The Brexit scenario has so many twists and turns that it is sometimes difficult to navigate. In forty-eight hours, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson suffered a triple defeat in Parliament.

On 3 September, MPs regained control of the parliamentary agenda normally held by the government. The next day, Wednesday, September 4, the text of Boris Johnson for early general elections was rejected and a few hours later, the bill calling for a postponement of Brexit to avoid an exit from the United Kingdom without agreement, which is fiercely opposed the head of government, was approved by the House of Commons.

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And now ? It is now in the House of Lords to vote the text. But time is running out as the Prime Minister has decided to suspend Parliament from 9 September until 14 October. Westminster has until Monday to finally adopt the law imposing a postponement of Brexit from October 31 to January 31.

The mission appeared delicate because some conservative pro-Brexit members of the House of Lords were considering tabling a series of amendments to slow the examination of the text and prevent its adoption before the prorogation of Parliament. But Boris Johnson, who no longer has a majority in Westminster, finally agreed early Thursday, September 5, not to obstruct the law.

Towards early elections once the carryover law passed

The House of Lords must therefore debate and vote the bill, Thursday and Friday, before returning to the House of Commons Monday. Once definitively adopted, the text will be transmitted to the queen to become a law.

Does this mean that Brexit will not intervene on October 31st? No, because to take a third postponement, the United Kingdom must obtain the agreement of the 27 other member countries of the European Union. However, more and more countries are tired of these deadlines granted in London and some begin to resolve themselves to a Brexit without agreement.

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If a postponement of Brexit is not certain, early elections should take place. Labor leader Jeremy Corbyn said on Wednesday that he would accept the principle of early elections after the Brexit postponement bill was passed. It is therefore very likely that Boris Johnson will resubmit his motion calling for elections, the date of which will have to be negotiated.

The Prime Minister wants a vote on October 15, while the Labor Party would prefer to wait after October 31.

In case of early elections, the Brexit will then be in the hands of the future government. New adventures are therefore to wait.