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It was

who, with her elaborate indifference, found the key on January 15 at the American critics' awards ceremony.

was the expression used by the actress when she collected her own to describe what is generically called "awards season" and that has achieved as collateral damage a new type of

journalism that basically consists of crossing figures: they analyze the brands of the dresses worn on the red carpets, the money earned by

in advertisements, the nobility of the alloy of the statuettes obtained until the closing of the Oscar voting is compared... and, voilà, we have the most anticipated nominations of the year that will take place

In reality, everything is simpler.

Just as patriarchal -in Blanchett's terminology-, but simpler.

It is about following the trail of what has already been awarded or what has already been nominated.

That means that each union of the 17 specialties of the Hollywood Academy that chooses its candidates (the actors select the actors, the directors the directors... and so on. Except in the case of the Best Picture, which they vote all) began to check boxes with various references in view.

Y...

'All at once...', go for 10

The most obvious of signs is also the most publicized: the reborn

awarded by the controversial Foreign Press Association, where a select group of 200 voters gather (this year 103 more were allowed to participate for clearing their consciences). .

Not far behind would be the critics and their

And much more relevant -since there are statistics on how many from one side go to another- would be the lists by unions or unions that are already well visible.

Yes, indeed, all very patriarchal.

Thus, there are six films that appear on all the lists (in order of prevalence):

by Daniel Kwan and Daniel Schneinert;

by Martin McDonagh;

by Steven Spielberg;

, by Baz Luhrmann;

, by Todd Field, and

by Joseph Kosinski.

Its directors are among the candidates chosen by the directors themselves (except Luhrmann) and the six are on the list of ten presented by the producers

.

A piece of information that the new predictive science likes so much: in the last ten years, 90.6% of the films selected by the PGA have finally been nominated for the Oscars.

To this we must add that all those mentioned were in the Globes that

finally won , in drama, and

, in comedy.

Add that and the CCAs were instead left with All at Once Everywhere, which, let's face it, seems the best placed to rack up nominations.

Another thing is if the oldest (or old) of the Academy, who are the ones who vote the most, have entered the crazy game of multiuniverses.

(Note: pay attention to

by Edward Berger, which with its 14 mentions in the British BAFTAs is already the Netflix option).

Cate's 3rd

As far as actors are concerned, their thing is to start with what the actors themselves like (the

).

The data tells us that in the last decade the percentage of coincidence with the Oscars oscillates between 73% and 83% in the four categories (actor, actress, secondary and secondary).

I mean, there's a lot.

In this case, and crossing the nominees with the names of the awards already delivered, they stand out in their case and always in order:

for

after winning in Venice and at the Globes;

for

, which has been a favorite of critics, and

for

, which was the other winner of the Globes in the musical section.

Among actresses, it seems impossible to imagine anyone capable of taking away her third Oscar from the very matriarchal

, whose work in

has already been the most appreciated by critics and by Globes and beyond.

In the candidacies he will be accompanied by

, for

and we hope that

for

.

And... pay attention that the actors themselves have boycotted

for

Where there are doubts and everything is much more uncertain is among the secondary ones.

But the safe ones, given their success at the Globes, are

for

and

for

Another piece of information, what the minister would say: in the cast category, which is the most relevant of the SAGs

and

Is that clear?

Tom vs. James

And what do we do with

and with

after their brutal box office successes?

The record of 14 nominations at the Visual Effects Society

for the former pretty much says it all.

But, and since we're talking about nominations, let's not rule out that Cruise and Cameron will be honored with a shower of nominations.

Now it's time to climb the patriarchal pyramid.

According to the criteria of The Trust Project

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