The safe zone .. What scenarios for Turkey to face the "procrastination" of America?

Adnan Hussein - Northern Syria

Observers said that Ankara is very concerned about the US "procrastination" in the implementation of the agreement announced between it and Washington regarding the establishment of the safe area in northeastern Syria, which has become known as the eastern Euphrates area, and controlled by the Syrian Democratic Forces, which is rejected by Turkey, as it considers the Syrian wing of the PKK. With different names, flags and shapes.

Ankara's fear comes through many points that seem unclear; most notably the depth of the safe area, the authority to which it will be subjected, the most important is the removal of Kurdish units (the most prominent component of the Syrian Democratic Forces) from them, and the duration of the implementation of the agreement, especially since the road map agreement on the city of Manbij remains stalled By what observers describe as American procrastination in its implementation.

Syrian writer and analyst Hassan al-Nifi says Ankara does not look more reliably or credibly at Washington's promises, as the June 4, 2018 agreement on Manbij remained dead on paper.

Only symbolic steps (joint patrols on the border between the SDF and the Euphrates Shield) have been implemented, according to the spokesman, possibly calling on Turkish Defense Minister Hulusi Akar to continue to threaten and warn that America is not serious about its commitment to implement the agreement.

Time plan
Ankara has drawn up a timeline and a process that will gradually begin to accelerate the process of establishing the region. The threat of unilateral military intervention was part of what it called the "peace corridor", similar to its campaign against Cyprus and control of large parts of it, despite European and American opposition, and the deployment of large parts of its army and preparedness to start. This prompted US officials to reach a quick and clear agreement with Turkey.

Sources told Al Jazeera Net that the agreement signed by Ankara with Washington includes five main points over a period of time will not exceed six months: First, the establishment of the Joint Coordination Room, which is being worked on in the province of ليanlıurfa (southern Turkey), and then the operation of drones over areas The control of the SDF, which aims at a complete survey of the positioning of its forces and its headquarters to facilitate the process of its subsequent deportation

The second phase will be a military patrol composed of Turkish forces accompanied by US forces, and will be at a depth of five kilometers as the first stage, and will extend from the village "Bagdik" east of Ain al-Arab (Kobani) in the eastern countryside of Aleppo and to the city of Ras al-Ain in Hasakah countryside, a long distance An estimated 150 kilometers.

After Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu unveiled US President Donald Trump's promise that the region will be 20 miles (32 kilometers) deep, the Aleppo-Hasakah (Rudko) road will be the dividing line of the safe zone borders that Turkey will share and control. With American troops.

Five rules
The sources confirmed that the third and main step is the establishment of five joint military bases (Turkish-American), the first located near the shrine of Suleyman Shah (west of the city of Ain al-Arab), while the second is located near the eye of the Arabs, and the third within a US military base between the cities of Tel Abyad and Areen Arabs , Known as the rule of "ruined love".

The fourth point will be in the perimeter of Tal Abyad city in Raqqa countryside, and the fifth in the perimeter of Ras Al Ain city in Al-Hasakah countryside. Five other points will be spread within the agreement, and these points will be mobile as needed along the distance.

Ankara believes that the implementation of the Safe Zone Agreement without dismantling the structure of Kurdish units that rely on foreign leaders of the PKK; will cause a future problem, so bear in mind the total change of the administration of the city of Ain Arab, and the removal of heavy and medium weapons, and the removal of all wanted, which It is an important step, especially since the city is today considered a symbol of Kurdish units and is subject to Turkish-American supervision, which naturally speeds up the implementation of the agreement in other areas.

Building confidence
For his part, Syrian Kurdish politician Ali Tammy stresses that the implementation of the terms of the agreement between the two parties is linked to many things, most notably building confidence between civilians and the Turkish side east of the Euphrates, in light of the experience that took place in the city of Afrin, The next stage foreshadows the failure of this agreement even if the force of arms.

Commenting on these items, Nifi questioned the sincerity of the United States, saying that what happened on August 7 will be implemented immediately, but there is no agreement on the implementation procedures, which will prompt the parties to return to the negotiations at the beginning of any step, which indicates The ruggedness of the full implementation of the agreement, amid an atmosphere full of suspicion and caution from all parties.

However, the sources confirm once again that the Turkish army will remain alert along the border to avoid any obstacles in the implementation of the agreement, which was translated into a visit by the Turkish Defense Minister on Friday to the army command in the province of ليanlıurfa and announced from there the timing of the implementation of the safe area.

Kurdish media reports indicate that the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) leadership has started moving towards an agreement with the Syrian regime and Russia, and handed over the most prominent areas in the province of Hasaka in order to thwart the Turkish-American agreement under the pretext of the legitimacy of the Syrian regime's return to the province.