (USA) will reach an agreement, in which there are no new sanctuaries in Al Qaeda or the Islamic State in Afghanistan, and the Taliban accept a true ceasefire, lay down their weapons and become a productive element of society ! Still, I wish there were many safeguard measures in this regard. In addition, I would ask whether the Taliban can also exercise control over the Haqqani Network, as well as the Islamic Movement in Uzbekistan, the Taliban in Pakistan and other extremist groups trying to break the order and cause bloodbaths in Afghanistan. It takes caution.

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