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GUIDE: 7 possible ways out in the snowy Brexit jungle


The UK Parliament has decided that the UK should leave the EU with an agreement in place, not without an agreement. But hard Brexit is still a potential outcome in the mastodont-long Brexit drama. SVT News has compiled seven possible scenarios.


A contractless hard Brexit becomes reality if the positions remain locked. If the Members of Parliament do not agree, there will be no extended negotiation period. If Britain participates in the EU elections on 23 May, the deadline for Brexit negotiations will expire on 31 October. If, on the other hand, you do not participate in the election, an immediate Brexit is waiting without an agreement on June 1.


Although Prime Minister Theresa May's negotiated exit agreement with the EU has been voted down, it has not been permanently rejected as an alternative. If May does not compromise with Labor, and no other alternative can be supported by a majority in Parliament, it is still possible for the parties involved to return to the Prime Minister's agreement.


The government can choose to try to negotiate a whole new Brexit agreement. This would then not mean minor amendments or additions to the pre-negotiated exit agreement, but be about the EU and the UK starting from the beginning with the negotiation. If the EU refuses to enter into such a negotiation, the British government is forced to choose another path.


Can receive the same status as the 2016 vote, ie non-binding and advisory. However, in a new referendum, some MEPs would like the result to be binding. An alternative that is discussed is to allow the people in a new referendum to take a position on a sharp proposal for an exit agreement. In that case, the people vote to accept an agreement on EU exit, or to remain in the EU. Others have argued that a new referendum should also include a voting alternative on hard Brexit - leaving the EU without an agreement. Experts to whom the BBC refers estimate that it would take at least 22 weeks to conduct a proper referendum.


The Prime Minister may raise the issue of bringing the British parliamentary elections to the fore. If that is the case, the distribution of the number of chairs to Tories and Labor, and other parties in the lower house, is likely to be different. If Theresa May asks to have the election prematurely, she also jeopardizes government power. In order for this matter to come to fruition, at least two-thirds of Parliament's members must vote in favor of the Prime Minister's proposal for early elections. If so, elections can only be held 25 days after it has been decided in Parliament.


If the opposition makes a statement of no confidence in the government. Then all the members of Parliament can vote on whether they want the incumbent government to remain or not. If a majority of the members vote through the distrust, the government has 14 days to provide enough support in Parliament to win a new vote of confidence. If this fails, it will be the new election in the country.


Most likely, a new referendum or a new government in the UK is required to blow the entire Brexit process. The May Government has made it very clear that it is determined to exit the EU. But technically, according to a decision of the European Court of Justice, there is nothing legal to prevent the UK from withdrawing Article 50 of the EU's Lisbon Treaty, which when it was activated just over two years ago initiated the Brexit process.

Source: BBC

Source: svt

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