- The agenda.The key dates until Brexit
The Labor Party and the Scottish National Party (SNP) have reached an agreement in principle to file a motion of censure against the Boris Johnson government next week, taking advantage of the foreseeable absence in Parliament of the premier and dozens of Tories deputies, while the annual Conservative Party conference is held in Manchester.
Stewart Hosie, a Scottish independence deputy, confirmed to the BBC the intention of the two parties to support the motion of censure on Monday or Tuesday. "If we are serious about the extension of Brexit (to avoid a departure without an agreement on October 31), it is the only trick we have left," Hosie warned.
Scotland's chief minister, Nicola Sturgeon, has for the first time given signs of supporting an alternative and provisional government led by Labor Jeremy Corbyn, whose role would be to ensure the extension of Brexit for three months and to call general elections in that period.
Contacts between Labor, Scottish and Welsh nationalists, liberal democrats and independent deputies have intensified in recent days to conclude the strategy. On Monday they will hold a new meeting that can be decisive. The liberal democratic leader, Jo Swinson, nevertheless continues to refuse the idea of supporting a temporary government led by Jeremy Corbyn for his ambiguity before Brexit and for considering that he is a "too divisive" figure.
"Unity government" or "emergency"
Another option could be the creation of a "unity government" or "emergency", led by one of the 21 moderate conservatives recently expelled by Boris Johnson from the party (veteran Kenneth Clarke or former attorney general Dominic Grieve) or by deputies Labor Harriet Harman or Margaret Beckett.
Corbyn resists this possibility in principle, which is still open. The Labor leader said on Saturday that talks with other opposition forces have been "productive" and that the possibility of an emergency government is "increasingly likely as the days go by . "
The last time a British government was shot down by a motion of censure was in 1979, when the fall of Labor James Callaghan paved the way for Margaret Thatcher's victory. Former conservative leader Theresa May overcame last January the motion of censure presented by Jeremy Corbyn , defeated by 306 votes in favor and 325 against.
According to the Law of Fixed Parliamentary Terms of 2011, if the Government loses a vote of censure, a period of 14 days is opened for an alternative Government to achieve the "trust" of the House of Commons. Otherwise, early elections would be called automatically.
"The motion of censure is the only way to ensure that the prime minister will obey the law and ask for an extension of Brexit as approved by Parliament a few weeks ago," SNP deputy Stewart Hosie added. The opposition has concluded that Boris Johnson plans to ignore what has been renamed by him as "the surrender law," which forces him to request a three-month extension for EU exit if he does not reach an agreement. with Brussels before October 19.
Boris Johnson recently lost a majority in the House of Commons after the expulsion of the "rebel" deputies and suffered seven humiliating defeats in what he himself calls the "zombie" Parliament. The 247 Labor deputies could join to reach the necessary majority the 35 Scottish nationalists, the 34 independents, the 18 Liberal Democrats, the five of the Independent Group for Change, the four Welsh Plaid Cymru and the deputy of the Green Party Caroline Lucas.
Johnson is expected to disembark on Sunday with all his hosts at the Manchester conference, which he hopes to gain the majority support of his party for his strategy to complete Brexit on October 31, with or without agreement. Inspired by his strategist Dominic Cummings, Boris Johnson plans to take his confrontation with Parliament to the last consequences and exploit the image of the "people" premier , despite actually being elected by the 160,000 conservative militants in a closed vote.
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