Europe 1 with AFP 5:51 p.m., February 24, 2023

The predictions are open, a few hours before the opening of the 48th Cesar ceremony.

This is an opportunity to remember the films that marked the year 2022 and to reward the artists who contributed to their delivery.

Which of them will then have the honor of being awarded this Friday evening?

A double for Magimel, the coronation of Virginie Efira?

The triumph of Louis Garrel behind the camera or the comeback of director Dominik Moll?

Bets are open until the Cesar ceremony on Friday evening.

The most prestigious prizes in French cinema are to be awarded on the stage of the Olympia, during a 48th ceremony to be followed live and in full on Europe 1 from 7 p.m.

Who will succeed

Lost Illusions

, winner last year with seven statuettes, including that of best film?

L'Innocent

, a cheerful police comedy by Louis Garrel, with Noémie Merlant, is in the lead with 11 nominations.

Just behind:

La Nuit du 12

, a thriller by Dominik Moll which tells the impossible investigation of a feminicide (10 nominations), and

En corps

, the latest Cédric Klapisch, on the reconstruction of a dancer from the Paris Opera, which also managed to find its audience in theaters at the end of another delicate year for French cinema.

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Virginie Efira or Adele Exarchopoulos?

As for best actresses, Virginie Efira, nominated for

Revoir Paris

as a witness to an attack in a Parisian brasserie, has every chance, notably against Adèle Exarchopoulos (

Fuck it

) or Laure Calamy (

Full time

).

Among the male performers, Louis Garrel and Benoît Magimel are in the running, the latter being able to achieve an unprecedented consecutive double, after having already won the statuette for best actor last year for In his lifetime , with Catherine

Deneuve

.

In the category of best directors, Louis Garrel, Cédric Klapisch and Dominik Moll, already Caesarized 22 years ago for

Harry a friend who wishes you well

, Cédric Jimenez (

November

) and Albert Serra (

Pacifiction-Torment on the islands

) are in contention.

Once again, the César for best director will therefore go to a director, as no female filmmaker has been nominated this year.

And Tonie Marshall will remain the only director in the history of French cinema to have been crowned for

Venus Beauty Institute

... in 2000.

Alice Guy and Cleopatra Prize

A situation that is all the more delicate for the Academy since, in the "best film" category, only one director has seen her work nominated, 

The Almond Trees

 by Valeria Bruni Tedeschi, and that diversity is almost absent from the nominations.

Faced with this even more marked imbalance this year, some alternative prizes awarded in recent days are trying to make themselves known.

The 6th Alice Guy Prize (named after the first filmmaker in history), awarded to the best director, chose to honor Alice Winocour for 

Revoir Paris

 and its competitor, the Cléopâtre Prize, launched this year by the French magazine Causette , was awarded to Alice Diop (

Saint Omer

) and Rebecca Zlotowski (

The Children of Others

).

Beyond the prizes, the César ceremony, broadcast on Canal+, a channel which has just reaffirmed that it intended to keep its place as a major financier of French cinema, must once again prove its relevance.

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The ceremony chaired by Tahar Rahim

In full social movement, the evening will probably be an opportunity to speak on pension reform.

But the 2021 ceremony, where misplaced humour, self-talk and artists' recriminations created unease, is still a scarecrow.

As for the audience, after hitting bottom last year with 1.3 million viewers, can it dig deeper?

In an attempt to get back on track, the presidency of the evening at the Olympia was entrusted to Tahar Rahim and the presentation to a collegiate team of masters and mistresses of ceremonies, from Emmanuelle Devos to Eye Haïdara, via Alex Lutz and Ahmad Sulla.

An Honorary Cesar will be awarded to American director David Fincher (

Seven

,

Fight Club

,

 The Social Network)

, for his entire career.