Employment is a top priority for people's livelihood, and it is also an important support for stabilizing the economic market.
In the macro data released by the National Bureau of Statistics recently, the "one decrease and one increase" of employment data is mixed -
In July, the national urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.4%, down 0.1 percentage points from the previous month.
Don't underestimate this insignificant "0.1". It is the third consecutive month of decline in the urban surveyed unemployment rate since May, with a cumulative decline of 0.7 percentage points, reflecting the overall improvement in my country's employment situation to a certain extent.
Also in July, the unemployment rates for the 16-24 and 25-59 population surveys were 19.9% and 4.3%, respectively.
Among them, the youth survey unemployment rate (16 to 24-year-old population survey unemployment rate) hit a nearly 4-month high.
At present, the unemployment rate survey data on the official website of the National Bureau of Statistics can be traced back to August 2019 as early as 36 months ago. This 19.9% is also the highest value of the youth survey unemployment rate in the past three years.
Judging from international experience, the surveyed youth unemployment rate is usually higher than the average unemployment rate, and the ratio is generally about twice.
That is to say, when the national urban survey unemployment rate is 5.4%, it is more reasonable for the youth survey unemployment rate to remain around 10%.
At present, the youth surveyed unemployment rate has exceeded the national urban surveyed unemployment rate by more than three times. Why is the employment pressure of the youth group continuing to increase despite the overall improvement in the employment situation?
From a comprehensive research and judgment, there are not only the contradiction between the total amount and the structure, but also the reasons for the interweaving and superposition of multiple factors such as periodicity and seasonality.
On the one hand, the surveyed youth unemployment rate itself is highly cyclical, and July was the graduation season, and a large number of young people entered the job market for jobs, pushing up the youth unemployment rate.
At the same time, the total number of youth employment is relatively large this year, with 10.76 million college graduates alone, an increase of 1.67 million over last year and a record high.
On the other hand, due to the impact of the epidemic, market players in some places and industries have encountered temporary difficulties, their ability to absorb employment has declined, and some companies have reduced recruitment.
In addition, the structural contradictions in employment continue to emerge, the supply and demand of talents in some fields are out of touch, and the problems such as the lack of matching between people and positions still need to be further solved.
Stabilizing employment is a systematic project. It is necessary to benefit the employed people as much as possible, and to focus on the employment of key groups such as college graduates through precise connection and multi-pronged approach.
Judging from the current employment situation, doing a good job in the employment of youth groups is still the focus of stabilizing employment.
It is necessary to strengthen the stabilization and expansion of jobs and further expand the "employment pool".
Since the beginning of this year, various regions and departments have introduced a series of policy measures to provide more jobs for young graduates.
For example, encourage enterprises to recruit college graduates for employment, accelerate the progress of recruiting civil servants and public institutions, and expand market-oriented and socialized employment channels.
In the next step, we must continue to accelerate the implementation of a package of policy measures to stabilize the economy, and continue to enhance the driving force of economic development on employment.
It is reported that the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments are researching and formulating policies and measures to support the entrepreneurship and employment of college graduates, and continue to expand on the basis of stabilizing the stock, and strive to create more high-quality employment opportunities for young people.
It is necessary to strengthen entrepreneurship and employment, and further enhance "employment power".
It is necessary to speed up the solution of a number of pain points that restrict entrepreneurship and employment, continuously improve the policy support system for college graduates' entrepreneurship and employment, and do everything possible to open up market-oriented employment channels.
It is necessary to strengthen the interpretation and interpretation of the relevant policies of "mass entrepreneurship and innovation", and give play to the role of the "mass entrepreneurship and innovation demonstration base alliance" to achieve a more effective connection of entrepreneurship and employment resources.
It is necessary to continue to plan and hold a number of key activities for entrepreneurship to drive employment, and make good use of platforms such as the "Entrepreneurship and Entrepreneurship Week", the China International "Internet +" College Students Innovation and Entrepreneurship Competition, and the "Maker China" SME Innovation and Entrepreneurship Competition to cultivate an atmosphere of innovation and entrepreneurship. , Enhance innovation and entrepreneurship capabilities, and expand entrepreneurial employment space.
At present, my country's economic operation is at a key point in determining the trend of the whole year. Under the requirements of the central government that "the epidemic must be prevented, the economy must be stabilized, and development must be safe", employment stabilization has been placed in a more prominent position.
The top priority is to seize the window period of economic stabilization and recovery since the second quarter, do everything possible to stabilize employment, make concerted efforts to expand employment, and give full play to the role of economic recovery and growth in stimulating employment.
(Author: Gu Yang)