• The incidence rate has been increasing since the end of May in the Alpes-Maritimes.

  • A finding also observed throughout France.

  • According to experts from Public Health France, this rebound could be explained, among other things, by the new incarnations of Omicron, potentially more contagious than the previous ones, and the relaxation of health measures.

With the end of the vaccination pass and the wearing of the compulsory mask in public transport, the Covid-19 has almost disappeared from our daily lives in recent weeks.

But according to data from Public Health France, the coronavirus never went very far.

State of play in the Alpes-Maritimes.

Increase in incidence rate

Monday evening, the incidence rate, that is to say the number of positive cases for Covid-19 per 100,000 inhabitants, reached 323. After a real drop compared to the end of January, when it amounted to 4,288, the indicator had risen to 1,297 positive cases at the beginning of April with the BA2 sub-variant of Omicron.

Since then, the incidence rate has been decreasing and even fell at the end of May, below the bar of 200 positive people, which had not happened since November 2021. The positivity rate, the proportion of positive tests overall tests, has also increased lately.

Monday evening, it was 14% in the Alpes-Maritimes, the highest rate in the Paca region.

Stable hospital blood pressure

Despite significant circulation of the virus, the number of hospital admissions remains stable and manageable.

According to Public Health France, on Monday evening, eight people were in intensive care department-wide and 262 were hospitalized with Covid-19.

In total, 9% of intensive care beds were used by Covid patients.

On average, no deaths from the coronavirus were observed daily from June 7 to 13.

The explanations for this rebound

During a press conference in early June, Guillaume Spaccaferri, epidemiologist at Public Health France, mentioned "a less good application of barrier gestures" as well as "the impact of the dissemination of BA4 and BA5" as explanations for this rebound but underlined that it was "always delicate to provide an answer with a single cause".

These new incarnations of Omicron, potentially more contagious than the previous ones, have become the majority in South Africa and Portugal where they have caused waves of cases, now stabilized, without hospitalizations and mass deaths.

“Reassuring” scenarios for experts from Public Health France.

In early April, Professor Pradier, head of the public health department at the Nice University Hospital, told

20 Minutes

that the solution to this virus was "to know how to adapt".

New wave for the summer?

Summer as a brake on a new wave of Covid-19 despite the relaxation of sanitary measures and the sub-variants?

Mircea T. Sofonea, lecturer in epidemiology at the University of Montpellier, analyzed in mid-June: "If we can count on summer to have a lower incidence than in winter, it cannot, on its own , prevent a wave of contamination from taking place, as the example of Delta in July 2021 showed.”

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  • Health

  • Nice

  • Covid-19

  • Coronavirus

  • Variant Omicron

  • Paca

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