Why the winner of the Goya will be 'As bestas' with eight awards and the direction will be taken by Carla Simón

• Nominated 'As bestas', with 17 nominations, is placed as a favorite in some Goyas that mark a change of cycle in Spanish cinema

• AN EXTRAORDINARY YEAR The irruption of women revolutionizes Spanish cinema in its best year of the century

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If we were consistent in the worst sense, if the vote were simply a matter of ascription to the tribe, the

, the gender, the nationality or the guild (or all together),

This was noted in the nominations (17) and this seems to emerge from a summary analysis of the composition of the voter census.

It sounds strange, but everything influences.

You vote for the simple judgment, let's say, aesthetic, but it is also done for solidarity, for camaraderie, for historical justice, for historical reparation or, the most passionate, for patriotism.

Voting is an eminently emotional issue, but there is something rational about it.

Of the

potential voters, more than half

are registered in Madrid.

Which does not mean that they are all from Madrid or even that they live in Madrid.

They are the so-called privileges of the capital.

There is a tendency to sign up at the headquarters because that is where, supposedly, things happen and where the headquarters is.

There is, however, an exception:

For some time it was maintained (and it even became clear) that there was something like a Catalan

and that this group of pressure and friendship became relevant in years like those of

(2010), by Agustí Villaronga, or '

' (2015), by Cesc Gay, or, as the case may be, '

(2020), by Pilar Palomero.

However, it should not be lost sight of the fact that the long two hundred right now became

In other words, the number of academics enrolled in Barcelona has dropped a lot.

By cities, and already far away, they would follow

Question: Should the Academy be decentralized?

Answer: There would be.

As far as specialties or guilds are concerned,

They are more or less a quarter of those who choose the movie of the year.

But the huge number of directors who vote is not surprising (are there really that many in Spain?).

If we add the most influential artistic specialties (interpretation, direction, script and, why not, production), the result is almost half.

Compared to technicians (651) and the so-called associates (the 219 professors or festival directors),

When it comes to gender, they rule.

They keep sending them, it would be the right thing to do.

And they do so in a very large majority, despite the geometric corrections of recent years and the decisive impulse given by Yvonne Blake from the direction.

They are barely 700. It is true that this year there have been improvements towards the desired equality.

Among the films nominated for the best of the year there are more women (3) than men (2) as directors;

and there are categories such as production management taken over by them.

Good.

And one more fact.

In the Goya, unlike the Oscars, little or nothing influences what happens in previous awards such as, for example,

the voting margin was closed before the celebration of the three aforementioned galas .

And now, to the nougat.

as indicated by the tumult caused by the nominations and, in general, the unanimity raised around it.

The figures above also accompany.

The academics would play a role close to embarrassment if they ignore the Golden Bear for '

' and that, in a year with 40% female representation, the winner is not a woman in a category where only Pilar Miró, Icíar Bollaín have triumphed before and Isabel Coixet.

although the fact of being French helps him not to say a little, but badly.

(Alauda Ruiz de Azúa should also take home the new director).

In the supporting performances, there would be the indisputable

once again

, and

once again

And the original script, Rodrigo Sorogoyen and Isabel Peña, for, again,

.

A possible count would be the following.

'

(Film, the two actors, script, photography, editing, sound and music, and artistic direction).

(Seville is the fourth headquarters for academics) would compete with

(which is the only representative of one of the two Spanish '

' and which would be made with the adapted script) for the most specialties techniques because they are both period productions and five would be disputed among them (costumes, makeup, production and artistic direction and effects).

(new director and the two actresses).

And '

(direction and one of the three nominated revelation actors).

If we were consistent

According to the criteria of The Trust Project

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• Goya Awards

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